Wednesday, August 25, 2021

California at a Crossroads

By Kevin D. Williamson

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

 

The upcoming gubernatorial-recall election in California provides an amusing contrast between Larry Elder, a black conservative from inner-city Los Angeles who made it from Crenshaw High School to Brown to a position at one of the nation’s most prestigious law firms before embarking on his radio and television career, and Gavin Newsom, the son of a rich white guy in San Francisco who made his money sucking on the Getty Oil teat who grew up to be a rich white guy in San Francisco who made his money sucking on the Getty Oil teat.

 

As I put it in the New York Post, it’s the Sage from South Central vs. the Schmuck from the French Laundry.

 

Larry Elder is a conservative talk-radio host in 2021, with all the bumptious, Trumpish baggage that goes with that. And yet the polls have him within plausible reach of the governorship. Elder is a formidable communicator and a man of genuine intelligence, but the fact that an AM-radio chatterbox has managed, in the breaks between the doggie-vitamin commercials, to get within striking distance of supplanting the sitting Democratic governor is less a recognition of his considerable gifts than it is an indictment of Gavin Newsom’s sundry grotesqueries — and the sorry state of California as a whole.

 

Because there is much more to what ails California than the depths of mediocrity plumbed by the feckless, po-faced hypocrite who currently sits at the top of state government or the temperament of the irascible broadcaster who aims to be the third man (by my count) to make his way from the Hollywood Walk of Fame to the governor’s mansion in Sacramento.

 

Think of California as Detroit writ large.

 

In the 1950s, Detroit was an economic powerhouse, full of dynamism and innovation. In 1960, it had the highest per-capita income of any city in these United States. Like Silicon Valley, it was home to many of the world’s most famous companies, but its most important asset was its people. In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, more than 100 automobile startups were founded in the United States, mostly in the industrial centers of New England and Ohio. But it was Detroit that succeeded, thanks largely to a highly skilled work force that was able to easily make the transition from manufacturing marine engines, one of Detroit’s pre-automotive specialties, to manufacturing automobiles. And Detroit built success on success: The best workers could be found there, because that’s where the best jobs were, and the best jobs came there, because that’s where the best workers were.

 

Those union jobs on automotive assembly lines made Detroit a mecca for blue-collar and middle-class workers, but, like Silicon Valley, it grew culturally sophisticated as it grew rich: In the Ford Auditorium on the waterfront, a string of European conductors led the city’s popular and well-regarded orchestra, while culinary magazines printed recipes from the city’s restaurants, its schools educated the likes of Elmore Leonard, and its factory workers labored in buildings designed by Albert Kahn.

 

But even with all that going for it, Detroit was already showing signs of trouble in 1960, when the U.S. Census found its population in a decline that would soon turn into a stampede for the exits — once the nation’s fifth-largest city, it would eventually slide down to 27th place, losing two-thirds of its people. Its famous hotels — the Wolverine, the Park Avenue — were converted into flophouses and homeless shelters, or knocked down to build parking lots. Americans still make cars — a great many of them — but only one of the ten-biggest U.S. automobile factories operating today is in Michigan. The largest car factory in the United States today belongs to Nissan, whose U.S. operations are based in Tennessee.

 

Detroit’s hubris should be a lesson for California, especially for Silicon Valley. In 1950, the Age of the Automobile was upon us, and Detroit believed that its factories were an eternal golden goose, a source of high-paying jobs and oodles of tax revenue that would always be there. Both the Big Three automotive companies and the local authorities in Detroit were unprepared for the changes that already were under way in the 1950s, from increased competition from Japan to broader shifts in the U.S. economy. Detroit was enormously disadvantaged by the riots that helped to scare most of the white middle class and much of the black middle class out of the city and into the suburbs, and then beyond to sunnier climes in the south and southwest.

 

Detroit thought it could count on Ford, Chrysler, and General Motors forever. Silicon Valley thinks it can count on Apple, Amazon, and Facebook forever. The complacent leaders in Michigan were dead wrong. So are the ones in California.

