By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, September 10, 2014
"I should have anticipated the optics,"
President Obama said by way of acknowledging that golfing right after making a
statement about the beheading of James Foley looked bad. "Part of this job
is also the theater of it," he said. "It's not something that always
comes naturally to me. But it matters."
For those who remember that this is the same guy with the
Greek pillars, the campaign stop in Berlin, the newly minted "seal"
of the president-elect, it was an odd confession. Obama likes theater just
fine; he just doesn't like having to read from a script not of his choosing.
That is probably why it took him so many tries to come up
with the right words for what we will do about the Islamic State. One wonders
whether he looked at the prepared remarks, turned to Valerie Jarrett and asked,
"What's my motivation?"
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has a similar problem. Much like
Obama in 2007-08, he has been enjoying swimming with the current on foreign
policy. War-weary, fed up with Arab countries hating us for trying to help and
convinced that our priorities are closer to home, Paul's noninterventionism was
sounding just right to many Americans.
Then, some jihadi punks beheaded two Americans and
taunted the U.S. in the process. The same jihadis conquered and enslaved
territories Americans fought, bled and died to liberate. They boasted that they
beat us in a war and vowed -- ridiculously -- that their flag would fly over
our White House. Lo and behold, it turns out that Americans don't like that
sort of thing.
Attitudes, particularly among the very patriotic and
pro-military Tea Party crowd, suddenly and predictably shifted. This time last
year only 18 percent of Republicans told pollsters for the Pew Research Center
that the U.S. does "too little" abroad. That number had more than
doubled according to a similar poll last week. And a new Washington Post/ABC
News poll shows 71 percent of Americans favor strikes in Iraq and 65 percent
favor them in Syria.
Suddenly, Paul, who just weeks ago was calling Hillary
Clinton a warmonger, is doing some mongering himself.
As much as it shocks me to say it, the politician whose
instincts were best calibrated to the moment was none other than Vice President
Joe Biden, who vowed that we would chase these barbarians to "the gates of
hell."
Any analysis that fails to appreciate national honor
fails to take into account what actually motivates nations. The Scots seem
poised to secede from Britain, and the foreign policy establishment seems
baffled by the idea. Don't the Scots understand that such a move is not in
their economic self-interest?
Lurking behind such questions is an assumption that we
are all Homo economicus, that we act only on a narrow, largely financial
definition of self-interest. Maybe we should, but we don't and never will. If
Palestinians acted solely on their rational self-interest, their conflict with
Israel would have ended before it began. And there is a very strong case to be
made for Obama's view that Vladimir Putin's empire-building will be bad for
Russia in the long run. The only problem: Putin and a huge majority of
Putin-worshipping Russians do not care.
"The mistake of the 'realists' is not their interest
in the struggle for power but their deliberate neglect of everything else,
especially the non-scientific, contingent, very human feelings and beliefs that
most powerfully move people," Donald Kagan writes in "Honor Among Nations:
Intangible Interests and Foreign Policy."
The neglect of such considerations can have enormous
costs (as can too much consideration; see World War, First). The Ukrainians
sent troops to fight with us in Iraq and Afghanistan. Now, in their moment of
need, all they want from us are weapons to fend off the Russians. Our refusal
is not merely dishonorable in some poetic sense; it is dangerous because it
sends the signal that we are not a reliable friend. That is why Obama had to
issue the mother of all red lines in the Baltics last week, vowing
unconditional support for our allies.
He was right to do so. But at this point it is an open
question around the world whether America is the sort of country that will
deliver on such commitments given that the president has made it clear he
considers such things mere theatrics.
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