By Charles C. W. Cooke
Thursday, April 14, 2022
In some quarters of the American Right, it has
become an article of faith that when the wishes of conservatives are pitted
against the wishes of the progressive movement and its allies in the press,
academia, Hollywood, Silicon Valley, and the S&P 500, the conservatives
“always lose.”
This isn’t true. Not only is the conservative movement
making dramatic strides on abortion, on religious liberty, on charter schools,
on the right to keep and bear arms, and on other core cultural issues, but the
claim is contradicted by the most recent fight for which we have results. Last
year, after the State of Georgia passed a set of modest changes to its voting
laws, the entire left-wing establishment threw a concerted tantrum that, after
a series of cultural and political escalations, ended with Major League
Baseball pulling the All-Star Game out of Atlanta. And then? Then that
establishment lost. Georgia’s law remained popular — and remained in place;
public opinion turned against the agitators, rather than against the governor;
MLB came to lament its decision; and, as time passed, even the fiercest
opponents of the measure conceded that the protests had been a mistake.
Or, put another way: Conservatives won.
There is no reason to believe that things will go
differently with the fight over adding gender ideology to the K–3 curriculum in
Florida. Consider the playing field, as it now stands. In my estimation, there
are three key factors that make this fight unwinnable for Disney, the
curriculum’s main opponent.
First, Disney has picked an extremely dangerous topic on
which to stake its reputation. When described neutrally, the bill that Disney
opposes is not only popular among a majority of Floridians (and of Americans),
it is popular among a majority of Floridians of all parties. In
some circumstances, one might imagine that this wouldn’t matter much to the
eventual outcome; were this a complicated tax dispute, for example, the
public’s eyes would probably glaze over. But this isn’t a complicated tax
dispute. It’s a dispute over the education of children. And, both directly and
indirectly, children are Disney’s target audience.
In March, a leaked video showed an executive at the
company talking about her “not-at-all-secret gay agenda” and her habit of
“basically adding queerness” to children’s programming “wherever I could.” Why
does this matter? It matters for the same reason as it would matter if videos
leaked from the Coca-Cola corporation revealed that it was putting secret
ingredients into Diet Coke: because, all of a sudden, it makes the company’s
core offerings seem somewhat shady. If AT&T started making statements about
school curricula, its customers, who do not associate AT&T with children,
might simply shrug. But the Walt Disney Company? Too much more of this, and it
might find that it went to bed as Uncle Walt and woke up as Philip Morris.
Second, Disney’s opponents are extremely strong at
present, and they have every incentive in the world to dig in. The political
party that passed the bill Disney opposes through the Florida legislature has
been in charge of the state since 1999 and is expected to pick up more seats in
November. The man who signed the bill Disney opposes, Governor Ron DeSantis,
has an approval rating of around 55 percent, has raised nearly ten times
as much money as either of his likely gubernatorial opponents, and may well be
the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Per NBC, Disney’s lobbyists in
Tallahassee have not only found themselves “in disbelief over the falling out,”
but are aware of how badly they are losing. “This was a total sh**show response
by corporate,” NBC’s Marc Caputo has quoted one as saying. “DeSantis is just a
different animal and no one around here really knows how to deal with him
because they know they’re going to get run over.”
Third, Disney has next to no political leverage, is
internally divided, and probably did not plan for this crisis in the first
instance. In explaining why the corporation was initially quiet about the bill,
Disney’s CEO, Bob Chapek, suggested that the company had started its push by
lobbying behind the scenes, and felt the need to make a more public statement
only when the clandestine entreaties failed. But, as National Review’s
Isaac Schorr has reported, this doesn’t seem to be true. Instead, Disney’s
former CEO, Bob Iger, seems to have fired off an ill-considered tweet, some of
Disney’s staff seem to have followed suit, and Bob Chapek seems to have jumped
in with both feet.
