By Mario Loyola
Thursday, January 05, 2023
The first airplane my father ever boarded
was the one that took him from Puerto Rico to New York to attend the United
States Military Academy at West Point. He graduated in 1967 and fought in the
Vietnam War. During my embed as a journalist in Iraq in 2007, as one platoon
convoy was mounting up, I brimmed with pride when I realized that the vehicle
commanders of all four Humvees were Puerto Rican.
For a century, Puerto Ricans have pledged
allegiance to the flag of the United States, fighting and dying for it. And yet
that has not diminished the island’s distinct identity. Only 10 percent of
Hawaiians identify as native, and only a tiny number of them speak Hawaiian. In
Puerto Rico, by contrast, nearly everyone identifies as Puerto Rican and speaks
Spanish as their first language. Puerto Rico is the only major society to be
swallowed whole by the United States and still think of itself — and still be thought
of internationally — as a distinct people.
Is Puerto Rico a country? One homage to it by a
popular salsa band proclaims, “Esa es mi patria” (“That’s my country”), and it
wouldn’t be strange to hear supporters of Puerto Rican statehood singing it. It
is certainly a Latin American country as far as the rest of Latin America is
concerned, and a leading one at that. A powerhouse in Latin music, for example,
Puerto Rico has a status akin to that long held by Cuba before the Communists.
At different times in my youth, I lived with my
grandparents (as often happens in Latin families), in the seaside town of
Mayagüez. Nearly all the houses in their neighborhood belonged to someone in my
family. My grandmother’s sister lived across the street, close enough that they
could chat and argue from balcony to balcony. Her brother, my grand-uncle,
lived a few houses away, next to my great-grandparents; my cousins, who were my
best friends growing up, were within walking distance.
None of them could speak English, but there’s
nobody to speak anything there now. Today that once-bustling neighborhood sits
eerily abandoned, a common sight in Puerto Rico. The island has lost more than
15 percent of its population since the start of a major fiscal crisis in 2006.
And while 2018’s Hurricane Maria made matters worse, the exodus was well under
way by then. Its overwhelming causes are not natural disasters but federal
policies — in particular a suffocating combination of welfare policy and the
minimum-wage law that has made it virtually impossible for most Puerto Ricans
to find gainful employment. With massive welfare rolls sitting atop a
frightfully tiny tax base, the government of Puerto Rico has found managing its
finances an impossible task.
The great Luis Muñoz Marín, who governed the
island from 1949 to 1965, exhorted Puerto Ricans to take pride in their work.
They did, and Puerto Rico became for a time the most successful society in
Latin America. Right as Cuba plunged into the stygian darkness of Fidel’s
dictatorship, Puerto Rico’s living standards took off. It soon became — under
U.S. protection — a flourishing showcase of freedom.
Alas, just as that strategy, which guaranteed
Puerto Rico’s security, currency, and rule of law with minimal federal
interference, was really working, the U.S. replaced it with the straitjacket of
progressive social policies, and Puerto Rico was plunged into utter dependency
on U.S. taxpayers. As long as the federal government continues to run such
programs with no flexibility for local conditions, neither Puerto Rico nor any
other disproportionately low-skilled workforce (such as those in American inner
cities) will ever reach its potential.
Puerto Rico desperately needs autonomy from
progressive social policies so that it can re-create the conditions of a
productive workforce and competitive economy. Unfortunately, the United States
is headed in the opposite direction, toward an increasing centralization of
power within a progressive scheme of government that has swallowed up
Republicans and Democrats alike. With many Republicans now abandoning
free-market principles and embracing heavy-handed government solutions, the
United States is headed toward socialism on an increasingly bipartisan basis.
Puerto Rico’s only hope may well be independence.
***
During Muñoz Marín’s years as governor,
Puerto Rico came to be known as an “economic miracle,” with income rising from
20 percent of the U.S. average to 40 percent. In 1964, direct federal transfers
to residents accounted for just 5 percent of Puerto Rico’s personal income. As
capital-intensive industries (e.g., pharmaceuticals) replaced labor-intensive
ones (e.g., sugarcane cultivation), Puerto Ricans increasingly filled
managerial positions long held by Americans and other foreigners.
Then came the flood of federal handouts. In the
1970s, the federal minimum wage was imposed on Puerto Rico while welfare
benefits were introduced at close to full federal levels. The minimum wage is
just a prohibition on employing low-skilled labor; in effect, for everyone with
a marginal product lower than the set wage, it deprives them of the right to
work entirely. The higher the minimum wage is set in relation to average wages,
the greater the disemployment effect, and in Puerto Rico, as in America’s inner
cities, the effect was disastrous. A flood of welfare dollars replaced
productive income for a large fraction of Puerto Rico’s labor force. Direct
federal transfers to Puerto Rican families quickly rose to 20 percent of
average household income; today, it’s more than 40 percent. When you add
federal grants to Puerto Rico’s government, U.S. taxpayers are paying for more
than half of the commonwealth’s GDP. It’s a staggering waste of money, and it’s
only poisoning Puerto Rico, like the heroin to which so many of its youth have
succumbed.
