By Jim Geraghty
Wednesday, July 14, 2021
At some point, the Biden administration will have to stop
letting the Iranians urinate on its shoes while it’s inviting them to further
negotiations about their nuclear program. Tehran is not interested in making
concessions, and it is not interested in changing its behavior. The mullahs
think the Biden administration is a bunch of naïve suckers, and they don’t
really hide their contempt.
For starters, the U.S. must not make concessions to regimes that plot to kidnap American citizens who dare
criticize that regime:
In an indictment unsealed in
federal court in Manhattan, four Iranians were charged with conspiring to
kidnap the journalist and author, Masih Alinejad.
. . . The four defendants all live
in Iran and remain at large, the prosecutors said, identifying one of them,
Alireza Shavaroghi Farahani, 50, as an Iranian intelligence official and the
three others as “Iranian intelligence assets.” A fifth defendant, accused of
supporting the plot but not participating in the kidnapping conspiracy, was
arrested in California.
The indictment describes a plot
that included attempts to lure Ms. Alinejad, an American citizen, to a third
country to capture her and forcibly render her to Iran. The intelligence
official, Mr. Farahani, and his network used private investigators to surveil,
photograph and video record Ms. Alinejad and members of her household in
Brooklyn, the government said.
The extensive surveillance that Mr.
Farahani’s network procured included the use of a live, high-definition video
feed depicting Ms. Alinejad’s home, prosecutors said.
“This is not some far-fetched movie
plot,” William F. Sweeney Jr., the head of the F.B.I.’s New York office, said
in a statement.
. . . Another of the agents, Kiya
Sadeghi, researched a service offering what the government described as
military-style speedboats for a self-operated maritime evacuation out of
Manhattan; and maritime travel from New York to Venezuela, whose leadership has
friendly relations with the Iranian government.
Meanwhile, beyond New York City:
·
In Iraq, “a senior Iranian Revolutionary Guard commander urged Iraqi
Shiite militias to step up attacks on U.S. targets during a meeting in Baghdad
last week, three militia sources and two Iraqi security sources familiar
with the gathering said.”
·
The new Iranian president-elect, Ebrahim Raisi,
used to head the country’s judiciary, and in that position he had “administrative
oversight over the executions of individuals who were juveniles at the time of
their crime and the torture and other cruel, inhuman, or degrading
treatment or punishment of prisoners in Iran, including amputations. . . .
Previously, as deputy prosecutor general of Tehran, Raisi participated in a
so-called ‘death commission’ that ordered the extrajudicial executions of
thousands of political prisoners in 1988.”
·
The outgoing Iranian president, Hassan Rouhani,
still wants to revive the Obama administration’s nuclear deal, but he just gave
a speech warning that his country could enrich uranium at weapons-grade levels of 90 percent if
it desired.
·
The commander of the Iranian military’s navy,
Hossein Khanzadi, recently stated that the presence of the country’s vessels in
the Atlantic Ocean “is a response to U.S. claims that Iran would never
be able to have a presence in the Atlantic.”
·
A notorious group of hackers “tied to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has waged a
covert campaign targeting university professors and other experts based in the
U.K. and the U.S., trying steal their sensitive information, according to
research by the cybersecurity firm Proofpoint.”
When the Iranians take actions such as those, the Biden
administration looks foolish for removing Iranian oil-company officials from financial blacklists, lifting sanctions on Iranian energy companies, and contemplating lifting sanctions on Iran’s ayatollah Ali
Khamenei. Why are we making life easier for a regime that keeps trying to
kill or otherwise harm our citizens and our allies?
The International Monetary Fund just released new figures
indicating that the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign
had dramatically reduced Iran’s “Gross Official Reserves” — that is, its
holdings of gold and foreign currencies by official monetary institutions —
from $122 billion in 2018 to $4 billion in 2020. Between sanctions and the
problems of COVID-19, the Iranian regime was quickly going broke. Elliot Abrams
observes that, “Whenever we hear that ‘the maximum pressure campaign failed,’
we ought to recall that IMF statistic: Iran’s reserves almost disappeared
between 2018 and 2020.” By unilaterally relieving some sanctions in hopes of
some future concessions, the Biden administration is grabbing defeat from the
jaws of victory.
