By Kevin D. Williamson
Wednesday, February 11, 2015
I, for one, welcome our new robot overlords. But they
have taken some getting used to.
For me, it started with the self-checkout aisles at the
CVS at Fulton and Nassau in New York, the Hotel California of Manhattan
convenience stores. They never seemed to work quite right, and when I was in
CVS I was generally buying something that required age verification or a trip
behind the secure counter (you go through a lot of high-dollar razor blades
with this hairdo). But CVS and I both eventually figured out how to make the
process work, and it turns out that the dumb self-checkout terminals are about
as smart as the human checkers and twice as efficient. Now, whether I’m at the
bank or the grocery store, human interactions feel atavistic, as though I or
the business has failed in some way. Filling up the car in New Jersey — where
self-service is verboten — feels as retro as gasoline with lead in it, like the
guy should be wearing a peaked Sinclair cap and rinsing off my whitewalls.
Japan opened its first fully automated convenience store
way back in the 1990s, though in reality it was mostly a high-tech version of
the old automats that were popular in New York and Philadelphia back in the
1950s. (In New York, most of the Horn & Hardarts became Burger Kings,
surely an instance of techno-social regression — just think about the sort of
people who work at Burger King.) While the automats lost market share to
proliferating fast-food franchises, they endured until the 1970s, when
inflation wiped out their coin-operated business model. (A few survived as
nostalgic curiosities.) The number of nickels it took to pay for a patty-melt
made automats inconvenient, and the Clown, who never misses an opportunity,
made his move. Such is life in the (mostly) free market.
If I were the brass at Staples, I’d be looking into some
serious Buck Rogers–style robot development.
Staples, which is in the process of acquiring former
rival Office Depot, became a topic of national conversation this week when
Barack Obama, speaking to Buzzfeed, denounced the company for allegedly
chopping part-timers’ hours in response to the Affordable Care Act, a.k.a.
Obamacare, which requires that firms pay for health insurance for employees
putting in more than 30 hours a week. At the end of 2013, Staples put out a
policy informing managers that no part-timer should be scheduled for more than
25 hours a week; Buzzfeed, which is big on the
Dickensian-state-of-Staples-employees beat, claims that “Staples Threatens to
Fire Staff for Working More than 25 Hours a Week,” but that isn’t exactly
right, either: One store manager did post a notice making that threat, but
that’s not the same thing as a corporate policy. Staples claims — unpersuasively
— that this is a decade-old, pre-ACA rule, even though Staples “talking points”
distributed to managers in 2014 identify it as a new policy. Staples is pretty
clearly drawing a line in the managerial sand here, and part-timers are going
to be on the less-than-24-hours side of it.
I can’t blame Staples. For one thing, Staples employees
are awful. If you doubt me, read this Reddit thread written by Staples
employees on the subject of — note well – self-checkout stations. On the one
hand, you have the confident Staples man: “I can only imagine that our
customers – who are barely capable, by and large, of tying their shoes in the
morning without choking on their own drool – would never get the hang of it.”
On the other hand, you have the Staples employee who is just about smart enough
to get it: “You do realize if that was ever implemented, they would cut store
hours even more?”
Demand curves slope downward. Which is to say, if you
raise the price of something, people will be inclined to consume less of it.
Those with a choice in the matter – say, a large office-supply chain with a
mess of low-skilled part-time employees who are basically as interchangeable as
toner cartridges in the greater scheme of office-supply things – will in fact
consume less. If the thing that is getting more expensive is manpower, it will
cut employees’ hours, circulate a lot of those dopey “do more with less” memos,
and look for labor substitutes, like the banks did with those ATMs that haunt
President Obama’s imagination.
Sometimes, you have to go full robot.
That’s basically what’s happening with San Francisco’s
beloved Borderlands Books, a pilgrimage site of old-school nerdery specializing
in science-fiction and fantasy literature. San Francisco is raising its minimum
wage from $11.05/hour to $15/hour, and the owners of Borderlands, who already
were barely able to make the shop a going concern, announced that they would
have to close. The minimum-wage hike meant that the store was going to go from
making a princely $3,000 a year to losing $25,000 a year. Of course, you’ll
still be able to get your sci-fi and fantasy novels – from Amazon, or from
another similar operation without the labor costs involved with running a
conventional bookstore. Which is great if you’re Jeff Bezos, but kind of stinks
if you’re the sort of sad character (ahem) who likes to lurk around in
bookstores. I’m perfectly happy to see every Staples clerk replaced by
something sold to Staples CEO Ronald Sargent by Jawas offering a deep corporate
discount. But, damn it all, I like bookstores. (And if San Francisco continues
raising its minimum wage, the robots are ready.)
In San Francisco, the people who were bemoaning the
impending closure of Borderlands admitted sheepishly that they’d voted for the
minimum-wage hike. “It’s not something that I thought would affect certain
specific small businesses,” one customer said. “I feel sad.”
Yeah, Adam Smith feels sad, too, you dope.
Thick though they may be, you know what those
economically illiterate San Francisco book-lovers aren’t? President of the
United States of America. But President Obama does precisely the same thing:
With Obamacare, he created powerful economic incentives for companies such as
Staples to keep part-timers under 25 hours – and to hire part-timers rather
than full-time employees – and now he complains when companies respond to those
incentives. Naturally, he cites executive pay: “I haven’t looked at Staples stock
lately or what the compensation of the CEO is,” he says, but affirms that he is
confident that they can afford to run their business the way he wants them to
run it.
Let’s apply some English-major math to that question.
Ronald Sargent made just under $11 million a year at last report. Staples has
about 83,000 employees. That means that if it cut its CEO’s pay to $0.00/annum,
Staples would be able to fund about $2.61/week in additional wages or
health-care benefits for each of its employees, or schedule them for an
additional 22 minutes of work at the federal minimum wage. Which is to say, CEO
pay represents a trivial sum — but the expenses imposed by Obamacare are not
trivial.
On this issue, President Obama brings all of the honesty
and integrity he applied to the question of gay marriage: He’s lying, and he
knows he’s lying, and his apologists in the media know he’s lying, and
Democratic time-servers and yes-men across the fruited plains know he’s lying.
This isn’t about CEO pay – it’s about the economic incentives created by the
health-insurance program that in the vernacular bears the president’s name. The
president, with the support of congressional Democrats, effectively put a tax
on full-time jobs, and on part-time jobs offering 30 hours per week or more. So
we’re going to have fewer full-time jobs, and fewer part-time jobs offering 30
hours per week or more. This wasn’t cooked up in the boardroom at Staples – it
was cooked up on Capitol Hill, with the eager blessing of Barack Obama. It’s
not like they don’t know that there are economic tradeoffs necessitated by
Obamacare — they know it, and they also know that, politically speaking, their
supporters are cheap dates. Obama ran to the right of Dick Cheney on gay
marriage, and it didn’t hurt him with gay voters, who were happy to be reduced
to mere instruments of his ambition. The Democrats are betting that part-time
workers are similarly easy – or that they’re too dumb to understand the
economics at work here, and that they’ll be hypnotized by ritual chants about
CEO pay.
What’s true in San Francisco is true in Washington: You
don’t get to bitch about the perversion of economic incentives when you’re the
pervert.
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