 

Not everybody in Detroit was surprised to learn in the late 1950s that the city was losing population. Not everybody in Silicon Valley today will be surprised to learn that 90 percent of the high-tech industry’s workers are earning less in real wages now than their counterparts were 20 years ago. The biggest digital publisher in the United States is in South Carolina, not California, and Tesla’s future is in Texas, as are Hewlett-Packard’s and Oracle’s. It’s not just Elon Musk and the other bold-face names, either: It is venture-capital investors and services firms and, above all, the most in-demand workers, many of whom have discovered that they are far better-off making $200,000 a year in Austin or Charleston than $300,000 a year in San Francisco.

 

Detroit did not really appreciate how serious its problems were until it was too late to reverse the decline. And instead of putting forward serious and responsible leaders, Detroit leaned hard into identity politics with such figures as Mayor Coleman Young, the Gavin Newsom of Michigan, who had his own French Laundry moment, greeting municipal leaders in gray and hurting Detroit from the beaches of sunny Hawaii with the immortal salutation: “Aloha, motherfu**ers!”

 

Larry Elder may not be precisely to the taste of his fellow Californians. But Sacramento needs a wakeup call a lot more urgently than it needs another prix-fixe dinner at the French Laundry.

President Biden Is Still Making Things Worse in Afghanistan

By Charles C. W. Cooke

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

 

From the moment the Afghanistan debacle began to dominate the news, President Biden has steadfastly refused to distinguish between those who are opposed to the Unites States withdrawing troops from the country per se, and those who believe that the White House has badly botched the withdrawal. “How many more generations of America’s daughters and sons would you have me send to fight?” he asked last week.

 

This question is non-responsive to the charge at hand, which is why an American public that overwhelmingly thinks we should get out is punishing Biden in the polls nevertheless. Americans want to leave, it seems. But they don’t want to leave like this. And Biden, they believe, is firmly in charge of the this.

 

Has the president grasped this yet?

 

By all accounts, Biden hopes that, over time, the details of the withdrawal will fade in voters’ memories, while the fact of the withdrawal will pay political dividends. And maybe he’s right to think that! The thing is, though, he has to get there first — and, as of today, he is nowhere near doing that.

 

In the immediate aftermath of the fall of Kabul, Biden hosted two disastrous press conferences, insisted repeatedly on returning to his vacation, and embarrassed and infuriated his closest international allies by being either completely absent or unacceptably tardy. And he’s still going. Today, the White House announced that the president remains determined to remove all troops by August 31st — even if Americans are still stranded, which, if the math is to be believed, they probably will be. And, as if that weren’t bad enough, the military has already started “reducing troop presence” — slap bang in the middle of a frantic, ongoing, and artificially time-limited evacuation drive — while the U.S. Embassy issues and then rescinds last call alerts for U.S. citizens and the Taliban begins blocking Americans from reaching the airport.

 

In the interests of accuracy, it may be time now to update the tense. Biden hasn’t merely “botched” the withdrawal. As an active matter, he’s still botching it.

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

The Media’s Finest Hour

By Rich Lowry

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

 

Poor Ron Klain.

 

It’s not a good sign when a White House chief of staff to a Democratic president wants to retweet favorable news coverage and all he can find is the least credible and most slavishly loyal commentators on the Internet.

 

The Afghanistan fiasco has created that most disorienting and discomfiting experience for a progressive administration — a serious bout of critical media coverage immune to White House spin and determined to tell the unvarnished story of an ongoing debacle.

 

The White House and its allies have lashed out at what they are portraying as an insular, pro-war media ignoring its many successes in the Afghan evacuation.

 

This, like Ron Klain’s tweeting, is a sign of desperation and of a feeling of outraged betrayal that usually dependable allies have, on this story, switched sides. Say it’s not so, CNN.

 

The White House is unfamiliar with what it’s like to be on the receiving end of the kind of media feeding frenzy that Florida governor Ron DeSantis experiences every other day (almost always involving spurious storylines).

 

But on Afghanistan, Joe Biden in effect set out to test how much shameless incompetence and dishonesty the media would accept. The answer? Not nearly enough.

 

The press is blatantly biased and has become even more so over time, repeatedly propagating false narratives that have shredded its credibility. Still, there are limits beyond which even it can’t be pushed.

