By Noah Rothman
Thursday, August 07 2025
Say what you will about Texas’s attempt at reapportioning
its congressional districts in the middle of the decade, but it seems to have
had a profound psychological effect on Democratic partisans.
Sure, Texas’s move is muscular politics. One might even
call it an expansion to the rules of political engagement, though the maneuver
is hardly unprecedented. Indeed, mid-decade redistricting was
said to have “saved the Democratic House majority” for the first half of Joe
Biden’s term in office.
Beginning in 2016, “North Carolina, Florida, Virginia,
and Pennsylvania discarded maps that were favorable to Republicans and replaced
them with plans that were more generous to Democrats,” the Center for Politics
analyst J. Miles Coleman observed in 2021. “If no maps changed
throughout the decade, Republicans would likely now hold a narrow majority.”
Some of those GOP-favoring maps were the result of
Republican overreach, and they were thrown out not by Democrats but the courts.
Still, if the old maps had prevailed, there would have been no “American Rescue
Plan,” no “Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act,” no “Inflation Reduction
Act,” and, probably, a lot less inflationary pressure to which all these
big-spending bills contributed. History hinges on those maps.
It seems Democrats are incapable of acknowledging that
their party, too, benefits from partisan redistricting. They certainly cannot
confess that they and their allies designed those maps only to secure grubby
political advantage. Thus, the mere threat that Texas plans to push
redistricting forward — ostensibly to address the 2020 Census discrepancies that left a variety of red
states, including the Lone Star State, underrepresented based on its population
growth, but, really, to shore up the GOP’s House majority — has driven
Democrats to articulate the cognitive dissonance they’re now experiencing.
Illinois Democratic Representative Mike
Quigley insisted that failing to follow Texas’s lead with the explicit
intention of drawing as many Republicans out of the state’s congressional
delegation would amount to “unilateral disarmament.” Democrats “have to fight
fire with fire.” Otherwise, he said, “Republicans will rig the election.” The
representative must have momentarily forgotten his state is already so
aggressively gerrymandered that there aren’t many options available to vengeful
Democrats looking to take their frustrations out on the nearest Republican.
Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey suffered a similar stress-induced memory
lapse. Texas Republicans and Donald Trump “have left us no choice,” she told
reporters when asked if she, too, would attempt to redraw the state’s
congressional districts to get rid of its GOP representatives. She seems to
have forgotten that each of the Bay State’s nine congressional districts are
already represented by Democrats. Indeed, Republicans occupy just 30 seats in
both chambers of the Massachusetts state legislature to the Democratic Party’s
200 — which is to say that the GOP represents 15 percent of a state that voted
for Donald Trump to the tune of 36.5 percent.
New York Governor Kathy Hochul may have been the most
egregious peddler of happy falsehoods designed to ratify Democrats’ sense of
grievance. “I’m tired of fighting this fight with my hand tied behind my back,”
Hochul barked at reporters in a performance meant to
project passion but managed to convey only instability. “We’re sick and tired
of being pushed around when other states don’t have the same aspirations that
we always have.” Hochul mourned the end of an age of political restraint and
decency — “Donald Trump eliminated it forever,” she declared. But it was only
three years ago that New York’s Democratic legislature drew up a map so
brazenly contemptuous of basic rules that govern a districts contiguousness
that the state’s Democrat-dominated Court of Appeals threw it out.
The conundrum that these Democrats refuse to confront was
pithily articulated by CNN’s Aaron Blake: “Dems have already gerrymandered
where they could,” he observed, “and can draw many fewer districts than GOP.
Adding Dem opportunities is legally difficult.” That’s another way of saying
that Democrats have already pushed as many Republicans out in the states they
control as they possibly can without disenfranchising Republican voters.
Politico agreed that, in their effort to satisfy the
activist class’s desire for vengeance, “Democrats don’t have many options.”
Their best chance to draw GOP blood is in, of all places, California — “a
heavily blue state with a huge number of congressional districts.” This is
where the party’s cloying need for the gratification of its loudest and most
uncompromising activists comes into play.
