By Cliff May
Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Remember R2P? Not to be confused with R2-D2 (a robotic
character in the “Star Wars” movies), “Responsibility to Protect” was an
international “norm” proposed by United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan
following the genocide in Rwanda in 1994 and the mass murders in the Bosnian
town of Srebrenica a year later. The idea was for the “international community”
to assume an obligation to intervene, militarily if necessary, to prevent or
halt mass atrocities.
Why has R2P not been invoked to stop the slaughters being
carried out in Syria and Iraq? Why isn’t it mentioned in regard to the
Syrian-Kurdish city of Kobani, which, as I write this, may soon be overrun by
barbarians fighting for what they call the Islamic State?
Here’s the story: In 2009, Mr. Annan’s successor, U.N.
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, issued a report on “implementing” R2P. The
foreign-policy establishment cheered. For example, Louise Arbour, a former U.N.
high commissioner for human tights, called R2P “the most important and
imaginative doctrine to emerge on the international scene for decades.”
Anne-Marie Slaughter, an academic who served under Hillary Clinton at the State
Department, went further, hailing R2P as “the most important shift in our
conception of sovereignty since the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648.”
In 2011, President Obama cited R2P as his primary
justification for using military force to prevent Libyan dictator Moammar
Gadhafi from attacking the opposition stronghold of Benghazi.
If that was the apogee of R2P, the nadir was not far off.
The intervention in Libya has led to chaos and bloodshed with no end in sight.
Meanwhile, in Syria, four years ago this spring, Bashar Assad brutally cracked
down on peaceful protesters.
Mr. Obama made Mr. Assad’s removal American policy but
overruled the recommendation of his national security advisers to assist Syrian
nationalist opposition groups. Civil war erupted. Self-proclaimed jihadis from
around the world flocked to Syria to fight on behalf of the Sunnis. The
opposition was soon dominated by the al Nusra Front, an al Qaeda affiliate, and
the Islamic State (also known as ISIS or ISIL), whose leader, Abu Bakr
al-Baghdadi, broke with al Qaeda and, audaciously, declared himself caliph, or
supreme leader.
As for Mr. Assad, he is supported by the Islamic Republic
of Iran, deploying both its elite Quds Force (designated in 2007 by the U.S.
government as a terrorist organization) and Hezbollah, a Lebanon-based militia
loyal to Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Russia also backs Mr.
Assad, even supplying on-the-ground military intelligence specialists.
With no U.N.-approved R2P effort to rescue the innocent
civilians of the region from these brutal forces, the death toll in Syria and
Iraq has topped 200,000, and the number of refugees is in the millions.
Failed experiments, like crises, should not go to waste.
Among the lessons to be learned from the R2P debacle: First, the notion of an
international community that can prevent or halt mass atrocities is a chimera.
If such work is going to get done, the United States has to do it, perhaps
supported by a coalition of the willing and, with few exceptions, not
particularly able. Second, it’s ludicrous to propose that the U.N. Security
Council — whose permanent members include neo-Soviet Russia and anti-democratic
China — should be vested with the authority to pass judgment on the legitimacy
of such missions. Third, American power should be used primarily in pursuit of
American interests. Sometimes that will include humanitarian interventions, but
that’s a decision for Americans to make.
This, too, should be clear: While the Islamic State is
currently attracting the most attention, it is the Islamic Republic of Iran —
which has been using proxies to kill Americans on and off for the past 35 years
— that could soon have nuclear weapons as well as missiles to deliver them to
targets anywhere in the world. Hezbollah and other terrorist groups offer an
alternative means of delivery. Iran’s radical Shia rulers are more
sophisticated than the Sunni jihadis displaying disembodied heads on pikes.
However, their goals differ little from those of their rivals.
In response to this dire and deteriorating situation, Mr.
Obama should be instructing his advisers to present him with a range of
strategic options. I’d recommend conceptualizing the global conflict not as
disconnected “overseas contingency operations,” and not as akin to World War
II, but more like the Cold War. That is to say, the United States should plan for
a long, low-intensity struggle. In particular, we should support those willing
to fight the jihadis who threaten them.
Economic weapons can be powerful if used correctly, which
has not been the case in the past. For example, though sanctions brought Iran’s
rulers to the negotiating table, premature relief from sanctions pressure has
encouraged Iranian intransigence as the talks proceeded.
Also long overdue is a serious war of ideas — it’s
insufficient to leave that to Bill Maher and Ben Affleck on HBO. Bottom line:
We are not really engaged in a conflict against “violent extremism” or even
“terrorism.” What we’re confronting are ideologies derived from fundamentalist
readings of Islamic scripture. Proponents of those ideologies stress the
supremacy of one religion — much as communists stressed the supremacy of one
class, and Nazis of one race. There is no reason to suppose that saying this
clearly, rather than obfuscating, will radicalize Muslims not already favorably
inclined toward killing infidels.
Our aim should be, to borrow a phrase from Mr. Obama, to
“degrade and eventually defeat” jihadism. Nothing is more imperative than
preventing Iran’s rulers from taking the next, short steps toward a
nuclear-weapons capability that they clearly intend to use to threaten not just
their neighbors, but also Americans for decades to come. For an American
president, this is where the R2P needs to begin.
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