By Kevin D. Williamson
Thursday, August 07, 2025
About two years ago, I had a conversation with a
gentleman who has served at the highest levels of the U.S. defense and
intelligence apparatus. He spoke of the necessity of a continued U.S.
commitment to the so-called two-state solution in Israel and the Palestinian
territories—“so-called,” I write, because there are not two states, and because
there are not going to be two states, and because it is not a solution. (Other
than that … ) I asked him what seemed and seems to me to be the obvious
question: How do we expect to have two states when the undeniable and
repeatedly demonstrated fact of the matter is that Palestinian sovereignty and
Israeli security are incompatible?
“We can’t let that be the case,” he non-answered. “There
is no alternative.”
The two-state solution calls to mind many similar
regional phantoms, the will-o’-the-wisps of Middle Eastern discourse, e.g., a
nuclear deal that the Iranians will honor. Why have an Iranian nuclear deal?
Because the alternative is not having an Iranian nuclear deal, which
apparently is unthinkable. (Or was, until somebody thought of something
better.) Why commit ourselves to a two-state solution for the Palestinians?
Because we must, because TINA says so. You know TINA: “There Is No Alternative,”
a declaration that seems to be invested with magical powers in the minds of
people who cannot accept that some problems are practically irresolvable.
But there is an alternative, the one nobody likes but the
one we are likely to have for a long time: the status quo.
Where there is Palestinian sovereignty or
semi-sovereignty, there are Palestinian forces plotting atrocities against
Israeli civilians. Palestinian control over Gaza was a sine qua non of
the October 7 attacks. Rockets are routinely fired into Israel from Gaza, and
the Palestinian forces aspire to turn the West Bank
into another launchpad. Israel, obviously, cannot and will not tolerate
that, no more than the United States would tolerate rockets being shot into El
Paso from south of the border. Whatever kind of fragile pseudo-state exists in
Gaza and/or the West Bank is going to end up getting wrecked every 18 months or
so when the Palestinians fortify their tunnels sufficiently that they feel
confident in launching another murder/rape/kidnapping/torture spectacular
against the hated Jews. And you can be entirely confident that the blood on
their hands will not even be dry before the U.N. et al. are lecturing Israel
about forbearance.
As I
argued last week, recognizing the supposed state of Palestine is an
exercise in asininity, given that—and I do insist that this matters—there is
no Palestinian state. A state is an apparatus that has the capacity to
perform state functions, and you can tell that not only is there no such
Palestinian apparatus but that nobody really even pretends to believe that
there is one—the Palestinians least of all—which is why the Palestinians and
their advocates insist that getting humanitarian relief to the people of Gaza
is the duty of the Israeli state. It is only the Jewish state that is
supposed to have real agency, moral or practical. And it has used that agency
in a humanitarian way: The IDF has air-dropped
food into Gaza. The Biden administration went as far as to arm-twist
the Israeli military into providing labor for its idiotic and short-lived
aid-pier project. If the Palestinians had expended 10 percent as much
effort in looking after Israeli security as the Israelis have spent looking
after Palestinian aid, they wouldn’t be in this mess in the first place.
Never mind the administratively challenging problems of
standing up a state to govern non-contiguous territories—consult the people of
the former
East Pakistan about that–think about what a Palestinian state would
actually be: a weapon, an instrument of terrorism. While there is no
Palestinian state, we do have some indication of what such a state would look
like: Hamas is not an insurgency in Gaza—Hamas was entrusted by the
Palestinians with the administration of the enclave, and it is the closest
thing (not very close) to a legitimate government they have.
In the West Bank, there is the Palestinian Authority
overseen by Mahmoud Abbas, now into the third decade of the four-year term to
which he was elected. The Palestinian Authority is best understood as a mafia.
One need not be a cranky libertarian (guilty!) to appreciate that there is no
bright line of separation between mafias and emerging states: The original
mafia in Sicily performed many state-like functions, filling the power vacuum
left by the decline of feudal institutions following the Risorgimento.
It protected landowners, arbitrated disputes, and
worked to maintain public order on the streets. But even with access to
technology and international resources, the Palestinian Authority has not
reached a point of political development equal to that of the 19th-century
Sicilian mob. It has a long way to go before it can be treated as a credible
and legitimate state.
But as with the French who have just “recognized” a
Palestinian state that does not exist, advocates of the so-called two-state
solution generally wave their hands and cover their ears when the facts of the
case come up. Instead, recognizing the Palestinian state that does not exist is
taken as a kind of symbolic moral gesture—and U.K. Prime Minister Keir
Starmer’s explicit use of such recognition as a cudgel to try to bully the
Israeli government into accepting his government’s priorities (as Israel fights
against national extermination) very much suggests that this is not
about building a Palestinian state at all but about placating domestic
constituencies in the United Kingdom, Europe, Canada, and elsewhere, including
constituencies in which antisemitism is a deeply held creed. Empty symbolism
rarely is admirable, but this is something worse than empty symbolism: It is
symbolism that makes things worse, punishing the Israelis for defending
themselves and rewarding the Palestinians for October 7, for the use of human
shields in Gaza and elsewhere, and for Hamas’ ghastly, cynical campaign of
purposefully inflicting suffering on Palestinian civilians for the benefit of
Western news photographers.
