Monday, August 20, 2012
The American people face an important choice in
November. They will either re-elect
President Barack Obama for another four-year term, or they will replace him
with Governor Mitt Romney. Rather than
recapitulate the case against a second term for the incumbent, let's scrutinize
eight of the top prevailing arguments against electing his Republican challenger. Each of the following anti-Romney indictments
has been advanced -- explicitly, or through surrogates -- by the president's
campaign and the Democratic Party. Below
you'll find my sincere attempt to address these criticisms in a balanced and
honest way, even as I openly and transparently admit my conservative leanings
at the outset. I will attempt to rate
each claim as as either true, fair, unfair, or false -- and will aim to offer
verification of my facts through embedded links to credible, reliable, and
non-partisan sources:
Criticism #1 - Mitt Romney seems secretive because he
won't release more than two years of his personal tax returns. Rating: Fair and mostly true.
Governor Romney is a very wealthy man, with an estimated
net worth in excess of $200 million.
Born poor, Romney's father worked hard and ultimately became a hugely
successful executive in the auto industry.
He was later elected governor of Michigan, then fell short in an
unsuccessful presidential bid. When
George Romney died, he left a large inheritance to his children, including
Mitt, who donated his share to charity.
Mitt Romney earned his own sizable fortune over a lengthy and
"sterling" private sector career in finance. Now that he is running for president, critics
have questioned why Romney hasn't released more than two years of tax returns,
citing a precedent set by his father in 1968.
No one disputes that Romney has filed all of the legally-required
financial disclosure documents for a presidential run, but he has declined to
make any more tax records public. Some
conservatives, including yours truly, have urged him to divulge more
information. Given the feeding frenzy
among his opponents over this issue, it is very unlikely that he will comply at
this stage. What we do know is that
Romney hasn't encountered any trouble from the IRS -- suggesting legal
compliance -- and that the McCain campaign Vice Presidential vetters who waded
through decades of Romney's tax documents in 2008 have stated Romney's taxes
are paid in full (and the former governor may have even slightly overpaid in
some instances). Romney also asserts he
hasn't paid a lower income tax rate than 13 percent in the last ten years, but
that number cannot be confirmed without further documentation. The Romney's have donated prodigious amounts
of money to charity over that period, including to his church, veterans groups,
and medical research foundations.
Criticism #2 - During his tenure at Bain Capital, Mitt
Romney shipped American jobs overseas, was a "pioneer" in the
practice of outsourcing, and may have committed a felony by lying to the
SEC. Rating: False.
The Obama campaign has spent tens of millions of dollars
on negative advertisements accusing Romney of being an outsourcer of American
jobs. Independent fact-checkers have
exhaustively dismantled this claim; FactCheck.org ruled that "no
evidence" exists to support the charge, and the Washington Post awarded
the ads "Four Pinocchios."
When the Romney campaign began to push back against the discredited
allegations, a top Obama aide suggested that Romney might have committed a
felony by lying to the federal government about his departure from Bain
Capital. Romney left Bain in 1999 to
save the 2002 Olympics in Salt Lake City. (When Romney took over, the games
were tainted by a bribery scandal and drowning in debt). In taking on this challenge, he gave up all
active managing duties at the company, even as he remained its titular
CEO. The Obama campaign used this leave
of absence to muddy the waters about Romney's Bain timeline, culminating in the
"felony" line. Fact-checkers
again smacked down Team Obama, accusing them of "blowing smoke,"
without evidence. They determined that
Romney left his managing role at Bain in early 1999 -- the same conclusion
reached by an independent, taxpayer-funded commission in Massachusetts, which
investigated the same question in 2002 when Romney was running for governor.
Criticism #3 - Mitt Romney seeks to ban contraception,
and opposes all abortion, even in the cases of rape and incest. Rating: False.
During the uproar over the Obama administration's
unprecedented birth control mandate, some Democrats suggested that Republicans
were intent on "banning" birth control. In fact, Republicans sought to prevent
religious organizations and employers from being forced to pay for other
people's contraception, in violation of their First Amendment right to freedom
of religion. Conservatives
simultaneously argued that contraceptives have been widely available and
affordable for decades, and should remain that way. At a Republican primary debate (prior to the
mandate), Romney put it succinctly: Contraception is "working just
fine. Just leave it alone." On abortion, Romney and his running mate are
both pro-life, as is a narrow majority of Americans. Romney does, however, make exceptions for the
rare cases of rape and incest, and if the mother's life is at risk. A campaign ad from Barack Obama states that
Romney does not make these exceptions.
Politifact, a left-leaning fact-checker, has tagged this commercial with
a "pants on fire" score for its dishonesty. The spot is still running in swing
states. A Buzzfeed article making
similar false claims about Paul Ryan's views has also been corrected.
