National Review Online
Monday, April 13, 2015
The suspense is over. Hillary Clinton is running for
president. Gird yourselves for a grim forced march to a Democratic coronation.
Republican candidates should do more than that,
obviously. Although the Republicans will spend the next several months running
against one another, none should lose sight of their likely general-election
opponent and her message. Making the case for themselves should encompass
making the case against Clinton and for conservative principles and policies that
will appeal not only to Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina Republicans
next spring, but to most Americans come November 2016.
Although Hillary Clinton has mostly avoided statements of
substance, she obviously sees America’s economic sluggishness much as the
current president does — as a consequence of income inequality, a stingy
minimum wage, the decline of labor unions, and, in general, America’s turn to
the right in the Reagan era.
All indications are that Clinton plans to repackage her
husband’s economic policies, peddling the notion that they turned the economy
around in the 1990s and can do so again — dubious contentions both. The
recession that Bill Clinton ran against in 1992 was already over when he took
office, and while he was sound on a few issues — NAFTA, for instance — his most
extravagantly liberal initiatives were defeated early in his presidency, and
thereafter the new Republican Congress brought needed restraint on taxes,
regulation, and spending. In any case, the economy is greatly changed from the
1990s, so we cannot benefit from the favorable demographic and geopolitical
trends of that era. And we aren’t going to boost stagnating middle-class
incomes by promoting labor unions or rationing carbon.
Running against a recycled agenda is a necessary
component of a Republican victory next year, but not a sufficient one.
Clinton’s opponents should articulate an economic agenda broader and deeper
than cuts to marginal tax rates and vague calls for deregulation. That agenda
should include market-based health-care policies to replace Obamacare and increase
coverage while lowering costs; reforms to break up the higher-education cartel
that has saddled millions of Americans with crushing student-loan debt; tax
relief for middle-class parents; and policies that would capitalize on
America’s rich energy resources, which the current administration has ignored
or abandoned.
Clinton’s tenure as America’s chief diplomat, meanwhile,
will help her little. Beyond her being famously well traveled, Clinton led a
Department of State best known now for the misbegotten “reset” with Russia, for
administering special favors to administration donors, for ignoring requests
for increased security at the American consulate in Libya, and for an illicit
e-mail arrangement for Clinton and her closest aides. Clinton was complicit in
President Obama’s failed foreign policy from the beginning, and there is little
to suggest that she rejects its erroneous premises. What we can expect from a
Clinton administration is a continuation of Obama’s policies, with even worse
ethics.
The current Republican field should set out a strong,
responsible alternative to the Democratic strategy of preemptive capitulation.
Reasserting the vitality of NATO, arming our allies in Kurdistan and Ukraine,
redoubling sanctions against the Iranian regime, reaching out to alienated
allies (such as Israel) — there is much the United States can do, in both the
short and the long term, to secure America and American interests abroad.
No one is inevitable. Hillary Clinton has been hovering
about the heights of American political power for nearly three decades, yet she
has almost no substantive accomplishments to show for it, and her best plans
for the next eight years are likely to be the repurposed policies of Democratic
administrations past. She’s beatable, and the substantive work to prepare the
ground for defeat should begin now.
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