National Review Online
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
During last week’s presidential debate, Senator Marco
Rubio said that he believed that abortion should be prohibited with no
exception for cases of rape and incest. He has reiterated this view in
follow-up interviews. Some other Republican candidates who were not asked about
their view on the matter take the same position. Governor Scott Walker was
asked and said abortion should be prohibited altogether, with no exception even
to save a mother’s life.
Pro-life Republicans need to weigh their words carefully
on this matter.
Many pro-lifers believe passionately that intellectual
consistency demands that they favor legal protection for unborn children
conceived in rape. They accept that exceptionless laws are politically
impossible to pass, and therefore support legislation that excludes those
cases. They would prefer to enact more-inclusive laws.
It is a defensible position. But it is a highly unpopular
one. Americans are ambivalent about abortion, but they are not ambivalent about
abortion in cases of rape. The last Gallup poll on this question, taken in
2011, registered 75 percent support for keeping abortion legal in such cases.
Not even the most gifted rhetorician is going to persuade most Americans that
opposition to such abortions is reasonable in time for November 2016.
It is also a highly theoretical position. Republican
presidential candidates do not generally volunteer to answer questions such as
“If it were 1965 would you vote to create Medicare?” They instead dismiss
far-fetched hypotheticals. The notion that the next president is going to ban
abortion in the case of rape is about as hypothetical as a question involving
time travel. Perhaps in a post–Roe v. Wade America a state or two would ban
abortion even in cases of rape, and those seeking such abortions would have to
cross state lines. But even that is on the far edge of possibility.
The other side of the abortion debate has its own
extremism, its positions that most Americans reject but that it feels are
entailed by the logic of its basic commitments on the issue. The difference is
that this sort of extremism is enshrined in law. Several states provide
taxpayer-funded abortion. Obamacare subsidizes plans that offer abortion. The
Supreme Court, with the enthusiastic support of the Democrats, maintains that
abortion must be allowed in the third trimester if it is necessary to preserve
a mother’s emotional health.
The more Republicans talk about the tiny percentage of
abortions that take place because of rape, the less they talk about the unborn
lives they can actually make near-term progress in protecting. Worse: The more
they talk about that, the less they will be able to make any progress. That’s
why the Left so relentlessly highlights the cases of rape and incest: because
it knows full well that a lot of people find the case against abortion attractive
outside that context.
What then should a candidate say if he believes that in
an ideal world, unborn children conceived in rape should be protected? Asked
about abortion in the case of rape, the first thing that candidate should do is
to express sympathy for the woman who was brutalized and put in a terrible
position. It would be perfectly honorable for that candidate to say next that
restricting abortion in that case is not part of his agenda — because in no
serious sense is it part of any Republican’s agenda; and to say that by the end
of his presidency abortion will be just as available in cases of rape as it is
today — because that is true. Further questions could then reasonably be
dismissed.
Even candidates who, like Rubio and Walker, have
volunteered statements about their far-off ideals on abortion policy would be
well advised to begin emphasizing just how far off they are. They should, that
is, note that banning abortion in the case of rape would be a 50-year task of
persuasion and not the work of a presidency. They should explain that their
goal is to build a consensus on life, starting with the issues where the public
supports life. A good time to adopt this approach would be now.
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