 

Biden said that the Afghan withdrawal wouldn’t be another Saigon within weeks of Saigon-like scenes of a hasty evacuation of the U.S. embassy, of terrified Afghans clinging to a U.S. transport plane, of desperate Afghans passing their infants over the barbed wire to Western soldiers guarding the Kabul airport.

 

There is no number of look-on-the-bright-side briefings that will overcome these indelible images, and even a journalist who tilted heavily toward Biden in 2020 and supports his agenda was going to be hard-pressed to look away.

 

The contradiction in Biden’s case for withdrawal was also too stark to ignore. He originally justified his pullout because the Afghan government and military were capable of defending the country without us, then he justified his exit because the government and military collapsed so quickly. Which was it?

 

Much of what Biden has said in his remarks and press conferences has been vulnerable to instant fact-checks. When he said that Americans weren’t having trouble getting through to the airport, reporters could immediately attest that it wasn’t true.

 

Who was everyone supposed to believe? Biden’s misleading assurance, or CNN reporter Clarissa Ward’s compelling report from outside the Kabul airport that she was threatened with a whip for not covering her face and her producer nearly pistol-whipped? Ward said it was “mayhem” and “a miracle that more people haven’t been very, very seriously hurt.”

 

The plaints from the administration and its most committed journalistic supporters that the coverage has been unfair and the product of a press biased toward interventionism ring hollow.

 

It is certainly true that the East Coast media has more cosmopolitan attitudes than the rest of the country, but it’s hardly full of committed foreign-policy hawks. The press didn’t notably dissent from President Barack Obama’s pullout from Iraq in 2011 or his nuclear deal with Iran. It has steadfastly favored the so-called peace process in the Middle East.

 

It’s not as though only the American media has noticed Biden’s ineptitude, either. If anything, our foreign allies have been harsher about the humiliating mess Biden has stumbled into (former British prime minister Tony Blair called it “imbecilic”) than journalists here at home.

 

Since he won the Democratic nomination last year, Biden has been the subject of relentlessly favorable press coverage forgiving his lapses and enthusiastic about his alleged accomplishments. It was hard to see what he could do to lose media support, even for a time, and then he botched his withdrawal.

The Largest Hostage Crisis in American History

By Noah Rothman

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

 

America has been held hostage before. In 1976, TWA Flight 355 was taken over by Croatian nationalists, and a New York City police officer lost his life in an effort to resolve it. The 1985 hijacking of the Achille Lauro by militants with the Palestinian Liberation Front ended only following American military intervention. Most famously, the vanguard of the Islamic revolution in Iran took 52 Americans hostage for 444 days. These traumatic episodes pale in comparison to what the United States may now be facing in Afghanistan. America may now be in the middle of the largest hostage crisis in its history.

 

On Monday, the Biden administration announced that it had ferried at least 37,000 people out of the increasingly inhumane conditions that prevail in Hamid Karzai International Airport—the last remaining bastion of Western influence in Afghanistan. That’s no small feat. But insofar as you can call the herculean conscription of both civilian and military forces into the effort to evacuate Americans and their partners from behind Taliban lines “easy,” that was the easy part. The clock is ticking down to zero hour, and the United States will not meet its deadline.

 

“We’re going to get everyone that we can possibly evacuate evacuated,” Defense Sec. Lloyd Austin promised late last week. “And I’ll do that as long as we possibly can until the clock runs out or we run out of capability.” That “clock” had been set not just by the president, who has insisted that the United States would remove all vulnerable Americans and U.S. allies from Afghanistan by August 31, but the Taliban. “It’s a red line,” said Taliban representative Suhail Shaheen. “If the U.S. or U.K. were to seek additional time to continue evacuations, the answer is no. Or there would be consequences.”

 

In the effort to speed things along, the United States has reluctantly begun executing special forces operations designed to exfiltrate Americans outside of the airport, even at the risk of inflaming tensions with the Taliban and their State Department-designated terrorist allies who are providing for our “security.” Simultaneously, American forces are reportedly turning away Afghans eligible for evacuation and relocation. But even abandoning our allies to prioritize Americans will not cut it. As of Monday, only about 3,300 of the estimated 10 to 15,000 Americans who were trapped in Afghanistan when Kabul fell have been ferried out of the country. Even at this unsustainable pace, the American mission in Afghanistan will not be over by August 31. And everyone but the Biden White House seems to know it.

