By Abe Greenwald
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
Donald Trump has released his framework for a new Middle
East peace plan. It’s a fair and realistic plan, which means, sadly, that there
is little hope of the Palestinians doing their part to make it work. Both
leading political parties in Israel have already signed on, so it’s only left
to the Palestinian leadership now to determine whether or not their people will
know peace or further misery.
First, Trump’s plan puts to rest any talk of abandoning a
two-state solution. The plan calls for the creation of a Palestinian state, to
be realized within four years, with its capital in “Eastern Jerusalem.” Israel
has agreed to a “four-year land freeze” and an American-drawn map that
establishes borders for Israel and a Palestinian state, which includes some
territorial expansion for the Palestinians. The framework notes: “Approximately
97 [percent] of Israelis in the West Bank will be incorporated into contiguous
Israeli territory, and approximately 97 [percent] of Palestinians in the West
Bank will be incorporated into contiguous Palestinian territory.”
Israel has also agreed to the White House’s requirements
for a viable Palestinian state. In general terms (the framework runs to more
than 180 pages including appendices), those requirements are: A Palestinian
state must be governed by the rule of law, ensure political freedoms and human
rights for its citizens, have transparent financial institutions, end its
program of terrorist incitement through education, achieve “civilian and law
enforcement control over all its territory,” and demilitarize its population.
For Gaza, this means disarming terrorist organizations, demilitarizing the
Strip, and putting the Palestinian Authority or another party acceptable to
Israel in full control.
The framework also includes detailed plans for
Palestinian infrastructure, security, and economic improvement.
The thing about peace between Israel and the
Palestinians, however, is that the devil isn’t in the details; it’s in the
broad strokes. Israeli leaders have long wanted peace while their Palestinian
counterparts want to destroy Israel. Trump announced the framework at the White
House today alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Both men spoke
in hopeful terms about opportunity, peace, prosperity, and warm relations among
allies.
The Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, on the other
hand, has called for a “day of rage.”
Which gets to the heart of the matter. Palestinian
leaders will take a day of rage over a decade of peace every time. And it’s
their very refusal to recognize Israel’s right to exist and to negotiate in
good faith that’s doomed the long-suffering Palestinian people. Palestinian
officials have refused to meet with Americans since Trump announced the opening
of the American Embassy in Jerusalem in 2017.
For decades, such self-defeating obstinacy found support
among other Arab leaders in the region. This kept the Israel-Palestinian issue
at the center of any discussion about Middle East stability. But that has
unofficially come to an end. With Iran’s increased aggression against its Sunni
neighbors—and Barack Obama’s mistaken effort to strengthen the Islamic Republic—Saudi
Arabia and other Sunni kingdoms have formed an unspoken alliance with Israel
against Tehran. They have more pressing concerns than Mahmoud Abbas’s latest
tantrum. And without the undying support of the Saudis and other critical
allies, the Palestinians have lost much of their leverage.
This is in part why the U.S. felt no pressure to wait on
Palestinian input before rolling out its framework. And it’s also why, if
Palestinian leaders once again fail to seize the opportunity before them, everyone
will get along just fine except the Palestinian people.
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