By Rich Lowry
Tuesday, August 05, 2025
Let’s take a tour of the 13th congressional district in
Illinois.
It starts in East St. Louis and then moves steadily
north. By the time it gets to Springfield, home of Abraham Lincoln, about 90
miles away, it takes a sharp turn to the east, reaching Decatur and finally
Champaign, itself about 80 miles away from Springfield.
It’s a jagged, narrow strip of territory with no obvious
rhyme or reason as it traverses six counties. It’s less a congressional
district than a road trip; it bears a resemblance to the original gerrymander,
a long, salamander-like state-senate district in Massachusetts in 1812.
The only point of the new 13th-district lines, fashioned
with the redistricting after the 2020 census, was to gather together far-flung
Democrats to create another Democratic congressional district. Mission
accomplished. The 13th district went from being a competitive district long
held by a Republican to flipping to the Democrats in 2022.
Overall, Illinois lost one district after the 2020 census
and managed to draw lines that changed the congressional ratio from a
Democratic advantage of 13 to 5 to a 14-to-3 Democratic advantage. The
political-analysis website 538 called the new map “the worst gerrymander
in the country drawn by Democrats.”
This makes it especially inapt that a contingent of Texas
Democrats fleeing the Lone Star State to try to stop what they consider unfair
new congressional boundaries found a safe harbor in Illinois. Next time their
travel agent should do a hypocrisy check before booking a destination.
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker welcomed the self-exiling
Democrats and hailed their courage. He told them that he and other top
Democrats in the state were pleased “to stand in solidarity with you and send a
clear message to all Americans.” His conscience showed no sign of being pricked
by the fact that he signed into law the redistricting that saw Republicans in
2022 win nearly 44 percent of the popular vote in Illinois congressional races
and only about 17 percent of the congressional seats.
A special session of the Texas legislature is considering
new lines that could net Republicans another five seats. Governor Greg Abbott
has cited a Department of Justice letter saying that some of the current
districts need to be redrawn because they represent unconstitutional racial
gerrymandering (the Biden Justice Department had been fighting Texas because,
in its view, the current lines didn’t reflect enough racial
gerrymandering).
The Supreme Court is taking up a Louisiana case that
should clarify the extent to which states can consider race in drawing
so-called majority-minority districts. In the meantime, the partisan effect of
the new Texas lines before the 2026 midterms is unmistakable. If Republicans
were likely to lose fives seat from the redistricting, the state’s Republican
governor and Republican legislature wouldn’t be undertaking it.
Drawing district lines is an inherently political
enterprise, and parties tend to give themselves the best of it. When Democrats
controlled the Texas legislature, they maintained congressional lines in their
favor. It wasn’t until Republicans won the state house for the first time since
Reconstruction in 2002 that the GOP could redraw the congressional map, and
Republicans subsequently won a majority of Texas congressional seats in 2004,
also for the first time since Reconstruction.
Since Democrats gerrymander, too, they have limited
options for retaliating against Texas. Pritzker says he may redraw his state’s
lines, but this would require gerrymandering on top of his current gerrymander.
Governor Gavin Newsom is making similar noises, but the California map is
already tilted toward Democrats. Republicans won nearly 40 percent of the
congressional vote in the Golden State in 2024 but only about 17 percent of the
House seats.
If the Texas plan goes through and all else remains
equal, the Lone Star State will have about the same partisan skew as
California.
Less gerrymandering would be better, rather than more,
but Democrats like Governor Pritzker, who blessed his state’s meandering 13th
district, have no standing to make the case.
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