National Review Online
Thursday, August 11, 2022
As part of the cynically misnamed Inflation
Reduction Act, Democrats propose to enact a new 1 percent tax on stock buybacks
— the thing is, we already have a tax on stock buybacks,
ranging from 15 percent to 37 percent. It’s called the “capital gains tax” or,
for short-term gains, the “income tax,” and thanks to the presence of high
inflation and the absence of indexation, it has become even more of a
disincentive to investment than before.
The income tax — maybe you’ve heard of it?
Don’t let the financial jargon put you off — this isn’t
all that complicated.
So, what’s a stock buyback, and why do companies
undertake them? A stock buyback is, as the name suggests, what happens when a
company finds itself sitting on a pile of extra cash and decides that the best
use of that money is to give it back to investors — i.e., the people who own
the company and who put up the money for its operations. Some of those
investors are Wall Street types of the sort Democrats like to denounce when not
shaking them down for donations, but many of them are (directly or indirectly)
retired teachers and ordinary people of that sort — pension funds and retirement
accounts are among the largest investors around. To be sure, gains that come
into retirement accounts are tax-deferred, but when the money is eventually
paid out to the retiree, the taxman will be waiting for his slice.
A company can return its profits to its investors in two
ways: One is through dividends, meaning a payment of a certain amount of money
per share to investors; dividends are paid out of profits that already have
been subjected to the corporate-income tax, and investors pay another tax on the
dividends once those checks hit their bank accounts. Dividends are usually
taxed at the capital-gains tax rate of 15 percent or 20 percent but may in some
cases be taxed at the ordinary income-tax rate of up to 37 percent. Return of
the extra cash referred to above is often arranged via “extraordinary”
dividends or by systematically paying ordinary dividends at a higher rate than
might be justified by its earnings level.
The second and slightly more complicated way to return
capital to investors is through a stock buyback. When a company buys back
stock, those shares effectively cease to exist; with fewer shares on the
market, earnings per share are higher; higher earnings per share tend
to mean that the price of stock will go up, though buybacks by no means
guarantee long-term increases in share prices. The idea is that share buybacks
reward investors by making their shares more scarce and therefore more
valuable, driving share prices up. It should be stressed,
however, that this is by no means the only consideration that might drive
a share up in the wake of a buyback. For instance, a company may well buy
back shares as, again, a way of reducing excess cash, increasing (in theory,
and to take one measure) its return on equity, something that may well be
rewarded in the markets, which prefer to see capital deployed as efficiently as
possible, as, indeed, should we all.
Investors who receive a benefit from selling their shares
at a higher price pay a tax on that profit — that’s what a “capital gain” is. A
married couple filing jointly typically pays a tax of 15 percent on the first
half a million or so in nominal capital gains and 20 percent on gains
beyond that, or else pays the regular income-tax rate on investments held for
less than a year. The bigger the gain, the higher the tax. Because capital
gains are only taxed once the profit is realized — once the appreciated asset
is sold — there is no tax due as long as the asset is held, which may well
be attractive to wealthy people and institutions who can let their
investments ride for a long time before needing to cash out. But there is no
avoiding the tax.
Democrats want to impose another tax on
top of all that, charging companies a 1 percent tax on the value of shares
acquired through a stock buyback. That doesn’t sound like very much, but it is,
in fact, a relatively big bite: The current earnings yield for the S&P 500
is about 4.7 percent, and Goldman Sachs calculates that the new buyback tax
could reduce earnings by as much as 0.5 percent per share. Put another way,
that would mean about $10 billion a year in new taxes on investors, taxes
that cannot be avoided even if those investors have placed their investment in
a 401(k) or have offsetting capital losses — if, that is, the
buyback tax doesn’t reduce buybacks, which, of course, it probably will.
There is a false impression, cultivated by Democratic
class-warfare demagogues, that wealthy Americans and businesses somehow do not
pay their “fair share” of taxes. In reality, high-income Americans pay
practically all of the federal income tax (about 97 percent of
it is paid by the top half of earners), while businesses and investors pay
billions upon billions of dollars in taxes on business income, personal income,
and investment income, not to mention the other taxes they pay on everything
from commercial real estate to tariffs on imported industrial materials and
manufacturing components. There is a good deal of special-interest favoritism
in our tax code: For example, billionaire green-energy entrepreneurs and
electric-vehicle makers enjoy very generous tax subsidies — subsidies that
Democrats propose to sustain or increase in the very same bill that would
impose higher taxes on businesses and investors that do not benefit from that
kind of political favoritism.
One of the problems with our tax code is that it is so
complex that the cost of complying with it represents a second substantial tax
on its own — by some estimates, U.S. businesses spend more money on tax compliance than
they actually pay in taxes. Making that already complex system more complex is
good for no one — except for politicians who can hide behind the complexity of
the tax code to hand out favors and sweetheart deals to allies and political
supporters. Punishing investment is a particularly boneheaded way of going
about raising revenue, even more so in today’s inflationary environment, a time
when boosting the supply side is of even greater importance than normal —
and we should probably point out that the $10 billion a year or so that this
tax would raise in an optimistic scenario is chickenfeed in the
context of the federal budget. If anything, we should be encouraging more
Americans to save and invest in order to more fully avail themselves of the
benefits of our magnificently productive economy and the innovative firms and
entrepreneurs who make it so remarkably dynamic.
It is the case that investors expect a return on their
investments and that any halfway sophisticated corporate management will
structure its finances in such a way as to ensure that investors do not pay any
unnecessary taxes — minimizing investors’ exposure to the capital-gains tax is,
after all, one of the reasons that stock buybacks emerged in the first place as
a favored strategy for big, cash-rich firms such as Apple and Alphabet,
Google’s parent company, which has never paid a dividend as long as it has been
in business. Investing for profit and engaging in intelligent tax planning is
not a crime, and we should not be looking to punish it. One golden goose would
be a miracle, but the U.S. economy has a remarkable flock of them.
This is one of many undesirable features of the so-called
Inflation Reduction Act, which could very well turn out to be the Investment
Reduction Act. We’d prefer to see a simpler tax code that produces more revenue
than compliance costs, but, then, we’d also recommend against trying to fight
inflation by detonating a new $370 billion money bomb in the middle of an
already cash-flooded economy. Stupid policy ideas do not get less stupid when
you bundle them all together in a single bill, but that is what Democrats
apparently mean to do.
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