 

“Given the number of Americans who still need to be evacuated, the number of SIVs, the number of others who are members of the Afghan press, civil society leaders, women leaders—it’s hard for me to imagine all of that can be accomplished between now and the end of the month,” said U.S. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff on Monday. A number of prominent federal legislators are demanding that the administration commit to a longer operation, and they are joined by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. He will use the occasion of an emergency G7 summit on Tuesday to pressure Biden to “ensure safe evacuations, prevent a humanitarian crisis and support the Afghan people to secure the gains of the last 20 years.”

 

Joe Biden finds himself in a trap of his own making. U.S. forces operate out of Kabul’s airport at the pleasure of the Taliban. At any point, what Biden called a “ragtag” group can disable the airport and reengage in combat with the American forces they’ve so far allowed a narrow berth. Biden is determined to avoid that outcome. The only alternative to such a disaster would be to bribe the Taliban into submission. It’s an option the president has already foreshadowed. “The Taliban has to make a fundamental decision,” Biden said on Sunday. To be successful, they are “going to need everything from additional help in terms of economic assistance, trade, and a whole range of things.”

 

The Taliban, Biden said, is “seeking legitimacy to determine whether or not they will be recognized by other countries.” No doubt, all these carrots are being dangled before our captors by CIA Director William Burns, who was this week dispatched to Kabul likely to negotiate an extension of our mission there.

 

The message from the Taliban couldn’t be clearer: Your money or your lives. And there are thousands of Americans in Afghanistan from which the Taliban might choose to make a few examples. As the heartrending audio received by Rep. Carol Miller’s office attests, the Americans trapped behind enemy lines believe they are abandoned by their government to the mercies of a vengeful Islamist militia. As one staffer at the abandoned American embassy admitted, “it would be better to die under the Taliban’s bullet” than to face the brutality of a likely unsuccessful effort to reach American service personnel on their own. Our citizens and friends are resigning themselves to a terrible fate.

 

America’s humiliation in Afghanistan did not end with the fall of Kabul. It is only just beginning.

Biden’s Defenders Are Flailing

By David Harsanyi

Monday, August 23, 2021

 

Here is Juan Williams regurgitating White House talking points in The Hill today:

 

Congratulations to President Biden.

 

Last week he gave the most effective, most honest foreign policy speech by an American president in the last 60 years.

 

Biden made no excuses.

 

And where the last three presidents kicked the can down the road, refusing to end the U.S. war in Afghanistan — even after more than 2,400 Americans died in that fight — Biden took responsibility. He shut it down.

 

Williams then spends a good chunk of his column attempting to shift the blame for Biden’s disastrous handling of the Afghanistan pullout onto Donald Trump, who made a deal with the Taliban in Doha last year.

 

Who knows? Perhaps Trump would have botched the Afghan withdrawal as badly as Biden has. Or perhaps he would have preemptively evacuated Americans and our allies. Perhaps he would have changed his mind or maybe he would have delayed the withdrawal to a more opportune time in the winter. And maybe the Taliban would be more hesitant when beating Americans and hunting Afghan partners if Trump were threatening to atomize them. Biden has harsher words for Republican legislators than he does the Islamists overrunning Afghanistan, whom he continues to laughably coax into joining the international community.

 

Counter-histories are useless today. The fact is that the Taliban peace talks failed, and Biden was under no obligation to pull out. The notion that Biden — who, despite a surplus of historical evidence to the contrary, fashions himself a keen foreign-policy mind — feels constricted by the decision of the former president is laughable. Biden’s case for the presidency was predicated on undoing Trump’s decisions. Indeed, Biden already delayed withdrawal from May to September, so why not another month or two to ensure that Americans and Afghan translators and intelligence sources were safe? Most likely, Biden, whose political spinelessness over the past five decades has led him to take virtually every position on every issue, was driven by polls that told him that voters were in favor of leaving. One imagines they are far less supportive when seeing America humiliated.

