By Noah Rothman
Monday, December 13, 2021
In 2019, First Things magazine published
an open letter that captured a dominant sentiment on the American right. “Against the Dead Consensus” sought to bury the “warmed-over
Reaganism” that passed for conservative thought and policy in favor of
something more muscular. That something was and remains elusive, but what the
letter rejected was plainly specific: the “fetishizing” of “individual
autonomy.”
Thus, the American right joined the left in the race to
get ahead of what seemed like an emerging bipartisan sentiment in favor of
activist government. As New York magazine’s Jonathan Chait noted, forces
were at work that would “eventually render abstract appeals to small-government
conservatism obsolete.” More and more voters were tempted by the promise of an
expansive, overweening public sector that imposed itself on American lives—even
if they disagreed on the forms that imposition should take. The era of big
government was back, and it was here to stay.
What a difference a pandemic makes.
We’re now closing in on the start of the third year of
the global coronavirus outbreak and, with it, the continuation of all the
extraordinary interventions into private life that are starting to feel
terrifyingly normal. Couple that with unified control of government in the
hands of a party that is perfectly willing to use the crisis to advance its
long-sought but entirely unrelated policy objectives, and you have a recipe for
a political backlash. At least, that’s what the polling suggests.
Gallup’s polling in 2019, which had indicated to Chait
that an irreversible shift against limited governance was underway, has already
reversed itself. In that year, only 41 percent of adults said the government was
“trying to do too many things” while 54 percent said the public sector “should
do more to solve problems.” Today, the tally has flipped to a more historically
familiar form; 52 percent of Americans say government is doing too much while
just 43 percent disagree. A complimentary ABC News/Washington Post poll published
last month found that six-in-ten Americans are concerned that Joe Biden is
doing too much to increase the size and role of government—a figure that
includes roughly 30 percent of Democrats, 60 percent of independents, and
nearly all Republicans.
At the moment, these voters are woefully underserved by
both major political parties. The American political establishment has
abandoned the “dead consensus” around limited government at a time when that
political orientation is desperately needed and sorely missed.
Today, checks on overreach at the federal or state level
are largely left to the courts to mete out. The Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, which interpreted its Trump-era congressional mandates so broadly
that it thought it could abrogate the rights of property owners, was tossed aside by the federal bench. If the Supreme
Court follows the precedents established in lower courts, the Biden administration’s
vaccine mandates for federal workers and medium- to large-sized employers will
meet the same fate.
Judges have compelled the chief executive to enforce the laws he doesn’t like and to pare back
his attempts to legislate from behind the Resolute Desk. Judicial
efforts to save liberty from the designs of imperious politicians have been
even more vigorous at the state level—a condition that led Vox’s Ian Millhiser to mourn the ways in which the
judiciary is “destroying America’s ability to fight pandemics.” This crucial
impediment to the ambitions of heedless politicians cannot survive if American
political culture does not support it. It’s fortunate that polling suggests
voters do still believe in limited government, even if their representatives
don’t.
Meanwhile, if the voting public sought to send a message
to the activists in American government last November, the message was not
received. The schools are still closing—ostensibly to protect the least
vulnerable demographic from the ravages of COVID, but also to preserve “mental health” and promote “kindness, community, and connection,” largely in service to
the demands of public-sector unions. The country’s most panicky governors
are still imposing onerous burdens on employers to stem the tide
of a pandemic that can now be mitigated by highly effective vaccines and
antiviral therapies.
The federal government is still desperately trying to
tack several trillion dollars onto the national tab. That ambitious agenda
includes provisions that would require banks to provide the IRS with data on
accounts that receive more than $10,000 per year in deposits outside
wages and tips. It would seek to block the provision of grants to child-care providers that
are primarily houses of worship or that provide sectarian
education—essentially, an effort to starve religious institutions and force
them out of the childcare business. Its own advocates promote this legislation
as a means by which the government may, at long last, establish a cradle-to-grave
welfare state. If ever there was a time for small-government conservatives
to stand athwart history, it is now.
But some are still in thrall to the shadows that danced
across the wall during the Trump years. Sen. Marco Rubio has sought to bridle
national conservatism with the aim of riding it back into political
relevance. The American Conservative’s Declan Leary
highlights yet another speech in service to the senator’s ambitions, describing
Rubio’s newfound philosophy as one that “acknowledges that what the 21st
Century requires is not an immediate and reflexive conservatism.” Rather, it
necessitates “a robust and ambitious activism to rebuild the kind of
social-economic order that invites and deserves defense.”
In other words, no one is willing to defend the old
conservatism anymore. No one cares for modesty, liberty, the entrepreneurial
spirt, and the free markets in which it can thrive. Voters don’t seem to agree.
They are no longer inclined to reward activism in government, and they’re not
making the same careful distinctions between right and left activism the
solipsists on the nationalist right prefer.
As the Wall Street Journal’s Elliot Kaufman astutely observed, if those on the
right rediscovered the virtues of status quo ante conservatism, it would not be
because they are a thoughtless lot tethered to “ossified Reaganism.” It would
be a logical response to the demands of the electorate amid a spasm of
“restrictions on personal liberty.” America needs conservatism; the boring old
sort that isn’t revolutionary but preserves that which needs preserving. If
trends continue, first principles may win out over First Things,
but not if Republicans don’t give voters that option.
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