Thursday, August 09, 2012
I've never met a politician that is smarter than the free
market.
Or a scientist.
Or an economist.
The problem with elitist "management" of
"free" markets is the inevitable unintended consequences. Sometimes
those consequences are accurately predicted by conservatives. Other times it
takes turning the government micro-management loose on the free market to see
what happens.
“They quickly figured out that they could earn one carbon
credit by eliminating one ton of carbon dioxide, but could earn more than
11,000 credits by simply destroying a ton of an obscure waste gas normally
released in the manufacturing of a widely used coolant gas. That is because
that byproduct has a huge global warming effect. The credits could be sold on
international markets, earning tens of millions of dollars a year...
So since 2005 the 19 plants receiving the waste gas
payments have profited handsomely from an unlikely business: churning out more
harmful coolant gas so they can be paid to destroy its waste byproduct. The
high output keeps the prices of the coolant gas irresistibly low, discouraging
air-conditioning companies from switching to less-damaging alternative gases.
That means, critics say, that United Nations subsidies intended to improve the
environment are instead creating their own damage.” (MSNBC)
So while the whole concept of carbon credits was to
reduce gases related to alleged global warming, this perverse system has
actually created an incentive to create more of those gases.
This would be a good time for conservative critics of
carbon credits to say "We told you so."
We told you so.
The whole concept of carbon credits is the worst of both
worlds. Not only is the government interfering in the free market, it's trying
to create a market out of thin air by forcing people to want something they
really have no use for (carbon credits).
But--as mentioned above--the free market is smarter than
any politician, government, scientist or economist. The free market will look
for a way to profit, and it will always out-smart the politicians and their
regulations.
So here we have an example where an industry creates two
gases regulated by carbon credits. And it just so happens that by creating more
of one, it can create and destroy more of the other--resulting in the
accumulation of artificial, yet lucrative, carbon credits.
To those who would quickly suggest "fixing" the
regulations to eliminate this loophole, good luck. The combination of global
warming gases produced by this process is unique to this process. Any of the
other unknown number of industries that generate controlled gases will produce
them in other combinations, or perhaps the same gases in different proportions.
There's truly no way to architect a carbon credit scheme
that will accomplish the stated environmental goal.
This should come as no surprise. Carbon credits were
marketed as "regulation light" or even a "free market"
solution. They're neither. They're hard-fisted government regulation with all
the downsides and costs involved in any other regulation. And given
artificially imposed regulations, the free market has done what it does best:
It has figured out how to profit, and the politicians have actually created an
incentive to make matters worse.
This should serve as yet another crystal clear example of
the dangers of government regulation and market manipulation.
Even supposedly good-intentioned regulations can produce
results precisely opposite of what was desired. Encouraging home ownership led
to a housing bubble and crash. Interfering in the higher education market has
led to higher tuition and a student loan bubble. Artificially low interest
rates has led to the stock market ballooning and crashing. And trying to
manipulate the market to reduce certain gases has actually result in their
increase. One shudders to think of the eventual outcome of government
interference in the health care industry.
Politicians tinker with the free market at our own risk
because politicians aren't as smart as they think they are. The free market is
much smarter every time. In this case, the air conditioning industry just
outsmarted the entire worldwide global warming industry.
And, in fact, the air conditioning industry is currently
profiting from the arrogance and stupidity of the global warming industry.
Now if I could just convince the government to create a
stupidity credit market from which I could skim a commission on each
transaction, I'd be all set.
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