 

Williams also pretends that the conversations we’re having right now are predominantly about whether to withdraw from Afghanistan. Right now we should be concerned about the lack of basic competency and honor. Biden’s praetorian guard keeps conflating those issues or acting as if everything is going swimmingly:



Not only is Rubin’s contention likely untrue, but Krugman tweeted the above only minutes after Pentagon press secretary John Kirby was unable to narrow down how many thousands of Americans were left stuck in Afghanistan. Kirby also admitted that the United States has no inventory of military equipment left behind to the Taliban. The administration undertook the operation without preemptively ensuring that Americans were safely ensconced on planes and that military equipment was not falling into the hands of a third-world militia. None of this is to even mention the miscalculation regarding the Taliban’s rapid takeover.

 

The last four administrations bear responsibility for the failures of Afghanistan, but this shameful withdrawal is all on Biden, who said only this April that the pullout would be done “responsibly, deliberately, and safely.” It has been none of those things.


‘Print the Legend’

By Kevin D. Williamson

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

 

In 1936, it was Reefer Madness, Louis Gasnier’s cinematic moral panic about high-school students who descend into an orgy of rape and murder after being enticed into trying marijuana. The history of Reefer Madness contains several wonderful bits of poetic juxtaposition: originally financed by a Christian ministry, the film became a profitable commodity after it was reworked for the “exploitation” circuit; it was later embraced by potheads as a kind of unintentional parody, and it almost certainly is the case that most of the people who have seen Reefer Madness today are marijuana users or were at one point; best of all, the film’s scheming drug pusher is played by Carleton Young, who is all but forgotten except for his immortal turn as the newspaper editor in The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance, in which his most famous line is effectively the motto of the various propaganda offices serving in the so-called War on Drugs: When the legend and the facts are at odds, “Print the legend.”

 

The spirit of Reefer Madness lived on and found new energy in Reagan-era anti-drug campaigns, from “Just Say No” to “This Is Your Brain on Drugs,” in which an egg-frying John Roselius gave a stirring performance much more memorable than his bit parts in Space Jam and Con Air. There were endless DARE lectures intended to leave the children of the Cold War “scared straight,” along with tall tales of the PCP Superman — whose sudden transformation, physical power, and ungovernable rage mark him as part of the long literary tradition that runs through Robert Louis Stevenson’s Mr. Hyde to Stan Lee’s Incredible Hulk — the myth of the “contact high,” legends about “flashbacks,” and a thousand baseless ghost stories about otherwise happy and healthy young people who, exposed to some drug or another, suddenly decide they can fly and fling themselves off balconies to their deaths.

 

(We even had that story in Lubbock, Texas, where you’d be damned hard-pressed to find a balcony high enough to kill yourself jumping off.)

 

In the 19th century, we had the Yellow Peril — Chinese immigrants and their opium. In our time, we have the . . . the other Yellow Peril, or the Yellow-and-Brown Peril: fentanyl, the legend of which combines old-fashioned Sinophobia with Trump-era Mexicanophobia. Of course fentanyl is a real thing. So are illicit Chinese drug factories and Mexican cartels. In 2020, nearly 70,000 Americans died of opioid overdoses, mostly from fentanyl, a figure that was up sharply from the 50,000 opioid overdoses in 2019. Nearly 1 million Americans have died from drug overdoses of all kinds since 1999. (For comparison, alcohol-related deaths in the same time frame amount to about two-and-a-half times that number.) But as we have seen with everything from homelessness to violent crime, interested parties will reliably exaggerate things that are real problems, and, at times, will simply fabricate stories about them. For example, it is true that there are violent racists in the world, and it is also true that practically every campus hate-crime incident you’ve ever heard about is a hoax.

 

Which brings us to beautiful San Diego.

 

In early August, San Diego’s sheriff’s department put out a video purporting to show a trainee overdosing on fentanyl — and nearly losing his life — after merely being exposed to the stuff while processing evidence after an arrest. The deputy, David Faiivae, falls to the ground in a catatonic state after encountering a white powder that the sheriff’s office later identified as containing fentanyl. The sheriff’s office put out one of those now-familiar, po-faced propaganda videos, with Sheriff Bill Gore intoning seriously about the dangers his men face over corny background music and the usual heroic-cop posturing. The “This Is Your Brain on Drugs” moment comes when the deputy declares: “I’m Deputy David Faiivae, and I almost died of a fentanyl overdose.”