Criticism #4 - Mitt Romney evaded paying taxes for a
decade, and was party to the "largest tax avoidance scheme in
history." Rating: False.
The first
allegation was leveled by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, a Democrat of
Nevada. Reid initially peddled the rumor
to reporters, then repeated it on the floor of the Senate. He offered no proof, nor any indication of
who his alleged "source" might be.
Given Romney's good standing with the IRS and Reid's refusal to
substantiate his assertions, fact-checkers firmly rejected them. "Four Pinocchios," declared the
Washington Post. "Pants on
fire," determined left-leaning Politifact.
Several Romney defenders have also noted that Reid himself steadfastly
refuses to hand over his own tax returns, despite being the most powerful man
in the Senate. He also voted to confirm
Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, in spite of his documented tax problems. On the "tax avoidance scheme"
question -- raised in an Obama campaign ad -- FactCheck.org dug through the
case and rendered this verdict on the Obama campaign's charge: "There is
so much deceit here, we don't even know where to start."
Criticism #5 - Mitt Romney's tax plan would cut rates for
the wealthy, but raise taxes on middle class families by over $2,000. Rating: Unfair, despite some fair criticisms.
Pointing to a
nominally non-partisan study from the Tax Policy Center, President Obama says
Mitt Romney's tax reforms are regressive.
He argues they would either hit middle income Americans with higher
taxes, or add to deficits. The TPC paper
declares Romney's plan "mathematically impossible" without crossing
into at least one of these undesirable outcomes. In fact, the study admits that it does not
directly score Romney's plan because his proposals lack certain important
specifics. This is a fair criticism. To compensate for this missing data, the
researchers plugged in assumptions of their own (sometimes ignoring Romney's
plainly stated positions), and failed to factor in other countervailing
elements of Romney's agenda. This is not
fair. The American Enterprise Institute
and the Wall Street Journal have described scenarios under which Romney's plan
is entirely feasible, based on the arithmetic and evidence from recent
political history. Romney's plan itself
involves lowering tax rates among all income brackets by 20 percent, as well as
bringing down the corporate tax rate (the highest in the industrialized
world). He would "pay for"
these cuts by limiting and eliminating loopholes and deductions, particularly
for higher income earners. These details
have not yet been made clear -- a glaring weakness. In principle, this approach would broaden the
tax base, simplify the tax code, and lower overall rates. It is a model akin to the recommendations
made by the president's fiscal commission, which Obama has chosen to
ignore. President Obama has already
raised taxes on lower and middle income Americans on several occasions,
particularly with the 'Obamacare' mandate tax.
Criticism #6 - Mitt Romney's closure of a steel plant in
Kansas City led to the death of a woman with cancer. Rating: False.
This charge is the
most incendiary we've seen in the current campaign cycle, bordering on outright
slander. President Obama's campaign
introduced this line attack on a conference call with the press, and on its
official website. The president's
formally-endorsed SuperPAC -- run by a former White House spokesman -- picked
up on the charge, enshrining it in a very controversial ad. It was roundly pummeled by independent
fact-checkers and media organizations.
In short, the star of the ad (steelworker Joe Soptic) was laid off in
2001, eight years after Mitt Romney's Bain Capital invested in his faltering
factory in a bid to save the business, and two years after Romney left
Bain. Soptic was laid off by Bain's new
management, including a man named Jonathan Lavine, who is now a major Obama
donor. Five years after the plant
closure, in 2006, Soptic's wife was diagnosed with cancer and died shortly
thereafter. It was later revealed that
Mrs. Soptic had retained her own insurance after her husband had been laid
off. Her coverage dropped when she
eventually left her job, prior to being diagnosed. The insinuation that Romney had anything to
do with her death is egregiously misleading and low. "Outrageous," fumed CNN. "Four Pinocchios," groaned the
Washington Post. "A disgrace,"
concluded Obama's hometown newspaper, the Chicago Tribune. Obama's SuperPAC has stood by the ad,
spending millions to put it on the air in swing states. The Obama campaign and White House have
refused to condemn it, eventually getting tangled up and caught in a clear lie
about their knowledge of the Soptic family's story. Time's Mark Halperin branded the entire
episode the lowest moment of the 2012 campaign in a heated MSNBC appearance.
Criticism #7 - Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan's Medicare plan
"kills Medicare." Rating:
False.