Yes, the Biden policy hasn’t been total appeasement
so far. Late last month, U.S. military forces launched airstrikes
against operational and weapons-storage facilities at two locations in Syria
and one location in Iraq, where Iranian-backed militias were launching drone
attacks against U.S. forces. And I don’t know if a recent cyberattack against Iran’s rail network was the
work of the U.S. government; it doesn’t really fit our methods or goals. It’s a
civilian target, and the U.S. doesn’t really gain much by lousing up the
commutes of ordinary Iranian citizens:
Iran’s railroad system came under
cyberattack on Friday, a semi-official news agency reported, with hackers
posting fake messages about train delays or cancellations on display boards at
stations across the country.
The hackers posted messages such as
“long delayed because of cyberattack” or “canceled” on the boards. They also
urged passengers to call for information, listing the phone number of the
office of the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Okay, that last detail is funny.
Foreign policy can be complicated, but in the end, it
boils down to incentives, deterrents, and consequences. Right now, the Iranians
don’t even fear the consequences of launching a plot to kidnap an
American citizen off the streets of New York for being an outspoken
critic of the regime.
And speaking of tough rhetoric not matching up with the
administration’s actions . . .
Earlier this week, former assistant attorney general Jack
Goldsmith reached the point of exasperation with the Biden
administration’s warnings to Vladimir Putin about Russian hackers:
On July 9, President Biden warned Russian President Vladimir Putin that the
United States will take “any necessary action,” including imposing unspecified
“consequences,” if Russia does not disrupt ransomware attacks from its soil.
The problem with this warning is that the United States has been publicly
pledging to impose “consequences” on Russia for its cyber actions for at least
five years — usually, as here, following a hand-wringing government
deliberation in the face of a devastating cyber incident. This talk has
persisted even as adverse cyber operations have grown more frequent and
damaging. It is ineffective and, in the aggregate, self-defeating . . .
Amazingly, the United States is in
exactly the place it was five years ago when the Russians interfered in the
2016 election. It still has not figured out how to impose costs on the Russians
that outweigh the Russians’ perceived benefits from these cyber operations.
Whatever combination of public and secret sanctions it has been imposing
clearly is not doing the trick.
A Russian-based hacker group blamed
for a massive ransomware attack earlier this month has gone offline, sparking
speculation about whether the move was the result of a government-led action.
The webpages of the group known as
REvil disappeared from the dark web on July 13, cybersecurity researchers said.
Both its data-leak site and ransom-negotiating portals were unreachable.
The researchers said that it was
unclear whether the outage was the result of actions taken by law enforcement
or whether REvil had voluntarily taken down its sites.
“The situation is still unfolding,
but evidence suggests REvil has suffered a planned, concurrent takedown of
their infrastructure, either by the operators themselves or via industry or law
enforcement action,” John Hultquist of Mandiant Threat Intelligence said in a
statement quoted by AFP.
The White House and U.S. Cyber
Command declined to comment, according to the Associated Press.
Let’s hope REvil becomes permanently REmoved from the
Internet.
Yes, Andrew Cuomo Is Still Lying about New York’s
COVID-19 Death Toll
Remember how lots and lots of progressive activists, and
their allies in the media, were absolutely convinced that the state of
Florida’s death records had been altered and falsified to hide a terrible death
toll because of the decisions of Ron DeSantis? And to this day, they still
insist that’s the case, even though every medical official in the state says
it’s a bunch of nonsense?
It turns out that the story is somewhat close to true, except it’s not DeSantis in Florida,
it’s Andrew Cuomo in New York State:
The federal government’s count of
the COVID-19 death toll in New York has 11,000 more victims than the tally
publicized by the administration of Gov. Andrew Cuomo, which has stuck with a
far more conservative approach to counting virus deaths.
The discrepancy in death counts
continued to widen this year, according to an Associated Press review, even as
the Democrat has come under fire over allegations that his office purposely obscured the number of deaths of nursing home
residents to protect his reputation.
New York state’s official death
count, presented daily to the public and on the state’s Department of Health
website, stood at around 43,000 this week. But the state has provided the
federal government with data that shows roughly 54,000 people have died with
COVID-19 as a cause or contributing factor listed on their death certificate.
“It’s a little strange,” said Bob
Anderson, chief of the Mortality Statistics Branch at the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics. “They’re
providing us with the death certificate information so they have it. I don’t
know why they wouldn’t use those numbers.”
Yes, “strange” is one word for it. “Shameless,”
“appalling,” and “disqualifying from high office” would be others. It would be
nice to live in a world where the true allegation about Cuomo generated as much
anger and denunciation as the false allegation about DeSantis.
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