California Governor Gavin Newsom has latched onto Texas’s redistricting
maneuver as Marc Antony did Caesar’s bloody tunic. The scene-chewing high
dudgeon that typifies his approach to the issue has been such a strained
performance that even Politico called him out. “For Newsom,” its report
read, “the showdown is an opportunity to feed red meat to Democrats across the
country.” That dispatch, from reporter Melanie Mason, contains some insights
into how the party conceives of itself.
“It’s the No. 1 requirement for whomever becomes our de
facto head in 2028,” onetime Democratic National Committee chairman and current
podcast host Jaime Harrison told her while reflecting on Newsom’s suddenly
uncompromising rhetoric. “You have to be willing to fight.” Not just fight, in
fact, but fight dirty. “People’s anger over what they do [in Texas] is going to
lead them to say, ‘All’s fair in love and war,’” warned the former Democratic
governor of South Carolina, Jim Hodges. “This is a ‘f*** you, we’re going to
match your scorched earth with our scorched earth,’” Democratic pollster John
Anzalone agreed. “The fact is that collectively we’re just tired of playing by
the rules.”
What a story these Democrats have told themselves. It is
a tale in which Republicans and Republicans alone stretch the bounds of
political propriety, and the Democratic Party forever fails to follow suit —
partly because its members are just too pure of heart, but, also, because
Democrats just cannot summon the requisite gumption to see their will made
manifest. It’s nonsense, but it’s nonsense Democrats have been telling
themselves for decades.
To hear them tell it, Democrats didn’t do nearly enough
to stop the Supreme Court from ruling as it did in Dobbs, and they
didn’t respond to that decision with the appropriate fervor. “Fundamentally,
people, especially young people, want to feel like the president is fighting
for them,” read Ben Davis’s 2022 call for “radical resistance” to the GOP
in The Guardian. “The majority of Americans are under attack by a
minority, and they need a president who recognizes this and will respond in
kind.” But what exactly is to be done? That part was left unsaid — perhaps even
unthought.
Senator Elizabeth Warren campaigned for the White House
on a similar premise. “I don’t understand why anybody goes to all the trouble
of running for president of the United States just to talk about what we really
can’t do and shouldn’t fight for,” she said in 2019. “I get a little bit tired of Democrats
afraid of big ideas.” Throughout her campaign, she promised to “fight” to secure Medicare for All, to “fight
for women’s issues,” to “fight every injustice,” and to “fight for a bold
progressive agenda.” The implication, which she occasionally made explicit, is
that all
your wildest dreams will come true if Democrats would just elect candidates
who refuses to acknowledge the existence of procedural obstacles or political
impediments.
Even Barack Obama was not immune to criticisms from his
left that he was too accommodating toward his Republican rivals. “Progressives
feel betrayed,” Politico reported within Obama’s first year in
office. They were burned by the Democrat-led Senate’s failure to engineer the
nationalization of the American private health-insurance industry. “They blame
Reid and Obama for not exercising their power to fight for the provisions.” A
year later, progressives were still agonizing over Obama’s capitulatory nature.
As Politico reported when Democrats decided not to
scrap all the Bush tax cuts at once, the left balked. “[L]iberals are convinced
that they have the high ground on policy and politics on this issue,” the
report read, “if only the president would stop giving away turf every time they
seize it.”
The left is forever disappointed by the fact that it gets
exactly what it asks for from its elected officials. These calls for “fight”
from the Democratic political class are not all that different from today’s
Democrats promising to radically gerrymander their already gerrymandered
states. The activist class demands emotion from their representatives, so
that’s what is on offer. The most vociferous progressives don’t want just
emotion, of course; they want radical, quasi-revolutionary political reforms.
They tell themselves (and are told by their more irresponsible representatives)
that the obstacles in their way are constructs — paper tigers that haunt the
imaginations of quislings and cowards.
America is hardwired to thwart the ambitions of
revolutionary reformers. Achievable and lasting legislative accomplishments are
the product of unsatisfying compromise — incremental and circumspect
initiatives. Progressives don’t want that. They want to see their political
enemies driven before them. They want big changes, and they want them now. And
when they don’t get any of that, they get mad — so they redirect their ire
inward. At some level, the activists resent seeing their anger reflected in the
politicians who pander to them, but that is the only realistic deliverable
those politicians can produce. What progressives really want, they cannot have.
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