By
Christian Schneider
Thursday,
September 07, 2023
The leading
candidate for one of America’s two major-party presidential nominations
currently faces 91 felony counts as a result of four different criminal
indictments. Donald Trump is effectively running for the nation’s highest
office to prevent himself from becoming the holder of the nation’s lowest
office — prison inmate.
Had the
writers of a fantastical show like 24 been handed a script
featuring this scenario, it would have been laughed out of the writing room as
being too implausible. (And this is a show in which the American vice
president, Charles Logan, plotted with terrorists to
assassinate a former president.)
Surely
the former president and once-again candidate, criminally charged in connection
with his efforts to overturn the result of a popular election, culminating in a
violent attack on the U.S. Capitol while the electoral votes were being
counted, would be far behind the incumbent president in the subsequent
election. No realistic script would insult the American voters by assuming the
potential felon had a chance.
Welp.
According
to a poll released by the Wall Street
Journal over the weekend, incumbent president Joe Biden and the former
president, who picks up felony counts at the same pace most Americans rack up
McDonald’s reward points, are, if the election were held today, locked in a
buck-naked tie at 46 percent apiece. When the poll included other, third-party
candidates, Trump actually held a one-point lead over Biden.
That is
because, while Donald Trump gets all the ink (deservedly) for being a terrible
candidate, Joe Biden manages to be a wretched candidate without the benefit
of a Bugsy Siegel–style rap sheet. The voters can see with their own eyes that
Biden is a doddering old man, struggling to remember the nonsensical
stories he makes
up about his own life. What is worse — a politician who lies, or one who can’t
even keep his falsehoods straight?
(For
instance, Biden was often fond of saying he was arrested for trying to see
Nelson Mandela in South Africa. Never happened. He later revised that story to
say he was merely “stopped” at the airport — a claim a member of his traveling
party denies. Soon, his story will be downgraded to “I remember watching the
movie Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom.)
This is
the truth Democrats are unwilling to say out loud in mixed company: For all the
talk of how historically bad Trump is, the reality is that he beat their
candidate fair and square in 2016. So by the political transitive property, he
must be only the second-most awful presidential candidate in modern times. He
simply had the benefit of running against Hillary Clinton, who was even worse.
This
time, Trump has the good luck of running against a cadaver escaped from a
D.C.-area medical school. According to the Wall Street Journal poll, 73 percent of voters said they believe
that Biden, who would be 82 years old at the time of his second inauguration,
is too old to seek a second term. And that even included two-thirds of Democrats.
Most
hilariously, a larger share of voters, by a margin of 10 percent, believe that
Trump — the man who fires off daily social-media posts in the style of a
methamphetamine-addled wolverine falling down a flight of stairs — is more
“mentally up to the presidency” than Biden. Voters honestly believe that if
left alone, Biden would go missing, only to be found in downtown Wilmington
trying to call Winston Churchill using a discarded corncob.
Put more
succinctly, there is only one thing keeping Donald Trump close to returning to
the Oval Office in 2024, and that is the singular awfulness of Joe Biden, of
whom only 39 percent of voters hold a favorable view.
So while
it’s often said that Trump put himself before the country in trying to steal
the 2020 election, and is justly reviled for it, what are we supposed to say
about a barely ambulatory octogenarian whose continued presence makes Trump’s
ascent to power all the more likely next year? If one believes the recent
polls, supporting Biden means supporting Trump’s comeback.
Joe
Biden isn’t to blame for the fact that Republicans can’t quit a candidate as
thoroughly disgraceful as Donald Trump. Back in 2021, GOP senators could have
shown courage and turned Trump into a political version of one of the “revenants” scientists have been digging up in
Europe — sending him to his political grave and chaining him to the coffin to
make sure his evil spirit didn’t escape and haunt us forever.
But the
opposite has happened — according to the WSJ poll, 48 percent
of Republican primary voters are actually more likely to vote
for Trump given the four indictments against him. Those Trump fans are more
likely to see their guy regain political power if Democrats insist on
supporting such a weak incumbent.
Certainly
no president wants to willingly give up the reins of the most powerful job on
earth, as one-termers are generally deemed failures. But what will Biden’s
legacy look like if he stays in the race, continues his cognitive decline, and
hands the presidency back to a man who is running so he can then pardon himself
of any federal felonies on his record? Because as the polls stand right now,
that is entirely possible.
Like
Trump in 2020, Biden is now putting himself before his country. If Democrats
were allowed to start fresh and run someone who hadn’t completely botched the
Afghanistan pullout, who hadn’t overseen an economy viewed
negatively by
most Americans, and who isn’t older than Velcro and with a much
weaker grip, they would have a significantly better chance of retaining the
presidency. But their desire to spare the feelings of a man who (in their eyes)
heroically saved America from a second Trump administration in 2020 could very
well hand Trump that second term in 2024.
There is
the old story (often told by Ronald Reagan) about the two campers alone in the
woods, discussing the possibility of outrunning a hungry bear. “I don’t have to
run faster than the bear,” one camper said to the other. “I just need to outrun
you.”
Assuming
both candidates stay above ground in the next year, America faces a similar
predicament. Trump may be a horrific candidate, but he only has to be one
Electoral College vote less horrific than the guy he’s running against — the
president who is barely there.
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