By Anders Fogh Rasmussen
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Despite his exuberance and unpredictability, Donald Trump
stayed on message throughout his campaign. He repeated the simple but powerful
message “Make America great again” and spoke of putting “America first” and won
the election against most expectations. Developing winning policy propositions
is the challenge he faces in the next four years. This is particularly true on
foreign policy, where the candidate made plenty of contradictory statements,
broke many taboos, and unsettled U.S. relations with much of the world.
With respect to foreign policy, making “America great
again” would require three related plans of action:
First, the U.S. must maintain the American-led order that
goes back all the way to President Truman after World War II. It has spawned
unprecedented prosperity and security throughout the world. For America, it has
meant that it has enjoyed a position of power never experienced by any other
nation. In concrete terms, it means that the Trump administration should revise
free-trade agreements where necessary but not abandon them. They remain the
engine of global growth.
Second, America must maintain a strong global military
posture. It is in America’s interest for economic muscle to be harnessed into
military and foreign-policy prowess, as Reagan understood. It gives America
strength and enables it to negotiate from a position of strength. Russian president Vladimir Putin, for example,
respects only a firm and steady hand. Should the Kremlin perceive that America
is frail and unable to keep its house in order, he would work even harder to
bring other countries into Moscow’s orbit. Nothing would make the Kremlin
happier, and America weaker, than for America to show the world that our common
shared Western values — freedom, democracy, free trade, rule of law — are
failing.
Third, America must preserve its strong alliances,
particularly with NATO and the EU, as well as as with likeminded democracies
across the world. Given the many problems we are faced with at the onset of the
21st century, it is crucial that we reassure friends and deter foes.
Putting “America first” should not mean putting friends
and allies last. Candidate Trump
questioned U.S. treaty commitments to our European allies. That threatens a
pillar of the rules-based international order. To allay any doubt about
America’s commitment to collective defense, a NATO summit should be held soon
after Trump’s inauguration. There President
Trump could stress these points:
• America remains committed to Article 5 of the North
Atlantic Treaty. The U.S. will play its full part in implementing the measures
agreed at the NATO summits in Wales and Warsaw to stabilize the eastern flank.
• Europe must make marked improvements in its defense
spending. Smaller allies, especially those from Eastern Europe, are getting
closer to 2 percent of their GDP. Europe’s defense weakness still lies with
larger allies, especially Germany, whose defense spending, despite some
marginal increase, stands at 1.2 percent of GDP. The president could put
forward an interim defense-spending plan whereby by 2020, at the end of his
term, all allies are at the 1.5–2 percent mark and rising.
• Reengagement with Russia will not come at the expense
of Europe’s security and integrity. This means respecting, not bargaining away,
the sovereignty of countries such as Ukraine and Georgia. This would be key to
gaining the support of all European allies as the U.S. seeks a more
constructive dialogue with Moscow.
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