By Kevin D. Williamson
Friday, June 06, 2025
I recently participated in a debate/discussion with
regulation scholar Wayne Crews, my colleague at the Competitive Enterprise
Institute and author of the invaluable annual regulatory survey Ten Thousand Commandments.
The subject was DOGE, about which we just barely disagree: His position is that
DOGE is better than nothing, and mine is that DOGE is worse than nothing. Where
we agree is that in concerns touching both spending and regulation, Congress is
the solution—because Congress is the problem.
Or, more precisely, Congress is the problem most closely
at hand.
Politicians who face the voters periodically have a schedule
of incentives that is different from what businesses experience in the
marketplace—it didn’t take two years for consumers to offer a verdict on New
Coke or the Ford Edsel—and the nature of the incentives is different, too, but
they do ultimately respond to the voters who either reward or punish them.
That’s another way of saying that peoples who have recourse to democratic
processes get approximately the government they deserve. Our Congress problem
ultimately proceeds not from the character of House Speaker Mike Johnson or
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer but from the character of the American
people, of whom Elon Musk is about as good a representative as a
harem-keeping ketamine-addled billionaire from South
Africa could hope to be.
Musk and the Muskovites talk about the world of politics
and policy in terms of good and evil, and most of the idiotic catchphrases of
the contemporary right—elites, Deep State, woke, etc.—are
just dumb and/or dishonest ways of saying evil. Progressives rely on
roughly the same figures of speech when they talk about corporations or the
Federalist Society or, when the subject comes up, me. This thinking, if we are
to flatter it with that illustrious gerund, extends from individuals to institutions,
with millions of Americans apparently believing in all sincerity that Harvard
and Google and this or that bloc on the Supreme Court and whichever political
party isn’t theirs have the priorities and values they have because the people
involved are evil.
That kind of thing is the reason Musk failed at DOGE and
the reason DOGE itself has failed and will fail to amount to anything other
than a gormless blue-ribbon commission run by dilettantes and ignoramuses. Musk
et al.—and Trump himself above all—believe that they can set things right in
our wobbly republic if only they could simply punish the wicked and reward the
virtuous, and, because their ignorance is compounded by arrogance, it never
occurs to them that this is another way to say, “We require the power to
disadvantage people who compete with us for status or resources in order to
hand out favors for our friends.” Trump is a kind of naïve Nietzschean, unable
to distinguish what is good from what he wants.
And so DOGE looks like vandalism because DOGE is
vandalism. This is not like the fall of Rome, if only because we are our own
Visigoths.
We have the better part of a century’s worth of excellent
scholarship about the problems of
bureaucracy,
collective action, and
political incentives. Even the least intellectually inclined of our
policymakers are equipped to make use of such elementary insights as the
problem of concentrated benefits versus distributed costs, which explains why
we have very powerful and energetic lobbies for things such as corporate
welfare but only relatively weak and under-resourced resistance to these
programs: The people who collect $500,000 a year in farm subsidies care a lot
more about farm subsidies than do the people who pay an extra $0.003 in federal
income tax to fund that handout. Government programs provide benefits to people
you like and to people you hate, and it is not evil when the people you hate
take political action to maximize their benefits. It is no more of a sin for a
Fortune 500 company to try to lower its taxes than it is a sin for you to
try to lower your taxes.
One needs to be clear-eyed about how that plays out in
the real world. If you want to write up some new rules regulating the
activities of private equity firms, and you want those regulations to be good
regulations, what do you do? You begin by consulting the people who know a
great deal about private equity investing and the firms that do it, who
understand what purpose these firms serve in the broader economy, etc. Do you
know where you find those people? In private equity firms or among the veterans
of those firms. As regulations go through the process of comment, review, and
revision, some people and institutions will be very interested in that
process—and who do you think that will be?
Industry doesn’t always get its way in these matters, of
course, and they are not the only ones who have money and relationships to
bring to bear on the process: The
Environmental Protection Agency, for example, responds to pressure
from different quarters funded by other sources, but
this pressure is no less self-interested and no more likely to be neutral and
evenhanded than industry influence is. And it is not the case that we can count
on these rival sources of pressure to cancel one another out, enabling the
regulator to land on the optimal policy. Two sources of distortion rarely if
ever lead to clarity, and when they do, it is only a happy accident.
We do not have a gigantic debt and deficit because the
people who make the decisions are evil. We have a fiscal problem because the
people who receive Social Security and Medicare benefits care a great deal
about them, and the people who want to reform these entitlements do not
represent large and highly incentivized constituencies—and will not represent
such constituencies until the fiscal crisis that awaits us, as a matter of
mathematical near-certainty, is finally upon us. But Musk et al. look at this
as a matter of good and evil, partly because they are silly and ignorant enough
to believe that to be the case and partly because they know that nobody at the
moment wants to listen to the boring—horrifying, but boring—facts of the case.
And so they pretend that the problem is some clerk in the bowels of the
bank-regulation apparatus who produces an annual report on minority-owned banks
or the occasional penny on the dollar of aid to Ukrainians who are so
maddeningly committed to the cause of their own national survival. The problem
cannot be grandma’s Medicare benefits: They must be
eating the cats in Springfield.
The people who know what they are talking about talk
about incentives. The people who don’t know what they’re talking about—or who
wish to deceive you and to treat you like a fool—talk about good and evil.
On either side of the aisle, the smarter kind of
politician understands that our problems are not simple. But many of them
believe that you are.
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