By Rupert Darwall
Thursday, June 18, 2015
Hopes that the pope’s encyclical will narrow the
climate-change divide are likely to be dashed.
“The earth, our home, is beginning to look more and more
like an immense pile of filth,” Pope Francis tells us in his encyclical Laudato
si’. The encyclical had climate alarmists in a swoon for the pope’s deep dive
into climate policy and taking a swing at skeptics for denial and
obstructionism. But the encyclical has the merit of honesty in not maintaining
any pretense of objectivity and balance. “Our goal is not to amass information
or to satisfy curiosity” — the pope writes in an allusion to the disinterested
quest for scientific knowledge — “but rather to become painfully aware, to dare
to turn what is happening to the world into our own personal suffering and thus
to discover what each of us can do about it.”
Like other environmental activists, the pope — who might
now be considered the world’s leading green — is using global warming to
prosecute a deeply ecological, anti-capitalist agenda. Designed to influence
the outcome of the Paris climate talks in December, the Pope’s message would
have been the same even if alarmist scientists had not misinformed him that the
planet had been warming in recent decades, when there has been little or no
warming for nearly two decades. “Our concern cannot be limited merely to the
threat of extreme weather events, but must also extend to the catastrophic
consequences of social unrest,” the pope writes. “Obsession with a consumerist
lifestyle, above all when few people are capable of maintaining it, can only
lead to violence and mutual destruction.”
We are living in a period of “deep crisis,” he says, and
the document is littered with warnings of impending ecological crisis. In 1971,
Pope Paul VI had spoken of an “ecological catastrophe” caused by the explosive
growth of industrial civilization and stressed the urgent need for “a radical
change in the conduct of humanity.” That change didn’t happen — and neither did
the catastrophe. But then, as the present pope concedes, “things do not look
that serious and the planet could continue as it is for some time.”
Laudato si’ is a throwback to the limits-to-growth debate
of the early 1970s. The idea of unlimited growth, says the pope, is based on
the lie (menzogna in the original Italian) that there is “an infinite supply of
the earth’s goods,” demonstrating the pope’s fallibility when it comes to
understanding economics and innovation. As John Paul II wrote, in developed
countries, wealth is about the possession of know-how, technology, and skill —
but the current pope is a fan of the precautionary principle, which would block
technological advance. The pope suggests containing economic growth by “setting
some reasonable limits and even retracing our steps before it is too late.” It
is the Club of Rome (a think tank founded in 1968 to limit population growth and
“to stop the suicidal roller coaster man now rides”) without abortion.
Self-evidently, population growth without economic growth can only result in
growing immiserization.
Parts of the encyclical read like a reactionary diatribe
against industrialization and the modern world. “Never have we so hurt and
mistreated our common home as we have in the last two hundred years,” the pope
says. He is against urbanization (“we were not meant to be inundated by cement,
asphalt, glass, and metal”), the culture of consumerism (prioritizing
“short-term gain and private interest”), social media (“their influence can
stop people from learning how to live wisely”), and even newer and more
powerful air-conditioning irresponsibly promoted by businesses stimulating ever
greater demand (“an outsider looking at our world would be amazed at such
behavior, which at times appears self-destructive”). Perhaps the pope realized
he’d overdone it. “Who can deny the beauty of an aircraft or a skyscraper?” he
asks, after quoting John Paul II on the benefits of science and technology and
his immediate predecessor on mankind’s urge to overcome our material
limitations.
Much of the pope’s prescription is reheated rhetoric from
the 1970s and the U.N.-sponsored New International Economic Order on systems of
governance for the “global commons” and the North’s exploitation of the South’s
resources. The Declaration on the Establishment of the New International Order
portrays unregulated businesses as predatory and destructive. Technology linked
to business interests promotes the throwaway society, it says. Unlike nature,
which recycles, “we have not yet managed to adopt a circular model of
production capable of preserving resources for present and future generations.”
Muddled, confused, and contradictory as all this is, it
is mild in comparison with Paul VI’s 1967 encyclical Progressio populorum. Paul
VI endorsed expropriation of large estates, denounced unbridled liberalism as
creating a tyranny, argued that richer nations’ “superfluous wealth” should be
given to poor nations, attacked free trade, and advocated government planning.
However, the comparison with Francis and John Paul II is stark. The Polish pope
experienced Communism and saw at first hand its degradation of the human spirit
and its total failure as an economic system, and he understood the link between
the two.
In his 1991 encyclical Centesimus Annus, John Paul II
asked whether capitalism should be the model for Third World countries seeking
a path of economic and civil progress. The answer depended on the definition of
capitalism:
If by “capitalism” [it] is meant an economic system which recognizes the fundamental and positive role of business, the market, private property and the resulting responsibility for the means of production, as well as free human creativity in the economic sector, then the answer is certainly in the affirmative.
By contrast, the first pope from the Third World shows no
understanding of why Argentina is one of the biggest economic failures of the
second half of the 20th century. In 1900, Argentina’s GDP per capita (measured
in purchasing power parity) was more than 50 percent higher than Italy’s, where
the pope’s father had been born. On being elected in 1946, General Perón was
surprised by Argentina’s huge gold and foreign-currency reserves: “We have the
Central Bank full of gold and we don’t know where to put it any more” Thanks in
part to the Second World War, Argentina’s GDP per capita at that time was
four-fifths higher than Italy’s. Within three years, Perón had solved the gold
storage problem. Inflation was over 50 percent and the Central Bank’s gold
reserves had been blown. In 1959, Italy overtook Argentina, and by the end of
the century, Italy’s GDP per capita was more than double Argentina’s.
The pope’s green Peronism is hardly going to persuade
American conservatives to join his climate crusade. Indeed, the pope invites
disagreement with his views. “The Church does not presume to settle scientific
questions or to replace politics,” the Pope writes in Laudato si.’ “But I am
concerned to encourage an honest and open debate.” Surely everyone can agree
with that.
No comments:
Post a Comment