Hamas rejects a two-state solution, and in 2006, the last
time there were Palestinian elections, Hamas won a
plurality of the vote. But Hamas is not alone in its rejection. Every mob
that chants “From the river to the sea!” rejects a two-state solution.
Many of Israel’s critics in the West reject a two-state solution,
explicitly or implicitly. October 7, rapturously celebrated by the Arabs of
Palestine, was a rejection of a two-state solution. Supposed Palestinian
moderates indulge eliminationist rhetoric when they think they are among
friends. Palestinian chief Abbas spends
a good deal of time talking about the need to
understand what Adolf Hitler was trying to accomplish. Advocates of the
supposed two-state solution must either ignore these facts or insist that it
does not matter whether the Palestinians accept a two-state solution; that Western
idealists must somehow accept a two-state solution on their behalf.
As a purely humanitarian question, it is not at all clear
that what the two-staters propose is good for the Palestinians. Hamas is not
some exogenous force imposed on the Arabs of Palestine and it is not going
away—whether the elements that compose it are called “Hamas” five years from
now or are called something else is hardly material. You can go to any number
of mainstream newspapers and wire services (many of them hostile to the Jewish
state) and see photos and videos of aid meant for the Palestinians being
hijacked by criminal gangs and sold in Palestinian markets—and this does not
happen without Hamas’ blessing and cooperation or without
Hamas getting its cut. And if our humanitarian concerns also extend to the
Jewish people—the murdered, the tortured, the raped, the hostages—then giving
Hamas or its reconstituted elements state-like powers is obviously the wrong
thing to do, in very much the same way that the Taliban was awful as an
insurgent militia but a much more significant problem for the rest of the world
when it assumed power in Afghanistan.
If the argument is that there is some kind of moral
urgency pushing us to recognize the national aspirations of the Palestinians,
consider me among the unmoved. There are sovereignty-minded people in
Catalonia, Quebec, and Texas,
too. I cannot think of a good reason to move the heroes of the Battle of Sbarro (because murdering pregnant American women eating pizza is the
stuff of which Palestinian heroes apparently are made) to the front of the
line. I can think of many good reasons to move them to the back.
Sentimentality will not do. The point of American policy
is to serve American interests, and the American interests here are pretty
straightforward: We have a reliable ally in the region whose security is of
political, diplomatic, military, and economic interest to the United States,
while none of those interests are served by empowering—even if only
rhetorically and symbolically—those who as a matter of publicly stated
principle seek to eliminate that ally in toto. And it is impossible to
take seriously the Panglossian proposition that we can have a Palestinian state
in which such eliminationist elements do not predominate—presumably, a
Palestinian state will contain a great many Palestinians, and the genocidal attitude
toward the Jewish state has not been imposed on the Arabs of Palestine by some
mysterious act of colonial hypnosis. The desire to apply some kind of moral
quarantine around the Palestinian people may be understandable, and it may be
charitable, but it is profoundly foolish. Vicious Arab antisemitism is a fact
of life.
Maybe there is a way to educate (which is to say,
propagandize) the Arab world out of its pathological Jew hatred, but that is a
very iffy and long-term proposition–one might reasonably want to see some
evidence of meaningful and durable progress on that front before blessing the
prospect of a Palestinian state. Maybe we should let the Palestinians put a few
decades between themselves and their most recent
programmatic murder of actual babies before we
take their aspirations toward national sovereignty as a serious moral concern.
The Middle East is a region that would seem to be
positively chock full of no alternatives. But, as it turns out, there was an
alternative to the Iranian nuclear deal: destroying Iranian nuclear facilities
and killing critical personnel. Likewise, there is an alternative to the
two-state solution: killing Hamas fighters and their political leaders,
destroying their matériel, seizing their assets and those of their
collaborators, and stripping them and their allies of what trappings of
sovereignty they already enjoy. If that means that the Palestinians must
continue to languish as wards of the Israeli state, the United Nations, and
international humanitarians, consider that this already is the status quo and
probably should remain such wards until they can figure out how to conduct
their affairs without a national identity based on the murder of Jews.
That may not be the most pleasing outcome we could dream
of, but we know what the actual alternative looks like, and it isn’t some
Palestinian answer to George Washington, or even Lee Kuan Yew, building a
prosperous and orderly and decent society—it is a world in which every day is
October 7.
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