Had Chapek taken the time to plan, he would presumably
have seen how weak his position really is. Not only is Disney’s investment in
Florida effectively permanent — one cannot move Disney World, and to
reconstitute it would take decades and a hundred billion dollars — but the
company relies upon a host of legislative carve-outs that are available to no
other company in no other place in the world. In my view, it would
be a profound mistake if the Florida Republican Party began changing Florida’s
laws out of revenge (while there is nothing sacred about Disney’s carve-outs
and perks, they shouldn’t be rescinded in a tiff over its speech), but the
power dynamic here is clear nevertheless: Disney needs a friendly state
legislature more than that friendly legislature needs Disney’s approval.
Since this contretemps began, certain high-profile
conservatives have expressed their desire to “destroy” Disney completely. This
is silly. Successful institutions take a long time to build up but only a short
time to destroy, and, once destroyed, they can prove extremely difficult to
replace. (See: the ACLU.) A successful conservative response to Disney’s stance
would involve making sure that the law Disney opposes remains in place,
conveying to Disney that its position on the issue is extreme and
counterproductive, and making Bob Chapek and his colleagues understand that if
they hire and promote radicals who believe that it is their job to politicize
(and damage) his company, those radicals will eventually do just that.
Those Walt Disney Company lobbyists who were shocked by
their boss’s strategic incompetence? They ought to recognize that their bosses
are no longer fully in charge. Per “Ethan L. Clay,” the pseudonym of a Disney
“Imagineer” (theme-park designer) who wrote recently for Quillette,
“the DEI department within the company” — DEI stands for diversity,
equity, and inclusion, which sounds innocuous but in fact implies every
absurd progressive idea about gender, race, and history rolled into one —
“expanded by an astonishing 633 percent in 2019–21, at the same time that
nearly every other department was contracting by 25–75 percent.” Of course Disney
is being hijacked; it has made the conscious decision to bring a bunch of
hijackers into its fold. Sure, Disney is big and old and profitable. But there
is nothing about the company that inoculates it against the predations of fashionable
ideology. Personnel is policy. If one’s personnel are absurd, one’s policy will
follow. Et après cela, le déluge.
Given the importance of large institutions to the modern
world, conservatives are correct to focus on the spread of bad ideas — and bad
staff — within their ranks. But they should not do so at the expense of
promoting good ideas, which, over time, will tend to win out against even the
most determined and concentrated opposition. The key reason that Disney is
losing the fight against Florida’s much-maligned education law is that “Don’t
teach small children about gender ideology” is a popular and necessary
sentiment, and, deep down, almost everybody comprehends that.
Even Disney. Early on in the movie Finding Dory,
the 2016 follow-up to 2003’s smash hit Finding Nemo, the amnesiac
titular character misunderstands the situation in which she finds herself, and,
to the horror of the audience, begins to teach a class of six-year-olds about
the birds and the bees.
Dory:
“Mommies and daddies. Right. Why are we talking about mommies and daddies? Oh.
Oh! That class. Uh-oh. Why me? Okay. You guys seem a little young, but, um,
okay. You see, kids, when two fish love each other . . .”
Mr. Ray:
“And we’ll stop right there. Climb aboard, explorers. I feel a migration song
coming on. Oh . . . migration, migration, let’s learn about migration. It’s
nature’s inspiration to move around the sea.”
This joke made sense in 2016. It would have made sense in
1976, and 1926, and 1756. And, to most people, it will make sense in 2026, and
beyond. Its general applicability is unlikely to be changed by political
hyperbole, or by elite pressure, or by the intervention of the Walt Disney
Company. Conservatives who care about winning this fight ought to open their
minds to the possibility that they are, in fact, going to win it — and,
moreover, that they are going to win it by taking a clear, strong stance on the
right side of a popular issue, and acting within the realm of ordinary
political reality, not by burning everything down or by adopting tactics
that they have traditionally abhorred.
And when they do, they ought to remember why.
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