By Auguste Meyrat
Thursday, December 13, 2018
The debate over the Electoral College comes up constantly
during American elections, including the midterms last month, with many on the
left calling for a popular vote instead. The process of electoral delegates
voting for one particular party even if the popular vote of their state had
only a slim majority makes the presidential elections seem generally unfair.
Under the electoral system, lower-population states have
outsized influence, higher-population states have somewhat limited influence,
and swing states enjoy all the attention. With a popular vote, so the thinking
goes, each citizen would have a voice, and the president and his administration
would consequently have more legitimacy and better serve the American
population.
Conservatives argue that popular elections would lead to
politicians giving overriding preference to people in large population centers
(i.e., cities) and ignore sparsely populated rural areas. This would result in
a “tyranny of the majority” where urban majorities behind the winning party
would be overrepresented and rural minorities would be even more underrepresented.
To this, the left simply responds, “So
what?” Why should anyone care about what happens to hillbillies withering
away in ghost towns? Why should ignorant farmers and ranchers living on big,
unpopulated fields have more of a voice than educated professionals living in
uptown? Cities are the centers of commerce, industry, education, and culture;
they clearly put more in the system than small towns.
It should also be noted that people who support popular
elections will cite European countries, like France and other European Union
member states, as a reason to give up the Electoral College. If sophisticated
Europeans have accepted direct democracy, they reason, Americans seem
positively provincial to continue on their present course.
In truth, the bias against rural communities and for
European cosmopolitanism often fuels these arguments for the popular vote more
than anything substantial. Still, even if the sentiment behind the argument
assumes the worst of people in the countryside and the best of people in old
cities of Europe, the logic behind it deserves a response. Why should this
group receive these protections?
A Popular Vote
Feeds into Progressivism
There are two things to consider for this question: (1)
what a popular vote implicitly suggests about the role of government, and (2)
how a government that exclusively represents urban voters would act.
First, to understand what the argument for a popular vote
says about the role of government, one should look at the premises: politician
overserve small states, and underserve large ones. These premises envision
government as a great provider and the states as needy dependents; they do not
present government as the representation of so many different constituents. The
motivation behind supporting a popular vote is to make sure the government
gives more fairly, not that the government truly speaks for everyone
impartially.
Constitutionally speaking, the government should not
favor any state or any individual. As defined by John Locke, it does not give
out favors, but secures freedoms of life, liberty, and property. People are
protected by the government to provide for themselves and prosper. The
government keeps the peace, while the people keep their property, and the idea
of redistributing property to meet the demands of a favored constituency simply
does not exist.
Because liberals have come to see government as a
provider, and they shift ever leftward into socialist utopianism, they see
elections as opportunities for enrichment. If they really saw government as a
representative body of officials intended to secure rights, national elections
really wouldn’t make a difference whether they were based on popular vote or
something else. A popular vote is thus based on a distorted expectation about
government and rewards the wrong kind of leaders. Demagogues who promise to
give away more social benefits quickly overcome the statesmen who promise to
uphold their duties so people can benefit themselves.
This doesn’t mean that the Electoral College eliminates
the possibilities of urban demagogues, but it does discourage it. A politician
who has to meet the needs of all kinds of voters, instead of just a few, will
not easily be able to make so many promises, nor be able to vilify or ignore
unpopular minorities.
Hillary Clinton, who won the popular vote, lost the 2016
presidential election because she promised more entitlements and vilified
conservatives (“deplorables”). Trump, who won the electoral vote, won because
he promised to give America back to the people. He vilified the elite (“the
swamp”) and put himself with working Americans of all stripes.
The style of these two campaigns nicely illustrate
difference between a popular vote and the Electoral College. It is reasonable
to assume that popular voting will produce more out-of-touch progressives like
Clinton, while the Electoral College will produce more inclusive conservatives
like Trump.
A Nation Ruled by
Cities
The other thing to consider is how a government would act
if it only cared about urban constituencies. Sure, it would hurt smaller states
through neglect and even mild oppression. Who better to blame for problems or
steal from than people whose vote doesn’t matter? But would it benefit those
who live in the city?
To answer this requires reflecting on the nature of a
city and its residents. For all the virtues that come of its size and
population, the city at its core is the embodiment of dependence and collectivism.
The city-dweller depends on many people: his landlord, his employer, the mass
transit system, a well-trained police force, on decent infrastructure, and the
many businesses that provide necessities and luxuries.
Collectives are also inherent to the city. Cities are the
places of unions, corporations, factories, high-density apartments, subways,
government centers, large universities, and medical complexes. People lose
themselves in various groups and organizations and depend on them to advocate
on their behalf.
Because of this, people of the city struggle to think and
act for themselves. Their lifestyle has put them in the habit of outsourcing
everything. They see big government as one more big organization to help them
along, and they will continually vote for some of the worst political
candidates if it means they might get something.
Fortunately, there are exceptions to this. Living in a
city doesn’t guarantee that one vote for Democrat and adopt liberal positions;
Republicans could never win nationwide elections on rural voters alone. Nor
does living outside the city mean that one will do the opposite; as the
midterms last month had shown, many voters in the suburbs felt more comfortable
voting more Democrats into the House. Still, these exceptions mainly prove the
rule and reveal a suggestive pattern: conservatives in cities will often find
ways to mitigate the dense collective life of the city, and liberals in the
suburbs and beyond will find ways mimic the dense collective life of the city.
This urban tendency to give up freedom and depend on
others creates an elite class of people who promise to solve everyone’s
problems. They are the business leaders, intellectual leaders, political
leaders, and social leaders who assume authority and exploit the needy masses.
After so many generations, this elite strengthens its hold and enjoys little
accountability to constituents who have learned to become helpless.
With this in mind, one can finally imagine what a
national government devoted to serving the needs of the urban population looks
like. It would almost certainly do away with the Constitution and replace it
with something that allows government to do more. Because the nation’s leaders
are popularly elected, they will be wasteful and incompetent; because they rule
by majority and not by principle, they will be authoritarian and arbitrary in
their enforcement of laws. Meanwhile, the small towns outside the cities will
shrink and disappear as their inhabitants move to cities where there is a future.
A real example of such a place is present-day France. It
is a popularly elected welfare state that has picked winners and losers. The
winners are part of the elite and their constituents in the cities; the losers
are the inhabitants of “La France profonde” and the working class who are
punished with little
actual freedom and high taxes. This dynamic has stifled growth—except in
immigrants looking for entitlements—and led to widespread desperation all over
the country. Democracy is failing, and something will have to give: either the
government will let the country burn, or the crowds will settle for modern
serfdom.
The Romantics were onto something in their belief that
the city corrupts. Perhaps the Founding Fathers thought of this and created an
election process that could contain the corruption of cities. While Americans
might not be achieving the ideal of educated farmers and small towns that
Thomas Jefferson envisioned, it still has not quite fallen to the tyranny of
the urban majority like France. For this, American should be grateful and learn
from the mistakes of their brother and sisters in the Old World.
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