Not surprisingly, half the island’s residents
are on some kind of federal welfare, a transformation that happened almost
overnight. In 1973, Puerto Rico had one of the highest levels of nutrition in
Latin America. But when federal food stamps were introduced, the income threshold
was set so high that half of all Puerto Ricans qualified for them. Millions of
Puerto Ricans who had never considered themselves poor were now officially
below the federal poverty line and sucked into the cycle of dependency.
By 1980, food stamps accounted for an
astonishing 7.5 percent of Puerto Rico’s household income, compared with 0.5
percent on the mainland U.S. After years of steady gains as women entered the
workforce, labor-force participation began falling and never stopped. Household
income fell from 40 percent of the U.S. average to barely 30 percent in just a
few years, a huge step backward for a society that had been steadily catching
up with the mainland.
By significantly shrinking the number of Puerto
Ricans who were gainfully employed and correspondingly increasing the number
dependent on welfare, the federal government created the perfect conditions for
a Greece-style fiscal crisis. The main reason such a crisis didn’t happen in
the 1970s was the simultaneous introduction of a major federal tax shelter,
Section 936 of the Internal Revenue Code, which drew large corporations to
Puerto Rico. No longer taxable by the IRS, the income of companies that
benefited from Section 936 was still taxable by local government, so a large
new source of corporate tax revenue cushioned the impact of a suddenly
diminished tax base, all at huge cost to U.S. taxpayers.
When Section 936 was finally phased out in
2006, the fiscal crisis that had long hung over Puerto Rico came crashing down.
Labor-force participation nose-dived, falling below 30 percent, perhaps the
lowest in the world. By comparison, during the worst of Greece’s fiscal crisis,
labor-force participation never fell below 50 percent. And in Puerto Rico, most
people who work at all are employed in a myriad of government agencies, so the
labor-force-participation rate in the private sector was in the teens. The
impact on local-government finances was catastrophic; public utilities soon
started defaulting on their bonds.
In 2016, Congress stepped in and enacted
PROMESA (the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act),
which established a fiscal-oversight board with broad powers to manage Puerto
Rico’s finances. Progressives in Washington slammed the board’s intrusion on
Puerto Rico’s sovereignty, a comical complaint given that it was their
intrusion into the territory’s sovereignty — with their ruinous social
engineering — that had caused the problem in the first place.
Many people on and off the island blamed Puerto
Rico’s own government for the crisis, and its performance has admittedly been
abysmal. According to the World Bank’s Governance Indicators, Puerto Rico ranks
in the bottom half among world governments, well behind Chile and Costa Rica.
Of the last three governors, one was arrested by the FBI on corruption charges,
and another had to resign after text messages came to light in which he and
close confidants engaged in vulgar and embarrassingly juvenile insults against
other politicians and journalists.
The PROMESA oversight board has had difficulty
untangling the mess of Puerto Rico’s finances. With 13 different government
agencies having issued bonds, each purporting to have senior status, it was
hard to establish even a baseline order of priority among creditors.
Unsurprisingly, Puerto Rico’s budget, though cut under the PROMESA oversight
board, remains severely bloated. And the results are abysmal, with educational
performance particularly woeful. “The roads are still full of holes,” one
longtime resident tells me. “Everything is a problem, and it’s all the same
problems as ten and 20 years ago. Nothing gets resolved. Nobody fixes
anything.”
That should sound familiar to many Americans.
The vagrancy and listless business activity besetting many cities in America
are purely the result of progressive social policies and their effects on the
least skilled, who are driven out of the workforce — cut off from the
productive economy and from pathways to gain skills and rise up the income
ladder. In Puerto Rico, with lower educational levels than in most of the
United States, those effects have been apocalyptic.
If only the fiscal-oversight board had much
greater powers, it might be able to save Puerto Rico. No chance. A measure
meant, as part of PROMESA, to relax minimum-wage laws for young people in their
first year of employment was watered down at the insistence of progressives.
The “opportunity zones” in President Trump’s 2017 tax reform were a small step
in the right direction, but much more is needed. With welfare inflating all
prices in Puerto Rico beyond what local labor can afford, and paying most
residents to stay out of the workforce altogether, there is nothing the board
can do to create sustainable finances.
***
Writing in the Atlantic,
Jaquira Díaz claimed that in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria in 2018, people
on the island could see that “there is no benevolent American savior coming to
help Puerto Rico. Every day, people see that there is only them, doing everything
for themselves.”
That is a shameful lie. I was on one of the
first commercial airliners to land in Puerto Rico after Maria, and I was
shocked at how quickly Americans had swung into action. Inside the airport
itself, scores of workers from the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
were rewiring the electricity and repairing the roof. Military-transport planes
with emergency supplies were alternating with airliners landing at a dizzying
rate, sometimes barely 30 seconds apart.