 

Except, he didn’t. Almost certainly.

 

It is physically impossible to overdose on fentanyl from the kind of exposure Deputy Faiivae experienced while being recorded on body-cam video. He was wearing gloves and long sleeves while handing bagged quantities of drugs. Even if he weren’t wearing gloves, he still wouldn’t have overdosed that way: Fentanyl cannot be absorbed through the skin in any significant quantity without some solvent, but even when such a solvent is present, as with the fentanyl patches that are given to some patients for pain, it would be practically impossible to overdose from brief accidental exposure. The same is true of inhalation of airborne particles: A study of workers in legal fentanyl factories found that at the highest concentrations found in those facilities, they would have to take off their protective gear and spend hours standing in a little haboob of opioid particles before even absorbing a clinical dose of the stuff, much less a life-threatening overdose.

 

The charitable explanation of what happened with Deputy Faiivae is that it was a mistake. The less charitable explanation is that it was a hoax.

 

The case for being charitable is not very strong here.

 

Among other things, the sheriff’s department did not bother to collect a sample from Deputy Faiivae for toxicological examination — after an episode that allegedly had him at death’s door. Think on that: A law-enforcement officer was, if this story is to be believed, almost killed in the line of duty, and the law-enforcement agency for which he works neglected to perform the most elementary investigation. The guy was dosed with Naloxone, a powerful drug used to counteract heroin overdoses. But the rest of the overdose protocol — breathing support, for instance — was completely ignored.

 

Why? Most likely, because he was not having an overdose.

 

Never mind the criminal question: Surely the insurance office would be interested in what happened — and it was only a few years ago that a San Diego sheriff’s deputy was charged with felony fraud for misrepresenting his physical condition for insurance purposes.

 

No physician ever diagnosed Deputy Faiivae with a drug overdose — the “diagnosis” came from the sheriff. Deputy Faiivae did not display any of the typical symptoms of a fentanyl overdose. Add all of that to the fact that he was never in a position to experience a fentanyl overdose to begin with, and it is difficult to credit the good faith of the sheriff’s department here.

 

So, what the hell is going on?

 

“There is a public-relations motive,” says Sheila P. Vakharia, deputy director for research and academic engagement at the Drug Policy Alliance. “If we see police out there putting themselves at risk, courageously exposing themselves to scary chemicals and drugs, then we think, ‘Obviously, these are good people doing good work.’ It motivates and sustains a commitment to the drug war. It gets people scared and angry, and this mobilizes people to support expanding police budgets, to make sure there are cops on the street, to spend any amount of money — whatever is needed to find these drugs and the people selling them and get them off the street. It mobilizes people’s emotions to get them to act in ways that are aligned with their agenda.”

 

It is a mistake to take police or prosecutors at their word in any matter — but especially in this one, where the record of fabrication and misinformation is so long and shameful. But the underlying political dynamic should be obvious enough: I’ve never met someone involved in issue advocacy who has said that the problem they were working on has been solved — they almost always say the opposite, that thus-and-such a problem has never been worse, that immediate action and massive spending are needed, etc.

 

You’ll never hear Randi Weingarten say that we are spending enough on schools, you’ll almost never hear a secretary of defense or a flag officer say that the military budget is too big and bloated, and you’ll rarely if ever hear a cop or a prosecutor say that the drug situation is anything other than a crisis and the worst that it ever has been. The same pattern holds true in politics: Every election, you’ll hear that the Other Party is the most dangerous it has ever been, that we are one election away from sliding into communism or fascism or whatever.

 

And it is all — all of it — bull.

 

It is lies and nonsense and self-serving dishonesty. Police departments will lie to you for the same reason a presidential campaign will lie to you: for money, power, and status. We should be clear-eyed about this. Our police departments and prosecutors’ offices are rife with misbehavior, some of it criminal, with abuses of power ranging from dangerous buffoonery to outright corruption. Conservatives tend to understand this easily when it comes to government schools or the IRS but are instinctively protective of police and military agencies. But a bureaucracy is a bureaucracy is a bureaucracy, and the same dynamics of institutional self-interest operate in all of them to some degree. On top of the usual interest in salaries, benefits, and pensions, police departments suffer from a terrible addiction: Police are hooked on being thought of as heroes. And some of them are heroes.

