By Matthew Continetti
Thursday, August 26, 2021
Four. That’s the number of crises Joe Biden said the
nation faced when he accepted the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. His
list included the coronavirus pandemic, the precarious economy, ensuring racial
equity in the aftermath of the George Floyd killing, and climate change. By the
time Biden became president, he had added to his index of emergencies the fate
of democracy, truth, and America’s role in the world. “Any one of these would
be enough to challenge us in profound ways,” Biden said during his inaugural
address. “But the fact is we face them all at once, presenting this nation with
the gravest of responsibilities.”
They are responsibilities that Biden cannot handle. Not
only has he failed to solve the problems he identified during the campaign;
he’s created a whole new set of challenges that run from America’s southern border
to the Hindu Kush. As a result, the public has re-evaluated his conduct and
capability. The buzzwords that filled coverage of Biden’s early days —
“hypercompetent,” “normalcy,” “unity,” “transformative” — now seem
inappropriate and silly. The comparisons that some pundits made last spring
between Biden and LBJ, FDR, and Ronald Reagan were premature at the time. Now
they just look ridiculous.
Every presidency has bad moments. What makes Biden’s
rough patch notable is its suddenness and contingency. Only a few months ago,
it might have seemed as if he was making progress on issues such as the
pandemic and the economy. Unexpected developments, as well as unforced errors
on the border and in Afghanistan, have now undermined confidence in his
leadership and eroded his public standing. The Delta variant of the
coronavirus, inflation, crime, illegal immigration, and national humiliation at
the hands of the Taliban have done more than complicate Biden’s efforts to sign
into law the largest expansion of government since the Great Society. They have
put Democratic control of Congress at risk — and the country in jeopardy.
Biden is president because his priorities tracked closely
with those of the 2020 electorate. Take the coronavirus pandemic. The plurality
of voters who rated it the most important issue in a postelection poll by Fox
News supported Biden two to one. While the national exit poll conducted by
Edison Research had a slightly more complicated and confusing issue breakdown,
it also showed that the voters who had rated either the pandemic or health-care
policy as the most important issue went for Biden by lopsided margins.
Americans gave Biden’s coronavirus response high marks
during the first half of the year. He took the pandemic seriously. His team
ramped up production and distribution of the vaccines authorized for emergency
use under his predecessor. In a March speech, Biden predicted that the summer
of 2021 would “begin to mark our independence from this virus.” In May, the
Centers for Disease Control announced that vaccinated individuals no longer
needed to wear masks indoors. Case numbers and deaths plunged from January
through July.
Then things got worse. The first sign that Biden wasn’t
in charge of the situation came in April, when the Food and Drug Administration
temporarily paused injections of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. This
decision arrested the momentum of the vaccination campaign and illustrated the
dangers of bureaucratic caprice. Meanwhile, the Delta variant of the virus
spread among the unvaccinated. Case numbers picked up. Hospitalizations and
deaths followed. On July 27, the CDC reversed its previous guidance and
recommended once again that vaccinated people in areas of high transmission
wear masks indoors. The messages from public-health authorities were
contradictory, confusing, and dispiriting. Biden seemed powerless.
What was once a political asset turned into a liability.
Two-thirds of adults approved of Biden’s handling of the coronavirus in a
February 2021 Gallup poll. By August, that number had dropped 16 points. “All
party groups are now more critical of Biden’s handling of the coronavirus
situation compared with February,” wrote pollster Jeffrey M. Jones, “with
approval among Republicans and independents down roughly 20 points.” Moreover,
independents have begun to disapprove of Biden’s performance in general. As
recently as June, they gave him a job-approval rating of 55 percent. Only 43
percent of independents approved in August.
The pandemic was not even the only crisis in which Biden
was flailing. The economy was never his best issue — voters for whom it was the
top priority in 2020 went for Donald Trump — but the gradual recovery from the
coronavirus-induced recession and the passage of the $2 trillion American
Rescue Plan helped Biden’s standing at the beginning of his term. In the
February Gallup poll, 54 percent of adults approved of his handling of the
economy. By August, however, that rating had fallen to 46 percent.
The reason was inflation. Rising prices have increased
the cost of living, diminished wage gains, and soured voters on the president’s
economic management. In a Morning Consult poll from late July, 59 percent of
registered voters blamed Biden for inflation. In early August, a Hill-HarrisX
poll found that inflation was registered voters’ top economic worry. Around the
same time, 86 percent of the registered voters surveyed in a Fox News poll said
that it was a concern. The president’s response has been to downplay the
threat. “Our experts believe and the data shows that most of the price
increases we’ve seen were expected and expected to be temporary,” Biden said in
July. He hopes so.
