By John Gustavsson
Sunday, December 07, 2025
After the shooting of two National Guardsmen in
Washington, D.C. by an Afghan migrant, the Trump administration halted visas
for Afghans and suspended immigration from “Third World Countries.” While
some deem this an overreaction, others argue the move was long overdue. But
what is clear — from both the D.C. shooting and other incidents, such as the
widespread welfare fraud by Somalis in Minnesota that has recently
made national news — is that the United States is beginning to experience the
same issues with Middle Eastern migration and integration that Europe has dealt
with for some time now. When immigration comes under scrutiny at moments like
this, advocates will often cite the successful assimilation of past groups of
immigrants — such as the Irish and Italians — as evidence that immigration
almost always works out well. Yet, thanks to the advent of new technology, contemporary
efforts to assimilate large groups of migrants might face insurmountable
challenges.
The sheer popularity of apps that can keep migrants in
constant touch with family members abroad can’t be overlooked in examining why
some migrants are slow to embrace their newly adopted countries.
It is not long ago that emigration meant that one would
never see or hear from one’s family again, at least in one’s homeland. In
Ireland, a country known for its historically high levels of emigration, the
practice of an “American wake” developed; a type of funeral for the living,
held for a prospective emigrant shortly before their journey. Once the boat set
sail, an emigrant would be dead to those at home in Ireland. At best, they
might hope to receive a letter every other year.
Today, migrants use social media and messaging apps to
stay in touch with those at home, often on a daily basis. In one survey, as
many as 98 percent reported using Facebook. This has had many
positive effects, to be sure — it’s obviously a good thing that immigrants
don’t have to permanently cut off contact with relatives upon arrival. But it
also comes with downsides, the first being that staying in constant touch with
one’s homeland undercuts the urgency and necessity to assimilate to one’s
newfound home. Migrants who can have their social needs at least partially
satisfied in this way might not feel the same imperative to learn the language
and customs of their new country, or to make friends and get to know the new
community in which they live.
Social media also offers relatives back home the
opportunity to keep close tabs on a migrant’s new life. A migrant posting about
trying a new restaurant for lunch may spur an angry call confronting them over
not keeping the precepts of Ramadan (and was that a bacon burger?), as could an
innocent TikTok post (why is your daughter not wearing her niqab?).
Emigration no longer offers the clean slate it once did,
now that the once-a-year letter home has been replaced by twice-daily WhatsApp
check-ins. This transformation can serve to slow down assimilation, even if
other everyday influences (a job, neighbors, the local school system, and other
community resources) are at work trying to bring migrants into their new
cultural fold. It goes without saying that this frequent contact also helps
ramp up the pressure to remit money, and to help those at home emigrate as well —
spurring chain migration.
Relatedly, social media has caused a surge in the willingness to emigrate, by offering
those living in the developing world a window into the types of lifestyles
enjoyed here in the West. While would-be migrants might always have had a vague
idea that their countries are less materially well-off, being bombarded on a
daily basis with pictures, stories, and videos showcasing the opulent
lifestyles of Western influencers on social media makes this difference feel
real and tangible. Comparison, after all, is the thief of joy.
Thanks to social media, people from the Third World are
experiencing daily what Boris Yeltsin felt when he first set foot in an
American grocery store. Yes, he knew at a conceptual level that the Soviet
Union was poorer than America — but seeing America’s material abundance
firsthand was, quite understandably, something else entirely. And unlike Yeltsin,
people migrating usually have limited prospects of changing their own
countries; Instagram influencers trigger a desire to leave, rather than an urge
to improve one’s own situation at home. Indeed, and somewhat
counterintuitively, emigration has increased at higher levels from poorer
countries that have had relatively strong economic growth, partially in
response to improved internet access which has given more people their
own “Yeltsin moments.”
