By Noah Rothman
Friday, August 08, 2025
When former Vice President Kamala Harris announced her
intention to forgo a run for California governor (following some rather
aggressive nudging from Democrats who thought her candidacy would sap the party
of enthusiasm and cost them congressional seats), many speculated that Harris
could be gearing up for another presidential bid.
As Harris and her allies contemplate a second quest for
the White House, the question that polling raises is: “Why?”
CALIFORNIA POLL
2028 Presidential Primaries
Democratic Primary
Newsom 23%
Buttigieg 17%
Harris 11%
AOC 9%
Beshear 5%
Shapiro 4%
Sanders 4%
GOP Primary
Vance 40%
RFK Jr. 10%
DeSantis 9%
Haley 5%
Rubio 4%
Ramaswamy 4%
— Emerson College Polling
(@EmersonPolling) August
8, 2025
These are brutal numbers for a California native, let
alone a figure who served as the party’s de facto leader just ten months
ago. They are illustrative of what a shoddy contrivance all that “joy” always
was, of course. They also highlight the degree to which Harris’s ascent up the
ladder of California politics was a function of her ability to navigate intra-Democratic
power centers. Harris’s star rose not because she had a special relationship
with her voters. Rather, her relationship was with the party’s powerbrokers.
For months, Harris stood at the top of some very
preliminary 2028 primary polling, and we can safely attribute that now to name
recognition. Recently, national primary polling found her slipping behind former
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and that trend is now reflected in the
Golden State. That has to bring up some painful memories for Harris — memories
she can’t be eager to relive.
If this trend continues, why would Harris subject herself
to the embarrassment she experienced in 2019? If the onetime Democratic
presidential nominee wants to be president that badly, there have to be some
universities out there that would be willing to lend her the title. The White
House, it seems, is going to remain out of reach.
No comments:
Post a Comment