An email blast
from a Democratic campaign committee resurrected this claim, which was ranked
by left-leaning Politifact as the 2011 political "lie of the
year." Other Democrats have hedged
slightly, modifying their accusation to say Romney and Ryan would "end
Medicare as we know it." The DNC
Chairwoman has described the plan as a "death trap" for seniors, and
a "tornado" tearing through nursing homes. This is hysteria, and bears no relation to
reality. For the full facts on the
dueling Medicare reform visions, read this piece. The basics: According to its own actuaries,
Medicare is slated to become insolvent within 12 years. This would result in major cuts for current
seniors, and the implosion of the program for future generations (who are still
paying into it, under penalty of law).
In other words, basic math will "end Medicare as we know it"
soon, absent reform. Everyone
acknowledges this hard reality, including the president. The Romney-Ryan solution is modeled on a
bipartisan proposal co-authored by Paul Ryan and liberal Democratic Senator Ron
Wyden of Oregon. The plan grandfathers
in all citizens 55 years old or older, guaranteeing no changes from current
policy. For younger Americans, Medicare
benefits would be paid out under a federal premium support program, as future
seniors would choose among a menu of options.
One of these options would remain the traditional fee-for-service
Medicare model. The others would be
private plans, competing for seniors' business.
The Obama plan is quite different.
The president transferred $700 Billion in Medicare cuts in order to
partially fund his new Affordable Care Act, or "Obamacare." This maneuver is resulting in real cuts to
current seniors. According to the
federal Medicare accountants, it strips four million seniors out of the popular
"Medicare Advantage" program, and cuts government reimbursements to
care-givers and hospitals. Medicare's
chief actuary estimated this could result in the closure of 1 in 6 hospitals
that treat seniors. As for the future,
long-term solvency of the program for future generations, the president has not
proposed anything that even approaches the level of a meaningful plan.
Criticism #8 - The Romney team is running a
"dirty" and dishonorable campaign.
Rating: Fair or unfair (comparative "dirtiness" is in the eye
of the beholder).
In light of many
of the facts outlined above, it may seem astounding that the Obama campaign
would cast themselves as the victims of a nasty campaign. Nevertheless, in pushing back against strong
condemnation of the 'cancer' ad, numerous Obama aides cited a Romney commercial
on welfare reform as a counter-balancing example. In essence they've argued, how can you heap
opprobrium on us over a spot run by a SuperPAC we can't control (never mind
that they introduced the cancer attack), when the Romney campaign itself is
running these welfare ads? The spot in
question focuses on a quiet executive action taken by the Obama
administration's Department of Health and Human Services in early July. The decision ignored explicit language in the
1996 Clinton-era welfare reform act by opening up the law's federal work
requirements to state-by-state waivers.
This move allows states to alter or water-down the black-and-white,
non-negotiable standards set forth in the statute. The meaning of the
legislative language has been confirmed by the non-partisan Congressional
Research Service. Romney's ads pushed
too far by drawing a direct line between Obama and potential state decisions
based on the newly increased leeway. The
Republican spots labeled the possible hollowing out of work requirements at the
state level "Obama's plan."
This is an exaggeration, but the larger issue is rooted in fact.
Politifact awarded the Romney campaign a "pants on fire" rating for
the ad, even though they accepted one of Romney's central arguments, and chose
not to address the core question of whether the administration's action was
lawful. ABC News' fact-check was more
even handed, scolding Romney for exaggerations, but acknowledging that his
concerns may soon be proven justified.
In any case, the Obama campaign seems to believe that this welfare ad is
on par with the comprehensively debunked and sleazy 'cancer' spot, roughly
evening out to a "tie" of sorts.
I suppose this comes down to a judgment call. It may also be useful to look at the sheer
dollar amounts spent on negative advertising, the percentage of ads that are
negative, and illustrative events such as Vice President Biden's recent
racially-charged "chains" remark.
Conclusion: As the election approaches, it is relatively
apparent that President Obama will continue to hew to his campaign's early
strategy to (figuratively) "kill Romney." His approval ratings on the biggest issues of
the day -- jobs, the economy and deficits -- are upside-down, and sinking. His most well-known policies are unpopular
and have failed to live up to the promises upon which they were built. Therefore, his best -- perhaps only -- path
to victory entails disqualifying his opponent in the eyes of voters. His party's attacks and negative ads against
Romney have primarily, though not entirely, focused on the themes and
allegations addressed in this column. I
think it's striking how many of these criticisms have been deemed to be
outright falsehoods by independent news organizations and fact-checkers. Several more are at least patently unfair,
even with a few genuine criticisms sprinkled in.
Questions: I'll leave you with two thoughts to
consider: First, what does it say about
the incumbent's job performance that his campaign is so heavily reliant on
discussing subjects other than his track record in office? Second, what does it say about the
president's challenger that so many of the high-profile attacks against him
have been grossly distorted, or entirely fabricated?
No comments:
Post a Comment