By Jonathan S. Tobin
Friday, July 20, 2018
Never have President Donald Trump’s loyalists been put to
a sterner test than they were in the wake of his Helsinki press conference with
Russian President Vladimir Putin. His comments, which put as much faith in
Putin’s protestations of innocence in meddling in the 2016 election as the
verdict of U.S. intelligence agencies, set off a storm of protest that seemed
to dwarf the many previous instances in which the president had outraged his
opponents.
The spectacle of a U.S. president taking sides against
his own government while standing alongside a hostile foreign leader abroad was
too much, even for many congressional Republicans. Yet while they struggled to
come up with a stance that would make clear the party’s willingness to stop
Russia — even if their president wouldn’t — much of the Trump base remained
loyal, especially the crucial contingent of Fox News prime time hosts.
Following the lead of the devoted Trump followers on social
media, Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham did their best in the
days following the Helsinki debacle to rally the troops and reassure them that
what Trump had done was not so bad. Nor were those efforts lessened by Trump’s
halting and ultimately self-contradictory efforts to walk back his gaffe by
saying that he trusted the verdict of the U.S. intelligence community — a mere
matter of a grammar slip up, he tried to argue.
As with every past Trump gaffe or outrage, liberals have
turned to conservatives and demanded whether this will finally cause them to
abandon the president. But even though Helsinki disgusted many Republicans, the
answer to that question is still “no.” The overwhelming majority of Republicans
would not trade control of the judiciary or accomplishments like tax reform,
the pullout from the Iran nuclear or the moving of the U.S. embassy to
Jerusalem, even if it meant ensuring that an end to such moments.
The Republican Party isn’t on the verge of schism, with
Never Trumpers going one way and the Trump base going another. There are too
few of the former to make a real difference, and most of those who identify
with the GOP have made their peace with the president, because he has governed
like a conservative.
Even after Helsinki, the “but Gorsuch” arguments (now
augmented by the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court) are
enough to keep Republicans loyal. Indeed, Trump delivering on most of his
campaign promises to the GOP base explains why his approval rating among
Republicans is comparable to George W. Bush’s poll numbers after 9/11.
But while that is enough to silence criticism of Trump
under normal circumstances, the extraordinary nature of the encounter with
Putin has led many Republicans to insist that they must make some sort of
gesture to ensure that the Russians understand his theatrics don’t represent
U.S. policy. That should, among other proposals, entail new, more stringent
sanctions on Russia.
But any effort to push back against Trump will generate
anger from the base. Many of his supporters, like some of the his apologists on
Fox, are trotting out arguments intended to either rationalize or downplay what
happened in Helsinki.
These should be examined. The first argument excusing
Trump centers on the fact that most of his supporters don’t really pay much
attention to his statements, whether they are true or not.
Salena Vito’s insight about the 2016 campaign still
holds. Trump’s supporters take him seriously but not literally. His opponents
take him literally but not seriously. Trump’s refusal to admit that the
Russians interfered in the election — likely motivated by his inability to
separate that fact from unproven allegations about collusion with the Trump
campaign — even when his hand-picked director of national intelligence
contradicts him, is just noise to his supporters. Same goes when he sticks to a
willingness to back up America’s NATO treaty obligations. His supporters prefer
instead to look at his policies and dismiss anything he says as irrelevant.
That is possible even with respect to Russia because, as
Republicans can rightly insist, his administration’s policies contradict
Trump’s soft words. Look at the policies enacted by the State Department and
Congress in terms of maintaining sanctions on Moscow, beefing up NATO
commitments to the Baltic states that are threatened by the Russians and arming
Ukraine, for example.
But the reality is that a president treating Putin’s
disingenuous claim of innocence on equal footing with the conclusion of U.S. intelligence
agencies is in fact a policy. Trump’s supine posture in Putin’s presence
undermines all the good that his administration has done, because neither the
Russians nor U.S. allies can be sure the U.S. will ever stand up to Moscow as
long as Trump is president. His signals about disregarding America’s article 5
NATO obligations are the sort of noise that drowns out other U.S. actions.
The next excuse for Trump’s indifference to Russian
election interference consists of reminders that the United States has also
interfered in other country’s elections. While this is a classic case of
whataboutism, it is also true.
U.S. governments have interfered in foreign elections
numerous times. From America’s post-World War II efforts to back democratic
elements against communists in the ruins of a shattered Europe, to the present
day, both Democratic and Republican administrations have intervened to promote
favored candidates and parties.
