By James Taranto
Tuesday, October 01, 2013
Some people hate ObamaCare, others love it (at least in
theory). Then there's the Washington Post. The Post kinda likes it but
recognizes that there is a range of legitimate opinion, including
"fair-minded critics on the left," who kinda dislike it "because
they would prefer a single-payer system," and even "fair-minded
critics on the right," who kinda dislike it "because it devotes
federal money to pay for health care rather than to paying down the debt, or
because they don't like the idea of the government requiring people to buy
insurance."
But the Post deplores "unreasonable critics,"
those with the "loudest voices"--namely "unions that object to
the end of government subsidies" and "demagogues, such as Sen. Ted
Cruz," who disagree with "most economists" as to the likely
consequences of the new plan.
In its headline, the Post puts forth an emotional
mandate: "Everyone Should Hope ObamaCare Works." The argument is as
follows:
Apart from GOP obstructionism, the biggest threat to Obamacare may be the still-distinct possibility that not enough people will buy insurance, even with government help. If only the oldest and sickest enter the new insurance system, costs to the government and to customers who don't get government subsidies could be higher than estimated. . . .As with any big rollout, there will no doubt be problems, many of them mundane. Computer systems will not work perfectly. Some people might have to sign up over the phone or on paper. But everyone should hope that those sorts of problems--and the overheated rhetoric of critics--do not deter too many people from buying insurance. Many Americans' health depends on it.
This column vigorously disagrees. We resent being told
how to feel, and we hope ObamaCare fails, spectacularly and quickly.
We hope it fails spectacularly because that would provide
an emotionally satisfying dramatic conclusion. If Barack Obama is forced to
spend, say, the last two years of his presidency contending with the undeniable
failure of his signature initiative, that would be a fitting punishment for the
hubris of his first two years, especially since the imposition of ObamaCare on
an unwilling country was the main consequence of his hubris.
We hope it fails quickly for an additional reason: to
minimize the damage. Imagine if the Post had written a similar editorial in
1917, after the Russian Revolution, titled "Everyone Should Hope Communism
Works." That would have seemed equally high-minded: If communism didn't
work, tens of millions of people would be made miserable.
Which, of course, is precisely what happened over the
next 70-plus years. The Post might respond that that's an argument against
communism rather than an argument against hoping communism works. But when you
put it that way, it's not such a clear distinction, is it? The communist
revolution would not have succeeded absent a critical mass of people hopeful
communism would work. Nor would it have endured as long as it did if no one had
an emotional interest in its perpetuation.
Hope, in other words, poses a moral hazard: It can be a
species of pathological altruism. And consider the perversity of the Post's
logic as applied to the dramatic arc of Soviet communism: By the editorialists'
reckoning, those of us who cheered the fall of the Berlin Wall were heartless
boors indulging in Schadenfreude.
The case for hoping ObamaCare "works" is
unpersuasive even on the narrow grounds upon which the Post rests it, namely
that if it fails because young, healthy people don't sign up, the people
"whose health depends on it" will suffer.
To hope that ObamaCare helps the latter group is also to
hope that the young get bamboozled into buying insurance that is vastly
overpriced relative to their risk profile. One may argue that deceiving the
young is a lesser evil than refraining from helping the old and sick. But the
Post does not acknowledge that trade-off.
That is, it fails to admit that ObamaCare cannot
"work" unless it is massively successful in deceiving Americans who
have done nothing wrong other than to be young at the wrong time. When you
think about it from that angle, hoping ObamaCare "works" sounds a lot
more cynical than high-minded.
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