By George Will
Saturday, February 11, 2017
At their post–Civil War apogee, 19th-century Republicans
were the party of activist government, using protectionism to pick commercial
winners and promising wondrous benefits from government’s deft interventions in
economic life. Today, a Republican administration promises that wisely wielded
Washington power can rearrange commercial activities in ways superior to those
produced by private-sector calculations in free-market transactions.
According to the Financial
Times, which interviewed him, Peter Navarro, head of the president’s
National Trade Council, says an administration priority is “unwinding and
repatriating the international supply chains on which many U.S. multinational
companies rely.” This will make life interesting for, among many others,
America’s third- and 24th-largest corporations, Apple and Boeing.
The tiny print on the back of iPhones accurately says they
are “assembled,” not manufactured, in China. The American Enterprise
Institute’s James Pethokoukis notes that parts come from South Korea, Japan,
Italy, Taiwan, Germany, and the United States. Components of Boeing airliners’
wings come from Japan, South Korea, and Australia; horizontal stabilizers and
center fuselages from Italy; cargo-access doors from Sweden; passenger-entry
doors from France; landing-gear doors from Canada; engines and landing gear
from Britain.
Navarro’s “unwinding and repatriating” is, to say no
more, part of an improbable project: making American greater by making Apple,
Boeing, and many other corporations much less efficient and less competitive.
This will further slow economic growth, making even more unattainable the 4
percent (more than double the economy’s average growth this century) or higher
growth that the administration says will enable it to spend $1 trillion on
infrastructure (including a $15 billion or so wall on the Mexican border, begun
after nearly a decade of net-negative immigration from Mexico), while
substantially increasing military spending, leaving entitlements unreformed,
and delivering enormous tax cuts. Cuts that, according to the Committee for a
Responsible Federal Budget (co-chaired by Republican Mitch Daniels and Democrat
Leon Panetta, both former directors of the Office of Management and Budget),
will reduce revenues by $5.8 trillion over ten years. This, as the
Congressional Budget Office projects that even without any of the administration’s proposed spending spree and tax cuts,
under current law the national debt would increase by $9.4 trillion.
Speaking of supply chains: In her book The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global
Economy, Georgetown University’s Pietra Rivoli recounts a conversation with
a man from Shanghai who said that if she would come to China he would help her
see various places involved in producing the inexpensive T-shirts exported to
America. She would see where the yarn is spun, the fabric is knit, and the
shirts are sewn. Asked if she could see where the cotton is grown, the man from
China said he could not show her that because the cotton probably is grown in
“Teksa.” Rivoli spun a globe around to China and asked him to point to Teksa.
“He took the globe and spun it back around the other way. ‘Here, I think it is
grown here.’ I followed his finger. Patrick was pointing at Texas.”
Today’s Republican administration promises protection
against the destruction of American jobs by the Chinese, Mexicans, and other
foreigners. The really prolific destroyers are: Americans. As Reason’s John Tamny says, Americans
streaming movies from Netflix (based in Los Gatos, Calif.) erase American jobs
in movie theaters and DVD-rental stores. Americans buying books from
Seattle-based Amazon have caused many American bookstores to do what Borders
(400 stores, 11,000 employees) did: disappear. Americans using San
Francisco–based Uber are destroying many taxi drivers’ jobs.
Evidently our protectors in the administration must
believe this: The destruction of American jobs because Americans buy goods or
services of some American companies rather than those of other American
companies is benign. But the destruction of American jobs because Americans buy
goods or services of foreign companies is intolerable.
An administration confident about conducting
interventions in the economy should demonstrate care when bandying numbers. But
in defending the sensible idea of reducing government regulation of the
financial sector, Gary Cohn, director of the president’s National Economic
Council, said this would save “literally hundreds of billions of dollars of
regulatory costs every year.” Former treasury secretary Larry Summers notes the
implausibility: “Total bank profits last year were about $170 billion.”
Deregulation will more than double profits?
As today’s Republicans celebrate a protectionist
administration that is confident that Washington’s superior wisdom can improve
upon the market’s allocation of economic resources, Democrats must resent
Republican plagiarism. Who will protect Americans from their protectors?
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