By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, March 09, 2016
What a short, strange trip it’s been for Donald Trump’s
conservative supporters. Ever since the Goldwaterite takeover of the GOP, the
party has tried to convert voters to conservatism. This orientation has
sometimes led it to follow a “better to be right and lose” axiom — hence
Goldwater’s disastrous defeat in 1964. Now we seem to have tipped in the other
direction, thinking it’s “better to be wrong and win.”
George W. Bush’s “compassionate conservatism” was seen as
a nod in this direction, and a great many conservatives — myself included — were
critical of his efforts to triangulate against traditional limited-government
conservatism.
After Barack Obama’s election, the Republican party
lurched toward purity. The tea parties were a revolt not only against Obama’s
leftism but also, belatedly, against the perceived apostasies of Bush, as well
as John McCain.
In 2009, then-senator Jim DeMint declared he’d rather
have 30 reliable conservatives in the Senate than 60 unreliable ones. Ted Cruz
launched his presidential campaign on the premise that deviation from pure
conservatism cost Republicans the 2012 election. The only way to win was to
refuse to compromise and instead give voters a clear choice. Many of the
right’s most vocal ideological enforcers cheered him on.
Until Trump started winning. Suddenly, the emphasis
wasn’t on winning through purer conservatism but on winning at any cost.
Consider Larry Kudlow and Stephen Moore. In August, the
two legendarily libertarian-minded economists attacked Trump, focusing on what
they called Trump’s “Fortress America platform.” His trade policies threaten
the global economic order, they warned. “We can’t help wondering whether the
recent panic in world financial markets is in part a result of the Trump
assault on free trade,” they mused. As for Trump’s immigration policies, they
could “hardly be further from the Reagan vision of America as a ‘shining city
on a hill.’”
Months later, as Trump rose in the polls, Kudlow and
Moore joined the ranks of Trump’s biggest boosters — and not because Trump
changed his views. On the contrary, Kudlow has moved markedly in Trump’s
direction. He now argues that the borders must be sealed and all visas
canceled. He also thinks we have to crack down on China.
What explains such Pauline conversions on the road to a
Trump presidency? One argument they and many other converts make is purely
consequentialist. “For me, Trump potentially represents a big expansion of the
Republican Party, a way to bring in those blue-collar Reagan Democrats,” Moore
told the Washington Post. “That’s
necessary if the party is going to win again.”
Lost in the discussion is any effort to win a mandate for
conservative policies, other than an impossible crackdown on immigration (and
even on this Trump has acknowledged that he would be more “flexible” than
initially advertised). Instead of converting voters to conservatism, Trump is
succeeding at converting conservatives to statism on everything from health
care and entitlements to trade.
Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of this sorry state
of affairs is that many conservatives have been arguing for years that we must
update Republican policies to help the very people Trump is now winning over
through ideologically haphazard and substance-free demagoguery. Indeed, a
diverse group of intellectuals associated with the Conservative Reform Network
and the journal National Affairs
developed a host of policies that apply Reaganite principles to today’s
problems.
As Ramesh Ponnuru (my colleague at the American
Enterprise Institute and National Review)
has argued, cutting top marginal tax rates were a priority when President
Reagan took office in 1980 because they were at 70 percent. Now they’re at 39.6
percent, so maybe other forms of tax relief should take priority? For instance,
Ponnuru has championed beefed-up child tax credits to help struggling families
raise the next generation of taxpayers.
Reformocons, as they’re sometimes called, were trying to
find a way to grow the party without abandoning Reaganite principles. For their
efforts, they were dismissed as apostates. Kudlow and Moore heaped scorn on
reformocon ideas. Rush Limbaugh, for his part, dismissed reform conservatism as
“capitulation” to liberalism.
The irony is that reform conservatives almost uniformly
oppose Trump’s populist deformation of conservatism, and the former purists are
now calling for unity behind the Mother of all Capitulations, rationalized by
Trump’s promise to win, conservatism be damned.
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