Outside the capital, the island was a
horrifying mess of felled trees, tangled power lines, and impassable roads.
Americans were soon fixing that as well, clearing roads, transporting emergency
supplies to the interior, re-laying the electricity grid’s cross-island trunk
lines with heavy military helicopters. It wasn’t long before the federal
government had spent the equivalent of Puerto Rico’s entire GDP on the recovery
effort, with much of the island a semipermanent encampment of FEMA employees.
With many Puerto Ricans sitting around doing
nothing the whole time, America’s generosity was almost embarrassing,
especially with the many malagradecidos who were soon
demanding even more help. Many Puerto Ricans were furious when the mayor of San
Juan criticized the American response as insufficient, but unfortunately too
many of them have acquired from their fellow Americans the awful habit of
feeling entitled to things one should be grateful for. If only Díaz’s calumny
were accurate, Puerto Ricans would at least have the dignity of self-reliance.
Now progressives want to impose their racial
politics, too, on Puerto Rico. Dios nos libre. Díaz imagines “our
language and its music and its Black history, our people taken from Africa to
Haiti to Puerto Rico.” Another lie: Puerto Rican culture has deep African
roots, but most Puerto Ricans are descended from Spaniards. In any case, few
Puerto Ricans care about that. They are all criollo, a word that in
Spanish has no racial connotation and merely denotes someone of European or
African descent born in the New World. Growing up, I always thought of skin
color the way you might think of hair color, a detail of no importance.
And how could it be otherwise? Everyone in
Puerto Rico, regardless of skin color, has the same accent, eats the same food,
and listens to the same music. Only when I got to the University of Wisconsin
did I see for the first time the reality of America’s infinitely depressing
race relations: different races walking in different worlds on the same
sidewalk. That is the last thing anyone should want for Puerto Rico.
So what status should Puerto Rico have? Its
residents are about evenly divided on the question of statehood vs. remaining a
commonwealth; a small percentage want “independence,” when the option is
offered at all on the occasional plebiscites. When I was growing up, independentistas were
a comical curiosity, mostly crazy people, communists, and university
professors. I take independence more seriously now.
Residents of Puerto Rico cannot vote in federal
elections. The island’s one representative in Congress (the “resident
commissioner”) has a status similar to that of a panhandler with floor
privileges, a role that the current one, Jenniffer González-Colón, has taken to
with relish.
In the U.S., the question of Puerto Rico’s
status makes for weird politics. Republicans should want statehood for Puerto
Rico like a hole in the head, because Puerto Ricans’ heavy dependence on
welfare would make them a reliable Democratic constituency. Despite this, the
Republican Party nominally favors statehood, perhaps out of some nostalgia for
the big-tent patriotism of an earlier generation.
On the Democratic side, the situation is even
weirder. Statehood was long anathema to Democrats of an anti-imperialist bent,
but Bill Clinton brought a less ideological and more interested politics to the
party and soon saw the benefits of aligning with the pro-statehood governor of
Puerto Rico, Pedro Rosselló. It was they who hatched the plan to end the
Section 936 tax shelter, in order to eliminate a perennial argument against
statehood.
If there were some way to escape the unintended
consequences of progressive policies, Puerto Rico could perhaps preserve its
cultural identity as part of the United States. Without the catastrophic
inflation of federal dollars, with the right to work restored and a dynamic
workforce able to compete on price, Puerto Rico could become an economic
dynamo, drawing back hundreds of thousands of its exiles.
The unfortunate reality is that America is now
firmly in the grip of a progressive system of government, regardless of the
party in power. That means an increasing concentration of power in the federal
executive branch, which can only increase dependency and powerlessness among
minority communities long beset by those conditions; for Puerto Rico, statehood
would only leave it even more vulnerable to these same dangers. In the
meantime, Democrats are content to look the other way as welfare beneficiaries
across America languish in indolence, crime, and suffocating dependency. They
are likely still generations away from waking up to the horror of what they
have done to those they meant to help, and by the time they do, there may be no
Puerto Ricans left in Puerto Rico.
When I think back to my childhood there, I
remember waking up to the crowing of roosters, windows and doors wide open to
the hot beaming sunlight and tropical breeze. I remember Christmas in a
Catholic land, songs about the baby Jesus, accompanied by quatros and guiros and
the tap-tap of the clave. I remember being able to walk from house
to house in a neighborhood full of relatives, hearing their sayings and their
seemingly endless laughter. I would have liked my son to spend part of his
childhood in that warm and beautiful place, speaking Spanish, learning music,
playing with cousins.
God willing, he may still have a chance. Luis
Muñoz Marín knew the way. He reminded Puerto Ricans that by being
self-sufficient, they could preserve both their identity and the “profound
union” with America. “The more pride Puerto Ricans have in themselves, the more
they can offer to their fellow citizens of the United States,” he once said.
Alas, pride is not compatible with the
enfeebling dependency of the progressive state, and countries condemned to a
hundred years of handouts may not get a second opportunity on earth.
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