By Michael Brendan Dougherty
Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Donald Trump is a mysterious figure in political life. It
has become a cliché to say that in 2015 he launched a hostile takeover of the
Republican Party. He questioned its commitment to free trade, to muscular
military intervention abroad, and to its embarrassing tolerance of mass illegal
immigration. It was broadly believable that he could win the nomination, so
long as there were multiple “Republicanism is just fine, thanks” candidates
dividing the anti-Trump vote. The more shocking thing was that he could then swiftly
win the loyalty of most of the party that he had been beating up for nine
months (including its donor class) and defeat a candidate the opposition party
had sheltered and consolidated around as early as was practicable.
But sometimes families are at their strongest precisely
because they’ve just come through a knock-down, drag-out argument over the
Thanksgiving table. There’s energy, passion, and even a renewed affection among
those tilting at each other, a feeling that what you said, even if it didn’t
triumph, mattered.
There are long-term structural reasons related to
globalization that caused Republicans to enter into a state of civil war then.
They are the same reasons why populism has divided right-wing parties across
the West in the past decade. In fact, this fight for the soul of the party is
ongoing. One hears the battle cries among those who are already partisans for
Marco Rubio or JD Vance as a successor to Trump.
This civil war within the GOP has, of course, hampered
Trump in setting his own agenda. He has often settled for passing the
priorities of his party adversaries. But it has also helped to keep him “the
main character” in American politics even as his poll numbers dip.
The Democrats, meanwhile, have a serious brand problem
that hasn’t been solved by Trump’s foray into Iran or the unpopularity of his
tariffs. A 2025 CNN poll found that only 16 percent of Americans said Democrats
had stronger leaders than Republicans. Even then, more respondents saw
incumbent Republicans as the party of change. Maybe Democrats lost their brand
as the party of America’s future because they’ve stopped debating about how
that future will look. They’ve lost the mantle of the party of change because
the party is so settled in its identity.
Right now, the Republican Party uneasily, but noisily,
accommodates people with differing views on how the global economy should be
engaged. Can Democrats even accommodate voters who think girls should compete
only on the girls’ team? It’s not clear.
What are the Democratic ideas about America’s role in the
global economy or as a geostrategic actor? Well, you can have every flavor of
globalism offered by the Kennedy School of Government.
Sometimes it seems like Democrats have a more progressive
and less progressive wing. Sure, AOC and Abigail Spanberger have different
priorities. But, for the most part, Democrats revert to a hive mind. In 2020,
during the Covid emergency and in the weeks after the death of George Floyd,
that meant everyone in the party shifted dramatically to the left and started
sharing their pronouns.
I think if Democrats want to fix their current brand,
when 70 percent of voters view them as “out of touch,” they need to start having big, public fights
with each other that give more voters a stake in the party and its future. One
of the downsides of the progressive faith that the arc of the universe bends
their way is that it gives incumbents the sense that their triumph is assured
by capital-H History. Anyone who thinks differently feels left behind.
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