By Michael Barone
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
An economist serving on a second-term president's Council
of Economic Advisers might expect to weigh in on fundamental issues,
restructuring the tax system or making entitlement programs sustainable over
the long term. Barack Obama once talked of addressing such issues, and
Republican leaders such as House Ways and Means Chairman Dave Camp are doing
so.
But that's not what University of Michigan economist and
CEA member Betsey Stevenson finds herself doing. Instead, she is defending the
use of misleading statistics in support of legislation addressing a minor
problem.
The legislation is Obama's latest pay equity measure,
which failed to pass in the Senate last week. The misleading statistic is 77
cents, cited repeatedly by Obama as the amount women earn for every dollar
earned by men.
When challenged on this by MSNBC's Irin Cannon, Stevenson
admitted that the 77 cents figure is misleading. "If I said that 77 cents
was equal pay for equal work, then I completely misspoke," she admitted.
"There are a lot of things that go into that 77
cents figure," she went on. "There are a lot of things that
contribute, and no one's trying to say that it's all about discrimination, but
I don't think there's a better figure."
Of course some people are trying to say that "it's
all about discrimination"--starting with Stevenson's boss, President
Obama, and including the political ad-makers preparing to cut 30-second spots
accusing Republicans of a "war on women."
So Stevenson is fibbing about that. And when she says,
"there are a lot of things that contribute" to male-female earnings
disparities, she is indicating that she understands the weakness of using the
77 cents number.
This isn't controversial stuff. As my American Enterprise
Institute colleague Christina Hoff Sommers writes in the Daily Beast, the 77
cents "does not account for differences in occupations, positions,
education, job tenure or hours worked per week."
Those factors are acknowledged in a 2012 Bureau of Labor
Statistics report cited by AEI scholars Mark Perry and Andrew Biggs in the Wall
Street Journal. It shows that (a) men tend to work longer hours than women, (b)
men tend to take riskier jobs with premium pay and (c) female college graduates
tend to specialize in lower-paid fields than male college graduates.
As a result, the BLS concludes, women who worked 40-hour
weeks earned 88 percent of what similar men did. Single women who never married
earned 96 percent of men's earnings.
Stevenson concedes that not all the differential comes
from discrimination or sexism. "Some of women's choices come because they
are disproportionately balancing the needs of work and family," she told
MSNBC.
By "disproportionately," she presumably means
that more women than men choose to stay home to care for children. "Which
of these choices should we consider legitimate choices," she asks,
"and which of them should we consider things that we have a societal
obligation to try to mitigate?"
This raises the specter of government bureaucrats
intervening in marital decision-making, pushing more husbands to stay home with
the kids. Even the Obama administration stops short of that.
The Democrats' problem is that sex discrimination by
employers was outlawed by the Equal Pay Act signed by John Kennedy in 1963 --
51 years ago. To make "the war on women" an issue and rally single
women to the polls, the Obama Democrats have had to concoct new legislation
putting new burdens on small employers and ginning up business, as the 2009
Lilly Ledbetter Act's extended statute of limitations did, for their trial
lawyer contributors.
Such legislation attacks a problem very largely solved.
The male-female pay differential for those working at similar levels has been
reduced nearly, but not quite, to the vanishing point. Remaining differences
result almost entirely from personal choices by women and men.
Those choices shifted sharply 40 years ago but haven't
changed much lately. The percentage of mothers seeing full-time work as an
ideal, Pew Research Center reports, was 30 percent in 1997 and 32 percent in
2012.
By any realistic standard the equal pay problem is minor,
certainly in comparison to the growth-stifling effects of the current tax code
and the unsustainable trajectory of current entitlement programs.
But this president, unlike his two predecessors, has
chosen not to address such major problems in his second term. And so Betsey
Stevenson has to defend the indefensible 77 cents statistic.
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