 

But most of them are, most of the time, something closer to tax-collectors. There isn’t anything inherently dishonorable in that. There’s a job that has to be done. It is what it is.

 

But that job has to be done honestly and competently, with high degrees of transparency and accountability.

 

There is reason to doubt that that is what is happening in San Diego.

 

This “overdose” drama requires independent investigation as a potential criminal matter. If the San Diego sheriff’s department staged this episode — which appears to be at least possible if not likely — then losing their jobs is the least Sheriff Gore, Deputy Faiivae, et al. should face. An open society cannot tolerate police who stage crimes or fake on-the-job medical traumas for public-relations purposes.

 

We can be confident that an overdose is not what happened in this case.

 

So, what did happen?

 

In Other News . . .

 

On the subject of drugs and drug policy, I was not persuaded by Aron Ravin’s piece, “Libertarians Were Wrong about Marijuana Legalization.”

 

Part of my criticism is alluded to above — taking police and prosecutors at their word that things are, invariably, worse than they have ever been — but part of it is that I don’t think Ravin quite gets what libertarians actually think about marijuana-legalization projects such as the one in Colorado.

 

There are, of course, utopians and ideologues, who insist that legalization is all upside and no downside, that it will end criminal cartels and produce enough tax revenue to provide free false teeth to every needy mouth from sea to shining sea. But that does not capture the fullness of opinion or analysis. As I argued in a 2015 National Review cover story on the Colorado project, legalization will always be a mixed bag, and partial legalization will be a very mixed bag in that the “presence of black markets in prohibition states ensures the presence of black markets and gray markets in legalization states.” Which, as Ravin notes, is something that has come to pass.

 

A useful point of comparison is Nevada’s limited legalization of prostitution. By most accounts, the sex business as practiced in Nevada’s legal brothels is better and safer for both sellers and buyers than is the criminal sex business on the streets, in casino bars, etc. But the legal-prostitution business in Nevada is very limited and very highly regulated, and, hence, much more expensive and less easily accessible than is illegal prostitution. It has had very little discernable effect on street-level prostitution in Las Vegas (prostitution is not legal in Las Vegas, in spite of what some poorly informed tourists believe) or throughout the rest of the state. From that point of view, Colorado is sort of Pahrump writ large: an improvement for those who buy and sell marijuana on the legal market, but not large enough to overcome the economic forces of the black market — or, more precisely, of the various black markets.

 

As many libertarian-leaning critics predicted, organized-crime penetration remains an issue in the upstream supply chain, where it is relatively easy to divert a few hundred pounds of legally grown marijuana here and there for very profitable black-market profit margins, and legalization creates special problems in nearby prohibition states. Those idiots getting arrested bringing Colorado marijuana into Nebraska are not getting caught with amounts that can legally be purchased in Colorado, but often with hundreds of pounds or more.

 

This is no surprise: The presence of Las Vegas and a thousand smaller gambling destinations has not eliminated illegal gambling in the United States. It hasn’t even eliminated illegal gambling in Las Vegas. There remain black markets in alcohol, tobacco, and other legal products, driven in part by taxes and regulations. There are licensed gun dealers and illegal gun traffickers, licensed bus operators and outlaw bus operators. (And, no surprise, there is some real overlap between the unlicensed gun merchants and the unlicensed bus outfits.) We should expect that there will always be illegal marijuana sales — for example, sales to minors.

 

It took decades to break the grip of organized crime on Las Vegas. It will take some time for corporate producers to squeeze the cartels out of the marijuana market — and it is possible that they will never squeeze illegal producers out entirely, because it is relatively easy to grow marijuana. Note that fentanyl is produced both legally for medical purposes and illegally for recreation and profit. The question is not whether legalization delivers some utopian transformation of unhappy social realities — it won’t, and most libertarian critics understand that — but whether the best harm-reduction strategy in the case of marijuana is sticking a gun in somebody’s face with a hearty “Just Say No!”

 

Our experience with that strategy so far suggests very strongly that it is not the most reliable one, and that it brings along with it some fairly terrible unintended consequences, on display in San Diego and elsewhere.