Nor have all of those efforts been confined to efforts to
defend democracy against totalitarians. In one of the most egregious examples,
the U.S. has done its best to elect governments in Israel that it thought would
be more willing to make concessions to that country’s Arab foes and thereby
prop up the Middle East peace process.
George H.W. Bush successfully undermined the Likud
government led by Yitzhak Shamir in 1992 by threatening to withdraw aid and to
deny loan guarantees to fund housing for immigrants from the former Soviet
Union, leading to the victory of Labor government that handed the West Bank and
Gaza over to PLO leader Yasir Arafat.
Bill Clinton failed to defeat Benjamin Netanyahu in 1996
despite pulling out the stops to back Shimon Peres’s failed campaign.
Barack Obama worked hard to defeat Netanyahu but failed
in 2009, 2013 and 2015. In the latter instance, American intervention was even
more brazen than anything the Russians did in 2016, as the State Department
even funneled money via non-government agencies that wound up funding a
political action committee that worked to defeat the prime minister.
Nor have U.S. electoral interventions in the Middle East
been confined to Israel. The George W. Bush administration sought to boost the
supposedly more moderate Fatah against the Islamists of Hamas in the last
Palestinian election. And Obama first helped oust longtime Egyptian dictator
Hosni Mubarak. He then demanded that the Egyptian military allow a Muslim
Brotherhood government to be elected before a popular uprising led by the armed
forces ousted it.
But the fact that the U.S. is also guilty of this offense
doesn’t excuse Russia or deal with the possibility that Moscow will try again
this year. More to the point, every instance of U.S. intervention was a case of
a major power seeking to work its will on what Washington considered a client
state. That was an insult to Israel and every other ally. But it isn’t likely
that any future president will refrain from throwing America’s weight around if
it might serve the nation’s interests.
If we shrug our shoulders at the Russians doing what
Americans have done, that is more or less accepting the notion that Moscow’s
nefarious efforts to undermine U.S. values and democracy are morally equivalent
to American actions. Doing so also implicitly acknowledges the idea that Russia
is a great power that can do as it likes here — something that no patriot could
possibly accept. All of which means the “we do it too” excuse won’t wash.
The other “whataboutism” that resonates for Republicans
is comparing Trump’s stance toward Russia to President Obama’s frequent
apologies for past U.S. sins. It’s true that Obama’s repudiation of American
exceptionalism and willingness to appear contrite to the Third World in general
and Muslim countries in particular, as his June 2009 Cairo speech indicated.
But there is a difference between even that dismal
performance and Trump seeming to bow to Putin’s will after he flouted U.S.
laws. The Obama was worse argument also fails, because being no worse than
someone Republicans considered a disgrace hardly exonerates Trump.
Another excuse for Trump is the hypocrisy of the left
about Russia. As some of the president’s defenders have rightly noted, the
current hysteria among Democrats about the threat from Russia exceeds that of
the most ardent conservative Cold Warriors prior to the fall of the Berlin
Wall. Whereas a generation ago, liberals bent over backwards to rationalize and
downplay Soviet imperialism and violation of norms, they now seem to be
demanding something close to a declaration of war against Putin’s regime.
But while liberals are hypocrites about Russia, it’s
arguable that Trump apologists are even worse, since now it is they who are
rationalizing and excusing what Mitt Romney rightly labeled as America’s
greatest geopolitical foe. It ill behooves Republicans who rightly lambasted
Obama for promising to be more flexible with Putin after he was re-elected, to
excuse even more brazen appeasement from Trump. For conservative media outlets
like Fox to treat leftist opponents of American security like Glenn Greenwald
or Russian apologists like Stephen F. Cohen as credible sources is nothing
short of outrageous.
It’s true that any president should be willing to meet
with an important adversary, and that Russia and the U.S. can cooperate on
issues like terrorism and getting Iran out of Syria. But that doesn’t absolve
Trump from abasing himself in front of Putin, giving the Russians a pass for
criminal activity, or for undermining the credibility of NATO deterrence and
America’s treaty obligations.
Republicans shouldn’t be expected to defect to the
Democrats like some of the Never Trumpers have done. But it is necessary for
Congress to do something to restore American credibility. If Trump continues to
govern as a conservative he will not lose the support of his party. But those
who make excuses for Trump’s egregious failure at Helsinki, or who think the
GOP must be silent about it, are doing neither their party nor this
administration any favors.
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