But the desire to leave is not just due to Western
influencers, of course. Stories of successful migrants striking it rich in the
West go
viral in the developing world; this has the same impact that stories of
successful miners had in creating the 19th-century Gold Rush, which caused
California’s population to increase by more than twentyfold in less than a
decade. And much like during the Gold Rush era — when the real winners were the
suppliers of picks, pans, and provisions — the current flood of third-world
migration creates windfalls for coyotes and cartels peddling smuggling
services, more than it does for aspiring arrivals.
The abundance of influencers and success stories sadly
combine to create unrealistic expectations. While the U.S. and Europe are
significantly wealthier than the Middle East and Africa, most of us do not live
the lifestyle that wealthy influencers live (or pretend to live). And migrants
— even those who may have held reputable positions in their home countries —
typically must work their way up from the bottom.
This clash between expectations and reality became
evident during the European refugee crisis of 2015 to 2016; newly arrived
asylum seekers at several Swedish detention centers went on hunger
strikes. Others simply refused to get off the bus after being taken to a detention
center in a small northern village (instead of Malmö, where many of their
relatives lived). Complaints about the food being served in asylum center cafeterias — the same
food as is served in Swedish school cafeterias — were commonplace.
Understanding the divide between expectations and reality
for migrants is crucial to understanding why so many of them act ungrateful
towards their host countries, despite being treated with a kindness of which
past generations of immigrants could only have dreamed. This resentment, again,
slows down assimilation.
It is not just family and friends whom migrants use
social media apps to keep in touch with. The Israel–Hamas war of the past two
years has made it apparent how conflicts abroad are now capable of spilling
onto the streets of Western countries. Immigrants from the Middle East and from
Muslim countries, bombarded with round-the-clock news from home through apps
like TikTok, naturally feel the need to act — to do something. This is
compounded by the fact that much of the news they follow is heavily distorted,
manipulated by foreign actors who deliberately aim to inflame sectarian
tensions in Western societies.
Migrants’ importation of conflicts from home is not
limited to debates over Israel and Gaza, either. In 2023, hundreds of pro- and
anti-regime Eritreans clashed in a violent riot in Stockholm, and earlier this year, two
people were assaulted in a fight between pro- and anti-regime Iranians in London.
And of course, in Minneapolis, Somalian tribal politics played a decisive role
in the recent mayoral race.
To be clear, the effects of the internet on immigration
aren’t entirely bad. It should also be noted that many migrants use smartphone
apps to learn their new country’s language, to make new friends, and to
familiarize themselves with the cultures and ways of life of their new
countries. Yet, at least among migrants from cultures with significant cultural
divides from the West, the new technology has clearly been a net negative for
assimilation.
As for ensuring that these modes of communication are a
net positive, policy options are limited, as the government certainly cannot
tell migrants to disown and cut off contact with their relatives at home. Nor
can they be prevented from consuming news from their home countries, though
disruptive protests can and should be strictly curtailed. As for fighting
unrealistic expectations, Australia’s campaign targeting would-be migrants in their own countries via
social media platforms may provide a blueprint.
The key lesson for policymakers is to understand that the
cultures modern migrants bring with them are likely to have staying power, and
thus culture must be viewed as a genuine and permanent externality of
immigration. When considering the question of whether and how many visas to
grant to immigrants from, say, Somalia, the answer must consider not just the
direct economic effect (e.g., net tax revenue or net economic contributions),
but also indirect effects on society (e.g., increases in welfare fraud and the weakening of civic institutions). Welfare economics can
offer us some insights on how to quantify these factors.
The old melting pot required distance, disconnection, and
time. The internet has abolished all three. Where steamships and one-way
tickets once forced newcomers to choose between the old world and the new,
WhatsApp and TikTok now let them keep both. The old expectation — that
newcomers would, over a generation or two, become indistinguishable from the
native-born — is increasingly detached from reality. But as long as
policymakers keep measuring immigration with 20th-century yardsticks, they will
keep getting 21st-century problems.
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