Neither racial inequity nor climate change has proven any
easier for Biden to fix. “For the second consecutive year, U.S. adults’
positive ratings of relations between Black and White Americans are at their
lowest point in more than two decades of measurement,” wrote Gallup’s Megan
Brenan in July. Judges have blocked Biden’s attempt to forgive the debts of
minority farmers because it violates civil-rights law. Parents nationwide have
rebelled against school boards eager to import critical race theory into the
classroom. The Black Lives Matter movement has hemorrhaged support. In June
2020, as Biden planned his nomination-acceptance speech, a Yahoo News/YouGov
poll of U.S. adults found 57 percent of them approving Black Lives Matter. One
year later, 42 percent of Americans approved.
The public is worried about crime. In a USA Today/Ipsos
poll from early summer, two-thirds of adults said that crime had grown worse
over the past year. One-third of adults said that they had witnessed a crime
spike in their own neighborhood. Seventy percent of adults called for
additional funding for police departments. Seventy-seven percent wanted more
cops on the beat. Navigator, a Democratic polling company, reported in July
that majorities of Democrats, independents, Republicans, blacks, Hispanics, and
whites considered violent crime a “major crisis.” In late June, as fears over
public safety became unignorable, Biden tried to reframe the crime debate as an
argument for gun control. His messaging flopped.
A similar atmosphere of irrelevance and impotence
surrounds Biden’s climate policy. Biden reentered the Paris climate agreement
but is far from reaching a deal to limit either China’s or India’s
greenhouse-gas emissions. He signed a nonbinding, symbolic executive order
calling for half of the new auto fleet manufactured each year to be composed
of electric vehicles by 2030. He canceled the Keystone XL pipeline, paused the
issuance of new drilling leases on public lands and waters, suspended oil and
gas leases in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge that the Trump administration
had approved, and is under pressure from the Left to restrict U.S. exports of
liquid natural gas.
Yet Biden has a rather la-di-da attitude toward carbon
emissions elsewhere. He acquiesced to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline between Russia
and Germany, which makes it possible for Vladimir Putin to cut off energy
supplies to Ukraine without jeopardizing Western European markets. He asked
OPEC to ramp up oil production, showing more concern for the domestic political
cost of high gasoline prices than for the environmental and strategic costs of
empowering the cartel. His negotiators in Vienna promised to drop sanctions on
Iran’s energy sector if the Islamic Republic reenters the 2014 nuclear deal.
The mullahs aren’t into solar panels.
None of these moves will appease Greta Thunberg. Nor will
they lower energy prices for everyday Americans, reduce the trade deficit, or
weaken America’s adversaries. They are the definition of counterproductive.
Biden also made a big show of undoing his predecessor’s
immigration policies. He suspended construction of the border wall. He lifted
the so-called Muslim ban on travel and immigration from 13 countries. He ended
the “Remain in Mexico” policy that required asylum-seekers to wait there as
U.S. courts adjudicated their claims. He exited the “safe third country”
agreements with Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador that instructed migrants
to apply for asylum in the first nation they entered. He exempted minors from
“Title 42” protocols that allow for rapid deportation during public-health
emergencies.
Guess what happened next. The number of individuals
detained on the southern border swelled. Every month broke records. July was
the busiest month on the border in 21 years. Never has the United States taken
into custody more family units and unaccompanied minors. When the fiscal year
ends on September 30, more than 1 million illegal migrants will have been
detained. Many of them have been released into the U.S. interior.
Biden can neither explain nor stop the deluge. At first,
he said that the surge was seasonal. It wasn’t. Then Vice President Harris
traveled to Guatemala and told migrants not to come. They kept coming.
Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas recently told Border Patrol
agents that “we can’t continue like this, our people in the field can’t
continue and our system isn’t built for it.” Note his use of the present tense.
The Trump administration did build a system that mostly secured the southern
border. Biden wrecked it.
The unfolding disaster in Afghanistan is another direct
consequence of Biden’s ineptitude. His failure to plan for the chaos that would
follow America’s exit resulted in a humanitarian disaster and a potential
mass-hostage situation as some 6,000 U.S. troops evacuated tens of thousands of
U.S. citizens and Afghan partners from a single airport in Kabul ringed by
Taliban checkpoints. Biden’s word has been exposed as worthless. He said that
the Afghan army wouldn’t fall to the Taliban. It did. He said that al-Qaeda is
not in Afghanistan. It is. He said that our allies haven’t questioned America’s
credibility. They have. The British parliament held the withdrawal in
contempt, and former British prime minister Tony Blair called the logic behind
it “imbecilic.”
That’s an understatement. As the 78-year-old Biden gets
ready to exit the political arena, he seems intent on recreating the conditions
that prevailed when he entered it a half century ago. Inflation, crime,
American retreat — these hallmarks of the 1970s have returned. And they have
joined postmodern threats, such as a worldwide pandemic, unchecked migration,
climate change, and the global jihadist-Salafist movement. Biden has been
president for less than a year. The number of crises buffeting American
politics, economics, society, and culture already has multiplied beyond his
control.
In the run-up to the 2020 campaign, President Obama
reportedly told a fellow Democrat, “Don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to f***
things up.” No one will make that mistake anytime soon.
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