By Ivan Sheehan
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
John Adams once remarked, “Facts are stubborn things.”
Since the P5+1 Joint Plan of Action on the Islamic
Republic of Iran’s Nuclear Program was signed in Geneva in November, the White
House has encountered two difficult truths about the Iranian regime.
Rouhani’s clever manipulation of U.S. negotiators ended
Tehran’s isolation and secured valuable time and resources in return for empty
promises designed to further the regime’s nuclear objectives.
And the mullahs have no intention of dialing back their nuclear
weapons program.
As the White House rolls the dice on a permanent pact and
embraces the failed strategy of appeasement, Congress would be wise to place a
check on the administration’s naïve unwillingness to acknowledge the facts.
A nuclear compromise with Tehran will surrender the
peace, not secure it.
The President’s recent State of the Union address was
full of calls for action, but not on Iran where he signaled the possible
failure of ongoing negotiations and channeled Jimmy Carter by treating the
regime as a fixture of the Middle East landscape.
The remarks reinforced an emerging consensus in
Washington that Obama is being outmaneuvered and will bequeath his successor a
new nuclear power.
Fareed Zakaria noted last year that the American public
has generally given the president high marks on global matters but questioned
the character of Obama’s foreign policy:
“Most Presidents gain fame and respect in this realm
because of some large-scale project... While Obama has accomplishments to his
credit, the signature trait that has helped him steer the country well – and
receive credit for it – is what he has not done.”
The U.S. policy of engagement with the Iranian regime at
the expense of concerns raised by key allies – including Israel and Saudi
Arabia – has chilled U.S. relations with global partners and strengthened
Tehran’s hand in ongoing discussions with the five permanent members of the
U.N. Security Council and Germany.
Iranian interpretations of the interim agreement have
somehow preserved the domestic perks of the arrangement – including access to
currency and the lifting of sanctions – while necessitating few of the actual
obligations that would serve regional security interests.
Almost three months after signing the interim agreement,
the Iranian nuclear program is not “halted” as the president suggested in his
SOTU speech. Nor is it required to “eliminate” its stockpile of 20
percent-enriched Uranium.
In fact Uranium enriched at under 20 percent weapons
grade levels is likely to grow in the short term and the regime continues to
advance their nuclear infrastructure while world powers dither.
A senior Iranian official responsible for nuclear
negotiations acknowledged that reversals to the nuclear program to date could
be undone in as little as a day. Rouhani too has gone on the record with his
unwillingness to dismantle centrifuges. Suggestions that such rhetoric is meant
for domestic Iranian consumption belies the international syndicates to which
the disclosures have been made.
Here’s what Congress can and must do in the weeks ahead:
Pass The Nuclear Weapons Free Iran Act
The lifting of sanctions gave life to a regime suffering
from political and economic isolation and massive internal discontent.
Parliamentary maneuvers and White House opposition must not be allowed to get
in the way of bipartisan legislation – The Nuclear Weapons Free Iran Act – that
would guarantee the regime pays a cost for breaching diplomatic agreements. It would
also increase the penalties should Tehran renege on the Joint Plan of Action
agreed to in Geneva. Passage of the bill will not derail the negotiations but
rather incentivize good faith discussions.
The 59 co-sponsors of the legislation – more than half of
the U.S. Senate – should increase the pressure on Senate Majority Leader Harry
Reid to bring the measure to the floor for prompt consideration. Those who
oppose the legislation should be forced to go public with their opposition and
the logic of their support for existing Iran policy should be scrutinized.
Protect the intelligence capabilities of the Iranian
opposition
The most useful human intelligence on Iranian nuclear
activities is likely to come from the three-thousand Iranian dissidents, known
as the Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK), who are detained at Camp Liberty in Iraq and
their global network of supporters. The group has a long track record of
providing valuable intelligence on Tehran’s nuclear program and is responsible
for the disclosures that prompted the first round of global sanctions.
An Iran Policy Committee study suggests that Tehran pays
more attention to the MEK than all other opposition groups combined. The group
is a member of the democratic opposition’s Paris-based de facto parliament in
exile – The National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI).
Unsurprisingly, Tehran’s proxies – including Iraqi
security forces – attacked the Iranian dissidents in Iraq repeatedly between
2009-2013. The hits resulted in the wholesale slaughter of hundreds of unarmed
political dissidents, in violation of Geneva conventions and in spite of U.S.
promises to protect.
There were also four rockets attacks on Camp Liberty in
2013 alone. Today, the safety of seven hostages – including six women – remains
unclear in spite of global condemnation.
The U.S. Congress must take up legislation to protect
those detained at Camp Liberty and ensure their safe transfer to locations
outside of Iraq. Any larger accord with the regime on the nuclear issue must
involve the safe and prompt resettlement of the three thousand refugees whose
sustained political opposition and willingness to provide valuable intelligence
on Tehran’s nuclear program has placed them in the regime’s cross hairs.
Investigate the regime’s Washington lobby
The U.S. Congress can launch formal and informal
investigations to identify ties between the regime’s Washington lobby and U.S.
policymakers. Tehran’s apologists in the U.S. should not be in a position to
drive legislative considerations, influence policy, or curtail security
interests.
Now is the time for Congress to do what the White House
has failed to do and stiffen the penalties on Iranian non-compliance, address
human rights issues, enhance intelligence collection through reliance on those
with access to key information, and increase the pressure on the Iranian
regime.
Pacifying the regime will neither soften Tehran’s stance
on the nuclear issue nor will it facilitate the emergence of global partner or
improve U.S-Iran relations.
Congress must now face the facts or surrender the peace.
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